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For multivariant Wright-Fisher models in population genetics, we introduce equilibrium states, expressed by fluctuations of probability ratio, in contrast to the traditionally used fluctuations, expressed by the difference between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-04 D. Koroliouk , V. S. Koroliuk

Stochastic vegetation-water dynamical systems play a pivotal role in ecological stability, biodiversity, water resource management, and adaptation to climate change. This research proposes a machine learning-based method for analyzing rare…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Shengyuan Xu

The Fisher-Stefan model involves solving the Fisher-KPP equation on a domain whose boundary evolves according to a Stefan-like condition. The Fisher-Stefan model alleviates two practical limitations of the standard Fisher-KPP model when…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-06-22 Alexander K. Y. Tam , Matthew J. Simpson

We study the stability of $\mathcal{M}_0$, an invariant subset of a Markov process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ on a metric space $\mathcal{M}$. By building the theory of average Lyapunov functions, we formulate general criteria based on the signs of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Juraj Foldes , Declan Stacy

Traditionally, frequency dependent evolutionary dynamics is described by deterministic replicator dynamics assuming implicitly infinite population sizes. Only recently have stochastic processes been introduced to study evolutionary dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

Extinction of a long-lived isolated stochastic population can be described as an exponentially slow decay of quasi-stationary probability distribution of the population size. We address extinction of a population in a two-population system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

We introduce a new model for plant metapopulations with a seed bank component, living in a fragmented environment in which local extinction events are frequent. This model is an intermediate between population dynamics models with a seed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Apolline Louvet

Isolated populations ultimately go extinct because of the intrinsic noise of elementary processes. In multi-population systems extinction of a population may occur via more than one route. We investigate this generic situation in a simple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Omer Gottesman , Baruch Meerson

Population dynamics reflects an underlying birth-death process, where the rates associated with different events may depend on external environmental conditions and on the population density. A whole family of simple and popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-03 Yitzhak Yahalom , Bnaya Steinmetz , Nadav M. Shnerb

Spatially extended population dynamics models that incorporate intrinsic noise serve as case studies for the role of fluctuations and correlations in biological systems. Including spatial structure and stochastic noise in predator-prey…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-09 Ulrich Dobramysl , Mauro Mobilia , Michel Pleimling , Uwe C. Täuber

In populations competing for resources, it is natural to ask whether consuming fewer resources provides any selective advantage. To answer this question, we propose a Wright- Fisher model with two types of individuals: the inefficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Adrian Gonzalez Casanova , Veronica Miro Pina , Juan Carlos Pardo

Macroevolution is considered as a problem of stochastic dynamics in a system with many competing agents. Evolutionary events (speciations and extinctions) are triggered by fitness records found by random exploration of the agents' fitness…

adap-org · Physics 2017-01-11 Paolo Sibani , Michael Brandt , Preben Alstroem

We describe a simple model of evolution which incorporates the branching and extinction of species lines, and also includes abiotic influences. A first principles approach is taken in which the probability for speciation and extinction are…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 D. A. Head , G. J. Rodgers

This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with a specific focus on models derived from ecology and population dynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different stochastic population size processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Sylvie Méléard , Denis Villemonais

Evolutionary game theory has impacted many fields of research by providing a mathematical framework for studying the evolution and maintenance of social and moral behaviors. This success is owed in large part to the demonstration that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-03 José F. Fontanari

Multi-type birth-death processes underlie approaches for inferring evolutionary dynamics from phylogenetic trees across biological scales, ranging from deep-time species macroevolution to rapid viral evolution and somatic cellular…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-02 William S. DeWitt , Steven N. Evans , Ella Hiesmayr , Sebastian Hummel

This paper generalizes the strong seed-bank model introduced in arXiv:1411.4747 to allow for more general dormancy time distributions, such as a type of Pareto distribution. Inspired by the method of approximation using models with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Likai Jiao

Transitions to absorbing states are of fundamental importance in non-equilibrium physics as well as ecology. In ecology, absorbing states correspond to the extinction of species. We here study the spatial population dynamics of three…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-27 Steffen Rulands , Alejandro Zielinski , Erwin Frey

Fisher's fundamental theorem of natural selection states that the rate of change in a population's mean fitness equals its additive genetic variance in fitness. This implies that mean fitness should not decline in a constant environment,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-18 Yun-Yun Yu , Cang Hui , Tian-Jiao Feng , Cong Li , Chao Wang , Yi Tao , Rui-Wu Wang

We analyze a general theory for coexistence and extinction of ecological communities that are influenced by stochastic temporal environmental fluctuations. The results apply to discrete time (stochastic difference equations), continuous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , Peter Chesson