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A multi-fidelity simulator is a numerical model, in which one of the inputs controls a trade-off between the realism and the computational cost of the simulation. Our goal is to estimate the probability of exceeding a given threshold on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Rémi Stroh , Julien Bect , Séverine Demeyer , Nicolas Fischer , Emmanuel Vazquez

A high fidelity fluid-structure interaction simulation may require many days to run, on hundreds of cores. This poses a serious burden, both in terms of time and economic considerations, when repetitions of such simulations may be required…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-04-12 Wensi Wu , Christophe Bonneville , Christopher J. Earls

Even though Nearest Neighbor Gaussian Processes (NNGP) alleviate considerably MCMC implementation of Bayesian space-time models, they do not solve the convergence problems caused by high model dimension. Frugal alternatives such as response…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-15 Sébastien Coube-Sisqueille , Benoît Liquet

Bayesian optimization is an effective technique for black-box optimization, but its applicability is typically limited to low-dimensional and small-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of computing the Gaussian process (GP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Yunyue Wei , Vincent Zhuang , Saraswati Soedarmadji , Yanan Sui

Automatic controller tuning is attractive for robotics and mechatronic systems whose dynamics are difficult to model accurately, but direct black-box optimization can be unsafe because each query is executed on the physical plant. Existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Hongxuan Wang , Xiaocong Li , Lihao Zheng , Adrish Bhaumik , Prahlad Vadakkepat

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a rich class of models that can better represent functions with varying regimes or sharp changes, compared to conventional GPs. In this work, we propose a novel inference method for DGPs for computer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-18 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson , Serge Guillas

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) were proposed as an expressive Bayesian model capable of a mathematically grounded estimation of uncertainty. The expressivity of DPGs results from not only the compositional character but the distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Chi-Ken Lu , Patrick Shafto

Automotive companies are increasingly looking for ways to make their products lighter, using novel materials and novel bonding processes to join these materials together. Finding the optimal process parameters for such adhesive bonding…

High-resolution simulation models are essential for representing complex physical systems, yet their substantial computational cost severely limits the number of feasible high-fidelity (HF) evaluations. This problem is often addressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Hossein Mohammadi

Some real-world problems revolve to solve the optimization problem \max_{x\in\mathcal{X}}f\left(x\right) where f\left(.\right) is a black-box function and X might be the set of non-vectorial objects (e.g., distributions) where we can only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-20 Trung Le , Khanh Nguyen , Tu Dinh Nguyen , Dinh Phung

Closed-loop performance of sequential decision making algorithms, such as model predictive control, depends strongly on the choice of controller parameters. Bayesian optimization allows learning of parameters from closed-loop experiments,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-18 Sebastian Hirt , Lukas Theiner , Rolf Findeisen

Bayesian optimization (BO) has proven to be an effective paradigm for the global optimization of expensive-to-sample systems. One of the main advantages of BO is its use of Gaussian processes (GPs) to characterize model uncertainty which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-30 Leonardo D. González , Victor M. Zavala

This paper presents an automated software toolchain for synthesizing hardware-implementable analog circuits that solve constrained optimization problems. The proposed toolchain supports nonlinear objective functions with linear and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-22 Sachin Khoja , Kamlesh Sawant , Palak Jain , Sairaj Dhople , Jason Poon

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

We develop Bayesian machine learning methods for mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. This involves handling frequency mismatches and specifying functional relationships between many predictors and the dependent variable. We use…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

Bayesian optimization is widely used for optimizing expensive black box functions, but most existing approaches focus on scalar responses. In many scientific and engineering settings the response is functional, varying smoothly over an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Pouya Ahadi , Reza Marzban , Ali Adibi , Kamran Paynabar

Simulation optimization is often hindered by the high cost of running simulations. Multi-fidelity methods offer a promising solution by incorporating cheaper, lower-fidelity simulations to reduce computational time. However, the bias in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-07 Yunsoo Ha , Juliane Mueller

We propose a robust multi-fidelity Gaussian process for integrating sparse, high-quality reference monitors with dense but noisy citizen-science sensors. The approach replaces the Gaussian log-likelihood in the high-fidelity channel with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Camilla Andreozzi , Pietro Colombo , Philipp Otto

We present a framework for approximate Bayesian inference when only a limited number of noisy log-likelihood evaluations can be obtained due to computational constraints, which is becoming increasingly common for applications of complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander

This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso