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We study a class of branching processes in which the offspring distribution is not specified directly but is induced by a cycle of internal colony growth, catastrophic reduction and structured dispersal. The parameters governing growth,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Lucas R. de Lima , Fábio P. Machado

In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Hongjiang Qian

We present a constructive and self-contained approach to data driven infinite partition-of-unity copulas that were recently introduced in the literature. In particular, we consider negative binomial and Poisson copulas and present a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-17 Dietmar Pfeifer , Andreas Mändle , Olena Ragulina

Within Bayesian nonparametrics, dependent Dirichlet process mixture models provide a highly flexible approach for conducting inference about the conditional density function. However, several formulations of this class make either rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 María Xosé Rodríguez-Álvarez , Vanda Inácio , Nadja Klein

We characterize various forms of positive dependence for a general class of time-inhomogeneous Markov processes called Feller evolution processes (FEPs) and for jump-FEPs. General FEPs can be studied through their time and state-space…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Eddie Tu

In this paper we develop a symbolic technique to obtain asymptotic expressions for ruin probabilities and discounted penalty functions in renewal insurance risk models when the premium income depends on the present surplus of the insurance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Georg Regensburger , Markus Rosenkranz

We develop and investigate a test for jumps based on high-frequency observations of a fractional process with an additive jump component. The Hurst exponent of the fractional process is unknown. The asymptotic theory under infill…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Michael Sonntag

Accurate risk assessment is essential for safety-critical autonomous and control systems under uncertainty. In many real-world settings, stochastic dynamics exhibit asymmetric jumps and long-range memory, making long-term risk probabilities…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Yimeng Sun , Zhuoyuan Wang , Xiaole Zhang , Heng Ping , Jintang Xue , Paul Bogdan , Yorie Nakahira

Causal analyses of longitudinal data generally assume that the qualitative causal structure relating variables remains invariant over time. In structured systems that transition between qualitatively different states in discrete time steps,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Ranjani Srinivasan , Jaron Lee , Rohit Bhattacharya , Narges Ahmidi , Ilya Shpitser

First, we present a concise glossary of formulas for composition of standard, cumulant, factorial, and factorial cumulant moments in superposition (compound) models, where final particles are created via independent emission from a…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-06-28 Wojciech Broniowski , Adam Olszewski

In this paper, we consider an age-structured jump model that arises as a description of continuous time random walks with infinite mean waiting time between jumps. We prove that under a suitable rescaling, this equation converges in the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Hugues Berry , Pierre Gabriel , Thomas Lepoutre , Nathan Quiblier

It has been noticed that when the waiting time distribution exhibits a transition from an intermediate time power law decay to a long-time exponential decay in the continuous time random walk model, a transition from anomalous diffusion to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Zhe Xue , Yuan Zhang , Zhennan Zhou , Min Tang

Additive noise in Partial Differential equations, in particular those of fluid mechanics, has relatively natural motivations. The aim of this work is showing that suitable multiscale arguments lead rigorously, from a model of fluid with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Franco Flandoli , Umberto Pappalettera

We consider the application of deep generative models in propagating uncertainty through complex physical systems. Specifically, we put forth an implicit variational inference formulation that constrains the generative model output to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Starting from configurations having homogeneous spatial density, we study kinetics in a two-dimensional system of inelastically colliding hard particles, a popular model for cooling granular matter. Following an initial time period, the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-07-10 Subir K. Das , Subhajit Paul

This paper concerns the numerical valuation of swing options with discrete action times under a linear two-factor mean-reverting model with jumps. The resulting sequence of two-dimensional partial integro-differential equations (PIDEs) are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Mustapha Regragui , Karel J. in 't Hout , Michèle Vanmaele , Fred Espen Benth

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative tools with applications in computer vision and scientific machine learning (SciML), where they have been used to solve large-scale probabilistic inverse problems. Traditionally, these…

This paper studies the joint moments of a compound discounted renewal process observed at different times with each arrival removed from the system after a random delay. This process can be used to describe the aggregate (discounted)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Eric Cheung , Landy Rabehasaina , Jae-Kyung Woo , Ran Xu

Starting from certain causality conditions and a discrete form of general covariance, we derive a very general family of classically stochastic, sequential growth dynamics for causal sets. The resulting theories provide a relatively…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2011-05-05 D. P. Rideout , R. D. Sorkin

In this article, we consider models for time-to-event data obtained from experiments in which stress levels are altered at intermediate stages during the observation period. These experiments, known as step-stress tests, belong to the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-04 Nandini Kannan , Debasis Kundu
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