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Related papers: Mean-shift least squares model averaging

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Shrinkage estimation usually reduces variance at the cost of bias. But when we care only about some parameters of a model, I show that we can reduce variance without incurring bias if we have additional information about the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Jann Spiess

We propose a procedure to handle the problem of Gaussian regression when the variance is unknown. We mix least-squares estimators from various models according to a procedure inspired by that of Leung and Barron (2007). We show that in some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-05 Christophe Giraud

A new approach for Bayesian model averaging (BMA) and selection is proposed, based on the mixture model approach for hypothesis testing in Kaniav et al., 2014. Inheriting from the good properties of this approach, it extends BMA to cases…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Merlin Keller , Kaniav Kamary

The linear minimum mean squared error (LMMSE) estimator is the best linear estimator for a Bayesian linear inverse problem with respect to the mean squared error. It arises as the solution operator to a Tikhonov-type regularized inverse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Gernot Holler

In modern statistics, interests shift from pursuing the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator to reducing mean squared error (MSE) or residual squared error. Shrinkage based estimation and regression methods offer better prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Haoda Fu , Jian Kang

Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah

Chakrabarty, Khoshnevisan, Sahai and Ray, Solanki suggested some estimators to estimate unknown population mean of the study variable. These authors discussed the estimators along with their first order biases and mean square errors(MSEs).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-13 prayas sharma , rajesh singh , Jong-Min Kim

The usage of positive definite metric tensors derived from second derivative information in the context of the simplified manifold Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) is explored. A new adaptive step length procedure that resolves…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-03 Tore Selland Kleppe

In this work, we consider the deterministic optimization using random projections as a statistical estimation problem, where the squared distance between the predictions from the estimator and the true solution is the error metric. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Srivatsan Sridhar , Mert Pilanci , Ayfer Özgür

Accurately estimating high quantiles beyond the largest observed value is crucial for risk assessment and devising effective adaptation strategies to prevent a greater disaster. The generalized extreme value distribution is widely used for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yonggwan Shin , Yire Shin , Jeong-Soo Park

In this paper we will consider the estimation of a monotone regression (or density) function in a fixed point by the least squares (Grenander) estimator. We will show that this estimator is fully adaptive, in the sense that the attained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Eric Cator

The bias of an estimator is defined as the difference of its expected value from the parameter to be estimated, where the expectation is with respect to the model. Loosely speaking, small bias reflects the desire that if an experiment is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Hui Jiang , Guangyu Yang , Mingming Yu

Standard variational lower bounds used to train latent variable models produce biased estimates of most quantities of interest. We introduce an unbiased estimator of the log marginal likelihood and its gradients for latent variable models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yucen Luo , Alex Beatson , Mohammad Norouzi , Jun Zhu , David Duvenaud , Ryan P. Adams , Ricky T. Q. Chen

We utilise a sampler originating from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics, termed here Jarzynski-adjusted Langevin algorithm (JALA), to build statistical estimation methods in latent variable models. We achieve this by leveraging…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-27 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , O. Deniz Akyildiz

A biomechanical model often requires parameter estimation and selection in a known but complicated nonlinear function. Motivated by observing that data from a head-neck position tracking system, one of biomechanical models, show…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hojun You , Kyubaek Yoon , Wei-Ying Wu , Jongeun Choi , Chae Young Lim

Machine learning models trained on real-world data may inadvertently make biased predictions that negatively impact marginalized communities. Reweighting, which assigns a weight to each data point used during model training, can mitigate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Anil K. Saini , Jose Guadalupe Hernandez , Emily F. Wong , Debanshi Misra , Tiffani J. Bright , Jason H. Moore

We consider the estimation of the value of a linear functional of the slope parameter in functional linear regression, where scalar responses are modeled in dependence of random functions. The theory in this paper covers in particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-19 J. Johannes , R. Schenk

We consider the problem of fitting a set of points in Euclidean space by an algebraic hypersurface. We assume that points on a true hypersurface, described by a polynomial equation, are corrupted by zero mean independent Gaussian noise, and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-21 Konstantin Usevich , Ivan Markovsky

We propose an estimator for the mean of a random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$ that can be computed in time $O(n^4+n^2d)$ for $n$ i.i.d.~samples and that has error bounds matching the sub-Gaussian case. The only assumptions we make about the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Nicolas Flammarion , Peter L. Bartlett
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