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This short review describes mathematical techniques for statistical analysis and prediction in dynamical systems. Two problems are discussed, namely (i) the supervised learning problem of forecasting the time evolution of an observable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Tyrus Berry , Dimitrios Giannakis , John Harlim

Stochastic dynamical systems are fundamental in state estimation, system identification and control. System models are often provided in continuous time, while a major part of the applied theory is developed for discrete-time systems.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-02-07 Niklas Wahlström , Patrix Axelsson , Fredrik Gustafsson

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-19 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

Non-intrusive reduced-order models (ROMs) have recently generated considerable interest for constructing computationally efficient counterparts of nonlinear dynamical systems emerging from various domain sciences. They provide a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-30 Romit Maulik , Themistoklis Botsas , Nesar Ramachandra , Lachlan Robert Mason , Indranil Pan

A stochastic representation of the dynamics of open quantum systems, suitable for non-perturbative system-reservoir interaction, non-Markovian effects and arbitrarily driven systems is presented. It includes the case of driving on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-05 Jürgen T. Stockburger

Functions that are not differentiable in the classical sense have become a central tool in modern mathematical models for imaging, inverse problems, machine learning, and optimal control of differential equations. These models are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Christian Clason , Tuomo Valkonen

A variety of phenomena in nuclear and high energy physics seemingly do not satisfy the basic hypothesis for possible stationary states to be of the type covered by Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical mechanics. More specifically, the system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 C. Tsallis , Ernesto P. Borges

Time irreversibility, defined as the lack of invariance of the statistical properties of a system or time series under the operation of time reversal, has received an increasing attention during the last decades, thanks to the information…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-03 Massimiliano Zanin

We show that nonequilibrium dynamics can play a constructive role in unsupervised machine learning by inducing the spontaneous emergence of latent-state cycles. We introduce a model in which visible and hidden variables interact through two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-05 Marco Baiesi , Alberto Rosso

Statistical mechanics can only be ultimately justified in terms of microscopic dynamics (classical, quantum, relativistic, or any other). It is known that Boltzmann-Gibbs statistics is based on the hypothesis of exponential sensitivity to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Constantino Tsallis

Computing reduced-order models using non-intrusive methods is particularly attractive for systems that are simulated using black-box solvers. However, obtaining accurate data-driven models can be challenging, especially if the underlying…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-01-03 Alberto Padovan , Blaine Vollmer , Daniel J. Bodony

Efficient methods for the description of the non-Markovian dynamics of open systems play an important role in many proposed applications of quantum mechanics. Here we review some of the most important tools that are based on the projection…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-07-03 Heinz-Peter Breuer

Natural systems are typically nonlinear and complex, and it is of great interest to be able to reconstruct a system in order to understand its mechanism, which can not only recover nonlinear behaviors but also predict future dynamics. Due…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-11-03 Huanfei Ma , Siyang Leng , Luonan Chen

Data generated from dynamical systems with unknown dynamics enable the learning of state observers that are: robust to modeling error, computationally tractable to design, and capable of operating with guaranteed performance. In this paper,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-28 Ankush Chakrabarty , Mouhacine Benosman

The dynamics of Markovian open quantum systems are described by Lindblad master equations, generating a quantum dynamical semigroup. An important concept for such systems is (Davies) irreducibility, i.e., the question whether there exist…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-05 Yikang Zhang , Thomas Barthel

Mathematical theory of selection is developed within the frameworks of general models of inhomogeneous populations with continuous time. Methods that allow us to study the distribution dynamics under natural selection and to construct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-22 Georgy P. Karev

An analytical method for investigation of the evolution of dynamical systems {\it with independent on time accuracy} is developed for perturbed Hamiltonian systems. The error-free estimation using of computer algebra enables the application…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-13 A. V. Gurzadyan , A. A. Kocharyan

We study nonzero-sum stochastic games for continuous time Markov decision processes on a denumerable state space with risk-sensitive ergodic cost criterion. Transition rates and cost rates are allowed to be unbounded. Under a Lyapunov type…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Mrinal K Ghosh , Subrata Golui , Chandan Pal , Somnath Pradhan

The method to design exponentially stable adaptive observers is proposed for linear time-invariant systems parameterized by unknown physical parameters. Unlike existing adaptive solutions, the system state-space matrices A, B are not…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-22 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

Without attempting to summarize the vast field of statistical mechanics, we briefly mention some of the progress that was made in areas which have enjoyed Barry Simon's interests. In particular, we focus on rigorous non-perturbative results…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-09-29 Michael Aizenman