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This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

To reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis a set of 5 technical indicators and 23 fundamental indicators was identified to establish the possibility of generating excess returns on the stock market. Leveraging these data points and various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-17 Jaideep Singh , Matloob Khushi

This project investigates the interplay of technical, market, and statistical factors in predicting stock market performance, with a primary focus on S&P 500 companies. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset spanning multiple years, the analysis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Jiajun Gu , Zichen Yang , Xintong Lin , Sixun Chen , YuTing Lu

Market economy closely connects aspects to all walks of life. The stock forecast is one of task among studies on the market economy. However, information on markets economy contains a lot of noise and uncertainties, which lead economy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-23 Jialin Liu , Chih-Min Lin , Fei Chao

We propose a unified multi-tasking framework to represent the complex and uncertain causal process of financial market dynamics, and then to predict the movement of any type of index with an application on the monthly direction of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-29 Djoumbissie David Romain

This paper demonstrates how to apply machine learning algorithms to distinguish good stocks from the bad stocks. To this end, we construct 244 technical and fundamental features to characterize each stock, and label stocks according to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-09 XingYu Fu , JinHong Du , YiFeng Guo , MingWen Liu , Tao Dong , XiuWen Duan

Building on our prior explorations of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for financial data processing, this paper introduces two significant enhancements to refine our CNN model's predictive performance and robustness for financial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-23 Sina Montazeri , Haseebullah Jumakhan , Sonia Abrasiabian , Amir Mirzaeinia

From a complex network perspective, investigating the stock market holds paramount significance as it enables the systematic revelation of topological features inherent in the market. This approach is crucial in exploring market…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-28 Yijie Teng , Rongmei Yang , Shuqi Xu , Linyuan Lü

This work presents a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for the prediction of next-day stock fluctuations using company-specific news headlines. Experiments to evaluate model performance using various configurations of word-embeddings and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Jonathan Readshaw , Stefano Giani

Multi-step stock index forecasting is vital in finance for informed decision-making. Current forecasting methods on this task frequently produce unsatisfactory results due to the inherent data randomness and instability, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

This paper introduces a novel approach to stock data analysis by employing a Hierarchical Graph Neural Network (HGNN) model that captures multi-level information and relational structures in the stock market. The HGNN model integrates stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jianhua Yao , Yuxin Dong , Jiajing Wang , Bingxing Wang , Hongye Zheng , Honglin Qin

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

The Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has achieved great success in image classification. The classification model can also be utilized at image or patch level for many other applications, such as object detection and segmentation. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-12-23 Jun Yuan , Bingbing Ni , Ashraf A. Kassim

Stock market prediction has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention from both economists and computer scientists. With the purpose of building an effective prediction model, both linear and machine learning tools have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Weiwei Jiang

Market financial forecasting is a trending area in deep learning. Deep learning models are capable of tackling the classic challenges in stock market data, such as its extremely complicated dynamics as well as long-term temporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Shima Nabiee , Nader Bagherzadeh

This paper investigates the application of machine learning models, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), one-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (1D CNN), and Logistic Regression (LR), for predicting stock trends based on fundamental…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 John Phan , Hung-Fu Chang

Stock return predictability is an important research theme as it reflects our economic and social organization, and significant efforts are made to explain the dynamism therein. Statistics of strong explanative power, called "factor" have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-26 Kei Nakagawa , Masaya Abe , Junpei Komiyama

Stock price prediction has been the focus of a large amount of research but an acceptable solution has so far escaped academics. Recent advances in deep learning have motivated researchers to apply neural networks to stock prediction. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib

Given financial data from popular sites like Yahoo and the London Exchange, the presented paper attempts to model and predict stocks that can be considered "good investments". Stocks are characterized by 125 features ranging from gross…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-03-10 Mike Wu

Application of machine learning for stock prediction is attracting a lot of attention in recent years. A large amount of research has been conducted in this area and multiple existing results have shown that machine learning methods could…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-14 Yuxuan Huang , Luiz Fernando Capretz , Danny Ho