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In this paper, we propose a novel method of model-based time series clustering with mixtures of general state space models (MSSMs). Each component of MSSMs is associated with each cluster. An advantage of the proposed method is that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Ryoichi Ishizuka , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto

Predicting crime hotspots in a city is a complex and critical task with significant societal implications. Numerous spatiotemporal correlations and irregularities pose substantial challenges to this endeavor. Existing methods commonly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Jiahui Jin , Yi Hong , Guandong Xu , Jinghui Zhang , Jun Tang , Hancheng Wang

The objective of this work is to take advantage of deep neural networks in order to make next day crime count predictions in a fine-grain city partition. We make predictions using Chicago and Portland crime data, which is augmented with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-06 Alexander Stec , Diego Klabjan

Bayesian clustering methods have the widely touted advantage of providing a probabilistic characterization of uncertainty in clustering through the posterior distribution. An amazing variety of priors and likelihoods have been proposed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Garritt L. Page , Andrés F. Barrientos , David B. Dahl , David B. Dunson

The popularity of Bayesian optimization methods for efficient exploration of parameter spaces has lead to a series of papers applying Gaussian processes as surrogates in the optimization of functions. However, most proposed approaches only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-16 Javier González , Zhenwen Dai , Philipp Hennig , Neil D. Lawrence

Searching large and complex design spaces for a global optimum can be infeasible and unnecessary. A practical alternative is to iteratively refine the neighborhood of an initial design using local optimization methods such as gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 David Stenger , Armin Lindicke , Alexander von Rohr , Sebastian Trimpe

Clustering points in a vector space or nodes in a graph is a ubiquitous primitive in statistical data analysis, and it is commonly used for exploratory data analysis. In practice, it is often of interest to "refine" or "improve" a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-03 K. Fountoulakis , M. Liu , D. F. Gleich , M. W. Mahoney

A common method for delineating urban and suburban boundaries is to identify clusters of spatial units that are highly interconnected in a network of commuting flows, each cluster signaling a cohesive economic submarket. It is critical that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-09 Sebastian Morel-Balbi , Alec Kirkley

In epidemiological disease mapping one aims to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk and identify high-risk clusters, allowing health interventions to be appropriately targeted. Bayesian spatio-temporal models are used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-11 Duncan Lee , Andrew Lawson

An unsupervised classification method for point events occurring on a network of lines is proposed. The idea relies on the distributional flexibility and practicality of random partition models to discover the clustering structure featuring…

Air pollution remains a major environmental risk factor that is often associated with adverse health outcomes. However, quantifying and evaluating its effects on human health is challenging due to the complex nature of exposure data. Recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Soumyakanti Pan , Sudipto Banerjee

Exposure to crime and violence can harm individuals' quality of life and the economic growth of communities. In light of the rapid development in machine learning, there is a rise in the need to explore automated solutions to prevent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Yuting Sun , Tong Chen , Hongzhi Yin

We consider spectral clustering algorithms for community detection under a general bipartite stochastic block model (SBM). A modern spectral clustering algorithm consists of three steps: (1) regularization of an appropriate adjacency or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Zhixin Zhou , Arash A. Amini

From a statistical point of view, crime data present certain peculiarities that have led to a growing interest in their analysis. In particular, a characteristic that some property crimes frequently present is the existence of uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-13 Álvaro Briz-Redón

In climate change study, the infrared spectral signatures of climate change have recently been conceptually adopted, and widely applied to identifying and attributing atmospheric composition change. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-04 Zhen Zhang , Chae Young Lim , Tapabrata Maiti , Seiji Kato

Particle Swarm Optimization is a global optimizer in the sense that it has the ability to escape poor local optima. However, if the spread of information within the population is not adequately performed, premature convergence may occur.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Mauro S. Innocente , Johann Sienz

Clustering techniques are very attractive for extracting and identifying patterns in datasets. However, their application to very large spatial datasets presents numerous challenges such as high-dimensionality data, heterogeneity, and high…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Malika Bendechache , Nhien-An Le-Khac , M-Tahar Kechadi

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

Software is highly contextual. While there are cross-cutting `global' lessons, individual software projects exhibit many `local' properties. This data heterogeneity makes drawing local conclusions from global data dangerous. A key research…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Neil A. Ernst

We propose a new anytime hierarchical clustering method that iteratively transforms an arbitrary initial hierarchy on the configuration of measurements along a sequence of trees we prove for a fixed data set must terminate in a chain of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-15 Omur Arslan , Daniel E. Koditschek