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Decision trees are powerful for predictive modeling but often suffer from high variance when modeling continuous relationships. While algorithms like Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) excel at capturing such continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 William Pattie , Arvind Krishna

We study piecewise affine policies for multi-stage adjustable robust optimization (ARO) problems with non-negative right-hand side uncertainty. First, we construct new dominating uncertainty sets and show how a multi-stage ARO problem can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Simon Thomä , Grit Walther , Maximilian Schiffer

This paper presents a novel adaptive-sparse polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD) method for stochastic design optimization of complex systems. The method entails an adaptive-sparse PDD approximation of a high-dimensional stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Sharif Rahman , Xuchun Ren , Vaibhav Yadav

Algorithms for binary classification based on adaptive tree partitioning are formulated and analyzed for both their risk performance and their friendliness to numerical implementation. The algorithms can be viewed as generating a set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Peter Binev , Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Ronald DeVore

The objective in statistical Optimal Transport (OT) is to consistently estimate the optimal transport plan/map solely using samples from the given source and target marginal distributions. This work takes the novel approach of posing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 J. Saketha Nath , Pratik Jawanpuria

Variable division and optimization (D\&O) is a frequently utilized algorithm design paradigm in Evolutionary Algorithms (EAs). A D\&O EA divides a variable into partial variables and then optimize them respectively. A complicated problem is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Yi Chen , Aimin Zhou

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a popular Bayesian non-parametric regression model that is commonly used in causal inference and beyond. Its strong predictive performance is supported by well-developed estimation theory,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Yan Shuo Tan , Omer Ronen , Theo Saarinen , Bin Yu

There are many approaches for training decision trees. This work introduces a novel gradient-based method for constructing decision trees that optimize arbitrary differentiable loss functions, overcoming the limitations of heuristic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

In this article we propose a locally adaptive strategy for estimating a function from its Exponential Radon Transform (ERT) data, without prior knowledge of the smoothness of functions that are to be estimated. We build a non-parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Anuj Abhishek , Sakshi Arya

In this paper we analyze the necessary number of samples to estimate the gradient of any multidimensional smooth (possibly non-convex) function in a zero-order stochastic oracle model. In this model, an estimator has access to noisy values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Abdulrahman Alabdulkareem , Jean Honorio

For the discovery of regression relationships between Y and a large set of p potential predictors x 1 , . . . , x p , the flexible nonparametric nature of BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) allows for a much richer set of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-10-11 Hugh A. Chipman , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch , Thomas S. Shively

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Optimal path planning requires finding a series of feasible states from the starting point to the goal to optimize objectives. Popular path planning algorithms, such as Effort Informed Trees (EIT*), employ effort heuristics to guide the…

Optimal Transport (OT) has proven effective for domain adaptation (DA) by aligning distributions across domains with differing statistical properties. Building on the approach of Courty et al. (2016), who mapped source data to the target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-15 Brian Britos , Mathias Bourel

Traditionally, robust statistics has focused on designing estimators tolerant to a minority of contaminated data. Robust list-decodable learning focuses on the more challenging regime where only a minority $\frac 1 k$ fraction of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Daniel Kongsgaard , Jerry Li , Kevin Tian

Solving continuous Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) is challenging, particularly for high-dimensional continuous action spaces. To alleviate this difficulty, we propose a new sampling-based online POMDP solver, called…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Marcus Hoerger , Hanna Kurniawati , Dirk Kroese , Nan Ye

Multiple Additive Regression Trees (MART), an ensemble model of boosted regression trees, is known to deliver high prediction accuracy for diverse tasks, and it is widely used in practice. However, it suffers an issue which we call…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-11 K. V. Rashmi , Ran Gilad-Bachrach

Decision trees and their ensembles are endowed with a rich set of diagnostic tools for ranking and screening variables in a predictive model. Despite the widespread use of tree based variable importance measures, pinning down their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-14 Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Testing whether a variable of interest affects the outcome is one of the most fundamental problem in statistics and is often the main scientific question of interest. To tackle this problem, the conditional randomization test (CRT) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Dae Woong Ham , Jiaze Qiu

Multi-fidelity methods that use an ensemble of models to compute a Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation of a high-fidelity model can significantly reduce computational costs compared to single-model approaches. These methods use oracle…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-12 Thomas Dixon , Alex Gorodetsky , John Jakeman , Akil Narayan , Yiming Xu