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Related papers: Nonlinear State Estimation using Gaussian Integral

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Bayesian estimation strategies represent the most fundamental formulation of the state estimation problem available, and apply readily to nonlinear systems with non-Gaussian uncertainties. The present paper introduces a novel method for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-22 T R Bewley , A S Sharma

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

Gaussian process regression is a powerful method for predicting states based on given data. It has been successfully applied for probabilistic predictions of structural systems to quantify, for example, the crack growth in mechanical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Simon Pfingstl , Markus Zimmermann

The Gaussian Filter (GF) is one of the most widely used filtering algorithms; instances are the Extended Kalman Filter, the Unscented Kalman Filter and the Divided Difference Filter. GFs represent the belief of the current state by a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Manuel Wüthrich , Sebastian Trimpe , Daniel Kappler , Stefan Schaal

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Data-driven control of nonlinear systems with rigorous guarantees is a challenging problem as it usually calls for nonconvex optimization and requires often knowledge of the true basis functions of the system dynamics. To tackle these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Tim Martin , Thomas B. Schön , Frank Allgöwer

The state estimation problem for nonlinear systems with stochastic uncertainties can be formulated in the Bayesian framework, where the objective is to replace the state completely by its probability density function. Without the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Lukas Ecker , Kurt Schlacher

We propose a nonparametric density estimator based on the Gaussian process (GP) and derive three novel closed form learning algorithms based on Fisher divergence (FD) score matching. The density estimator is formed by multiplying a base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 John Paisley , Wei Zhang , Brian Barr

State estimation in multi-layer turbulent flow fields with only a single layer of partial observation remains a challenging yet practically important task. Applications include inferring the state of the deep ocean by exploiting surface…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-30 Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Di Qi

In science and engineering, we often work with models designed for accurate prediction of variables of interest. Recognizing that these models are approximations of reality, it becomes desirable to apply multiple models to the same data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Marzieh Ajirak , Daniel Waxman , Fernando Llorente , Petar M. Djuric

We propose a novel approach to input design for identification of nonlinear state space models. The optimal input sequence is obtained by maximizing a scalar cost function of the Fisher information matrix. Since the Fisher information…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Patricio E. Valenzuela , Johan Dahlin , Cristian R. Rojas , Thomas B. Schön

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

Bayesian filtering is a cornerstone of state estimation in complex systems such as aerospace systems, yet exact solutions are available only for linear Gaussian models. In practice,nonlinear systems are handled through tractable…

In this paper, we present a new statistical approach to the problem of incorporating experimental observations into a mathematical model described by linear partial differential equations (PDEs) to improve the prediction of the state of a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Ngoc-Cuong Nguyen , Jaime Peraire

Many dynamical systems are subjected to stochastic influences, such as random excitations, noise, and unmodeled behavior. Tracking the system's state and parameters based on a physical model is a common task for which filtering algorithms,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-03 Jan Grashorn , Matteo Broggi , Ludovic Chamoin , Michael Beer

This paper proposes a novel and efficient key conditional quotient filter (KCQF) for the estimation of state in the nonlinear system which can be either Gaussian or non-Gaussian, and either Markovian or non-Markovian. The core idea of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Yuelin Zhao , Feng Wu , Li Zhu

Identification of nonlinear dynamic systems remains a significant challenge across engineering. This work suggests an approach based on Bayesian filtering to extract and identify the contribution of an unknown nonlinear term in the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-01 Timothy J. Rogers , Tobias Friis

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

The majority of data assimilation (DA) methods in the geosciences are based on Gaussian assumptions. While these assumptions facilitate efficient algorithms, they cause analysis biases and subsequent forecast degradations. Non-parametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Hristo G. Chipilski

In this paper, a new framework, named as graphical state space model, is proposed for the real time optimal estimation of a class of nonlinear state space model. By discretizing this kind of system model as an equation which can not be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-10 Shaolin Lü