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This article considers exponential families of truncated multivariate normal distributions with one-sided truncation for some or all coordinates. We observe that if all components are one-sided truncated then this family is not full. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Michael Levine , Donald Richards , Jianxi Su

We uncover connections between maximum likelihood estimation in statistics and norm minimization over a group orbit in invariant theory. We focus on Gaussian transformation families, which include matrix normal models and Gaussian graphical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Carlos Améndola , Kathlén Kohn , Philipp Reichenbach , Anna Seigal

Consider an $(L,1)$ random walk in an i.i.d. random environment, whose environment involves certain parameter. We get the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of the environment parameter which can be written as functionals of a multitype…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-31 Hua-Ming Wang , Meijuan Zhang

Associated to each graph G is a Gaussian graphical model. Such models are often used in high-dimensional settings, i.e. where there are relatively few data points compared to the number of variables. The maximum likelihood threshold of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Daniel Irving Bernstein , Hayden Outlaw

We consider distributions of ordered random vectors with given one-dimensional marginal distributions. We give an elementary necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of such a distribution with finite entropy. In this case, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

Maximum likelihood learning with exponential families leads to moment-matching of the sufficient statistics, a classic result. This can be generalized to conditional exponential families and/or when there are hidden data. This document…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Justin Domke

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

In many complex statistical models maximum likelihood estimators cannot be calculated. In the paper we solve this problem using Markov chain Monte Carlo approximation of the true likelihood. In the main result we prove asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Wojciech Rejchel

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini

We settle a conjecture by Bik and Marigliano stating that the degree of a one-dimensional discrete model with rational maximum likelihood estimator is bounded above by a linear function in the size of its support, therefore showing that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Carlos Améndola , Viet Duc Nguyen , Janike Oldekop

This article presents methods for estimating extreme probabilities, beyond the range of the observations. These methods are model-free and applicable to almost any sample size. They are grounded in order statistics theory and have a wide…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-03 Joan del Castillo , Pedro Puig

We propose a novel molecular computing scheme for statistical inference. We focus on the much-studied statistical inference problem of computing maximum likelihood estimators for log-linear models. Our scheme takes log-linear models to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Manoj Gopalkrishnan

Consider a random sample from a bivariate distribution function $F$ in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme-value distribution function $G$. This $G$ is characterized by two extreme-value indices and a spectral measure, the latter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

The maximum likelihood method offers a standard way to estimate the three parameters of a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. Combined with the block maxima method, it is often used in practice to assess the extreme value index…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-24 Clément Dombry

We consider the classical problem of learning, with arbitrary accuracy, the natural parameters of a $k$-parameter truncated \textit{minimal} exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

This paper investigates maximizers of the information divergence from an exponential family $E$. It is shown that the $rI$-projection of a maximizer $P$ to $E$ is a convex combination of $P$ and a probability measure $P_-$ with disjoint…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-18 Johannes Rauh

In this paper, we propose a new class of distributions by exponentiating the random variables associated with the probability density functions of composite distributions. We also derive some mathematical properties of this new class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

This article provides sharp bounds for the maximum number of edges possible in a simple graph with restricted values of two of the three parameters, namely, maxi- mum matching size, independence number and maximum degree. We also construct…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-03-08 Niraj Khare , Nishali Mehta , Naushad Puliyambalath