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In many applications, Bayesian inverse problems can give rise to probability distributions which contain complexities due to the Hessian varying greatly across parameter space. This complexity often manifests itself as lower dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-28 Simon L. Cotter , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Paul Russell

In recent years, machine learning has been adopted to complex networks, but most existing works concern about the structural properties. To use machine learning to detect phase transitions and accurately identify the critical transition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-08 Qi Ni , Ming Tang , Ying Liu , Ying-Cheng Lai

Analysis of heterogeneous patterns in complex spatio-temporal data finds usage across various domains in applied science and engineering, including training autonomous vehicles to navigate in complex traffic scenarios. Motivated by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Sunrit Chakraborty , Aritra Guha , Rayleigh Lei , XuanLong Nguyen

We present a novel methodology for integrating high resolution longitudinal data with the dynamic prediction capabilities of survival models. The aim is two-fold: to improve the predictive power while maintaining interpretability of the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-07 Giacomo Lancia , Meri Varkila , Olaf Cremer , Cristian Spitoni

Complex systems are often driven by higher-order interactions among multiple units, naturally represented as hypergraphs. Understanding dependency structures within these hypergraphs is crucial for understanding and predicting the behavior…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-29 John Hood , Caterina De Bacco , Aaron Schein

Can we understand and predict the evolutionary pathways by which bacteria acquire multi-drug resistance (MDR)? These questions have substantial potential impact in basic biology and in applied approaches to address the global health…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-05 Jessica Renz , Kazeem A. Dauda , Olav N. L. Aga , Ramon Diaz-Uriarte , Iren H. Löhr , Bjørn Blomberg , Iain G. Johnston

Coordination recognition and subtle pattern prediction of future trajectories play a significant role when modeling interactive behaviors of multiple agents. Due to the essential property of uncertainty in the future evolution,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-03 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Mathematical models of cognition are often memoryless and ignore potential fluctuations of their parameters. However, human cognition is inherently dynamic. Thus, we propose to augment mechanistic cognitive models with a temporal dimension…

Disease progression models infer group-level temporal trajectories of change in patients' features as a chronic degenerative condition plays out. They provide unique insight into disease biology and staging systems with individual-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Peter A. Wijeratne , Daniel C. Alexander

This study addresses the challenge of predicting network dynamics, such as forecasting disease spread in social networks or estimating species populations in predator-prey networks. Accurate predictions in large networks are difficult due…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Rui Luo

Computational models provide crucial insights into complex biological processes such as cancer evolution, but their mechanistic nature often makes them nonlinear and parameter-rich, complicating calibration. We systematically evaluate…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Christina Schenk , Jacobo Ayensa Jiménez , Ignacio Romero

Stochastic evolution equations describing the dynamics of systems under the influence of both deterministic and stochastic forces are prevalent in all fields of science. Yet, identifying these systems from sparse-in-time observations…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-01-20 Dimitra Maoutsa

Hypergraphs have emerged as a powerful modeling framework to represent systems with multiway interactions, that is systems where interactions may involve an arbitrary number of agents. Here we explore the properties of real-world…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Timothy LaRock , Renaud Lambiotte

The development of chemical reaction models aids understanding and prediction in areas ranging from biology to electrochemistry and combustion. A systematic approach to building reaction network models uses observational data not only to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Nikhil Galagali , Youssef M. Marzouk

Multimodal pathology-genomic analysis has become increasingly prominent in cancer survival prediction. However, existing studies mainly utilize multi-instance learning to aggregate patch-level features, neglecting the information loss of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Mingcheng Qu , Guang Yang , Donglin Di , Tonghua Su , Yue Gao , Yang Song , Lei Fan

With the advancement of high-throughput biotechnologies, we increasingly accumulate biomedical data about diseases, especially cancer. There is a need for computational models and methods to sift through, integrate, and extract new…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-03 Thomas Gaudelet , Noel Malod-Dognin , Natasa Przulj

We consider the problem of estimating the transition dynamics $T^*$ from near-optimal expert trajectories in the context of offline model-based reinforcement learning. We develop a novel constraint-based method, Inverse Transition Learning,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Leo Benac , Abhishek Sharma , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

Random walks on multidimensional nonlinear landscapes are of interest in many areas of science and engineering. In particular, properties of adaptive trajectories on fitness landscapes determine population fates and thus play a central role…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-08 Michael Manhart , Alexandre V. Morozov

Sequences of correlated binary patterns can represent many time-series data including text, movies, and biological signals. These patterns may be described by weighted combinations of a few dominant structures that underpin specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-29 Jimmy Gaudreault , Arunabh Saxena , Hideaki Shimazaki