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Population-level societal events, such as civil unrest and crime, often have a significant impact on our daily life. Forecasting such events is of great importance for decision-making and resource allocation. Event prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Songgaojun Deng , Yue Ning

Ensembling is a popular method used to improve performance as a last resort. However, ensembling multiple models finetuned from a single pretrained model has been not very effective; this could be due to the lack of diversity among ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Sosuke Kobayashi , Shun Kiyono , Jun Suzuki , Kentaro Inui

The lottery ticket hypothesis suggests that sparse, sub-networks of a given neural network, if initialized properly, can be trained to reach comparable or even better performance to that of the original network. Prior works in lottery…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Neha Mukund Kalibhat , Yogesh Balaji , Soheil Feizi

Route choice models in public transport have been discussed for a long time. The main factor why a passenger chooses a specific path is usually based on its length or travel time. However, also the ticket price that passengers have to pay…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Anita Schöbel , Reena Urban

Virtual bidding plays an important role in two-settlement electric power markets, as it can reduce discrepancies between day-ahead and real-time markets. Renewable energy penetration increases volatility in electricity prices, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Xuesong Wang , Sharaf K. Magableh , Oraib Dawaghreh , Caisheng Wang , Jiaxuan Gong , Zhongyang Zhao , Michael H. Liao

Contextual dynamic pricing aims to set personalized prices based on sequential interactions with customers. At each time period, a customer who is interested in purchasing a product comes to the platform. The customer's valuation for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yiyun Luo , Will Wei Sun , and Yufeng Liu

The improvement of air-quality in urban areas is one of the main concerns of public government bodies. This concern emerges from the evidence between the air quality and the public health. Major efforts from government bodies in this area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-13 Alejandro Luque-Cerpa , Miguel A. Gutiérrez-Naranjo , Miguel Cárdenas-Montes

Human motion is stochastic and ensuring safe robot navigation in a pedestrian-rich environment requires proactive decision-making. Past research relied on incorporating deterministic future states of surrounding pedestrians which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

We consider a dynamic pricing problem for repeated contextual second-price auctions with multiple strategic buyers who aim to maximize their long-term time discounted utility. The seller has limited information on buyers' overall demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Negin Golrezaei , Patrick Jaillet , Jason Cheuk Nam Liang

Accurately predicting the demand for ride-hailing services can result in significant benefits such as more effective surge pricing strategies, improved driver positioning, and enhanced customer service. By understanding the demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Sheraz Hassan , Muhammad Tahir , Momin Uppal , Zubair Khalid , Ivan Gorban , Selim Turki

A deep learning model is applied for predicting block-level parking occupancy in real time. The model leverages Graph-Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNN) to extract the spatial relations of traffic flow in large-scale networks, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Shuguan Yang , Wei Ma , Xidong Pi , Sean Qian

Mobile crowdsourcing has become easier thanks to the widespread of smartphones capable of seamlessly collecting and pushing the desired data to cloud services. However, the success of mobile crowdsourcing relies on balancing the supply and…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi

In finance, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that historic stock price and volume data cannot inform predictions of future prices. In this paper we show that, to the contrary, future intra-day stock prices could be…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 David Byrd , Tucker Hybinette Balch

Deep learning is rapidly becoming a go-to tool for many artificial intelligence problems due to its ability to outperform other approaches and even humans at many problems. Despite its popularity we are still unable to accurately predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Daniel Justus , John Brennan , Stephen Bonner , Andrew Stephen McGough

Student performance prediction - where a machine forecasts the future performance of students as they interact with online coursework - is a challenging problem. Reliable early-stage predictions of a student's future performance could be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Byung-Hak Kim , Ethan Vizitei , Varun Ganapathi

Recognition tasks, such as object recognition and keypoint estimation, have seen widespread adoption in recent years. Most state-of-the-art methods for these tasks use deep networks that are computationally expensive and have huge memory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Sharath Girish , Shishira R. Maiya , Kamal Gupta , Hao Chen , Larry Davis , Abhinav Shrivastava

We propose a deep learning approach to probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic and financial time series. Being able to learn complex patterns from a data rich environment, our approach is useful for a decision making that depends on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-15 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

Designing an incentive compatible auction that maximizes expected revenue is an intricate task. The single-item case was resolved in a seminal piece of work by Myerson in 1981, but more than 40 years later a full analytical understanding of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Paul Dütting , Zhe Feng , Harikrishna Narasimhan , David C. Parkes , Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath

In congested urban areas, it remains a pressing challenge to reduce unnecessary vehicle circling for parking while at the same time maximize parking space utilization. In observance of new information technologies that have become readily…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-01-06 Daniel Mackowski , Yun Bai , Yanfeng Ouyang