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We consider the randomness of market trade as the origin of price and return stochasticity. We look at time series of trade values and volumes as random variables during the averaging interval {\Delta} and describe the dependences of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-18 Victor Olkhov

We consider the class of self-similar Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and compute the small-time (near-maturity) asymptotics for the corresponding asset price density, the call and put pricing functions, and the implied volatilities.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-16 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

Stochastic feedback systems give rise to a variety of notions of stability. The conditions for the stability of the median, mean, and variance stability conditions differ. These conditions can be stated explicitly for scalar discrete-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-19 Roy S. Smith , Bassam Bamieh

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

We study the mean escape time in a market model with stochastic volatility. The process followed by the volatility is the Cox Ingersoll and Ross process which is widely used to model stock price fluctuations. The market model can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Giovanni Bonanno , Davide Valenti , Bernardo Spagnolo

We exploit a continuous time random walk description of stock prices to obtain a fast and accurate evaluation of their volatility from intraday data. We show that financial markets are usefully described as open physical systems. Indeed we…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rosario Bartiromo

In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-24 Gifty Malhotra , R. Srivastava , H. C. Taneja

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

I discuss the so-called stochastic individual based model of adaptive dynamics and in particular how different scaling limits can be obtained by taking limits of large populations, small mutation rate, and small effect of single mutations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-06 Anton Bovier

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional diffusion process with jumps driven by a Hawkes process. We are interested in the estimations of the volatility function and of the jump function from discrete high-frequency observations in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Chiara Amorino , Charlotte Dion , Arnaud Gloter , Sarah Lemler

We consider a backward stochastic differential equation with jumps (BSDEJ) which is driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure. We present two candidate-approximations to this BSDEJ and we prove that the solution of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Giulia Di Nunno , Asma Khedher , Michele Vanmaele

We develop a stochastic macro-financial model in continuous time by integrating two specifications of the Keen economic framework with a financial market driven by a jump-diffusion process. The economic block of the model combines monetary…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Matheus R. Grasselli , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

The concepts of scale invariance, self-similarity and scaling have been fruitfully applied to the study of price fluctuations in financial markets. After a brief review of the properties of stable Levy distributions and their applications…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Rama Cont , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak

Modelling accurately financial price variations is an essential step underlying portfolio allocation optimization, derivative pricing and hedging, fund management and trading. The observed complex price fluctuations guide and constraint our…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 A. Arneodo , J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette

We consider a purely harmonic chain of oscillators which is perturbed by a stochastic noise. Under this perturbation, the system exhibits two conserved quantities: the volume and the energy. At the level of the hydrodynamic limit, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Patrícia Gonçalves , Kohei Hayashi , João Pedro Mangi

We propose a simple stochastic volatility model which is analytically tractable, very easy to simulate and which captures some relevant stylized facts of financial assets, including scaling properties. In particular, the model displays a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-20 Alessandro Andreoli , Francesco Caravenna , Paolo Dai Pra , Gustavo Posta

Financial markets provide an ideal frame for the study of crossing or first-passage time events of non-Gaussian correlated dynamics mainly because large data sets are available. Tick-by-tick data of six futures markets are herein considered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-23 Josep Perelló , Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Jaume Masoliver

We prove anomalous-diffusion scaling for a one-dimensional stochastic kinetic dynamics, in which the stochastic drift is driven by an exogenous Bessel noise, and also includes endogenous volatility which is permitted to have arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Miha Brešar , Conrado da Costa , Aleksandar Mijatović , Andrew Wade