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Predicting the incidence of complex chronic conditions such as heart failure is challenging. Deep learning models applied to rich electronic health records may improve prediction but remain unexplainable hampering their wider use in medical…

The large-scale properties of chemical reaction systems, such as the metabolism, can be studied with graph-based methods. To do this, one needs to reduce the information -- lists of chemical reactions -- available in databases. Even for the…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-09-25 Petter Holme

Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

A novel approach is developed for discovering directed connectivity between specified pairs of nodes in a high-dimensional network (HDN) of brain signals. To accurately identify causal connectivity for such specified objectives, it is…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-06 Sipan Aslan , Hernando Ombao

Congestion emerges when high demand peaks put transportation systems under stress. Understanding the interplay between the spatial organization of demand, the route choices of citizens, and the underlying infrastructures is thus crucial to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-29 Aleix Bassolas , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

This is a relevant problem because the design of most cities prioritizes the use of motorized vehicles, which has degraded air quality in recent years, having a negative effect on urban health. Modeling, predicting, and forecasting ambient…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Jamal Toutouh

We investigate the information-theoretical limits of inference tasks in epidemic spreading on graphs in the thermodynamic limit. The typical inference tasks consist in computing observables of the posterior distribution of the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-25 Alfredo Braunstein , Louise Budzynski , Matteo Mariani

When assessing the short term effect of air pollution on health outcomes, it is common practice to consider one pollutant at a time, due to their high correlation. Multi pollutant methods have been recently proposed, mainly consisting of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-19 Marta Blangiardo , Monica Pirani , Lauren Kanapka , Anna Hansell , Gary Fuller

Increasing evidence suggests that cities are complex systems, with structural and dynamical features responsible for a broad spectrum of emerging phenomena. Here we use a unique data set of human flows and couple it with information on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-22 Riccardo Gallotti , Giulia Bertagnolli , Manlio De Domenico

A unifying graph theoretic framework for the modelling of metro transportation networks is proposed. This is achieved by first introducing a basic graph framework for the modelling of the London underground system from a diffusion law point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Yao Lei Xu , Anthony G. Constantinides , Danilo P. Mandic

Urban flow monitoring systems play important roles in smart city efforts around the world. However, the ubiquitous deployment of monitoring devices, such as CCTVs, induces a long-lasting and enormous cost for maintenance and operation. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Yuxuan Liang , Kun Ouyang , Lin Jing , Sijie Ruan , Ye Liu , Junbo Zhang , David S. Rosenblum , Yu Zheng

Fusing satellite observations and station measurements to estimate ground-level PM2.5 is promising for monitoring PM2.5 pollution. A geo-intelligent approach, which incorporates geographical correlation into an intelligent deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-01-31 Tongwen Li , Huanfeng Shen , Qiangqiang Yuan , Xuechen Zhang , Liangpei Zhang

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Network cascade refers to diffusion processes in which outcome changes within part of an interconnected population trigger a sequence of changes across the entire network. These cascades are governed by underlying diffusion networks, which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Yubai Yuan , Siyu Huang , Abdul Basit Adeel

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

Air pollution, especially the particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5), has become a growing concern in recent years, primarily in urban areas. Being exposed to air pollution is linked to developing numerous health problems, like the aggravation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Dragoş-Andrei Şerban , Răzvan-Alexandru Smădu , Dumitru-Clementin Cercel

Air quality forecasting has been regarded as the key problem of air pollution early warning and control management. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for air quality (mainly PM2.5) forecasting, which learns the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li , Yan Yang , Shi-Jinn Horng

Air pollution is a significant health concern worldwide, contributing to various respiratory diseases. Advances in air quality mapping, driven by the emergence of smart cities and the proliferation of Internet-of-Things sensor devices, have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Anvita Mahajan , Sayali Mate , Chinmayee Kulkarni , Suraj Sawant

The prevalence of dementia is set to explode throughout the 21st century. This trend has already started in developed countries and will continue to place heavy pressures on both public health and social care services across the world. No…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-13 Christopher Drowley , Luke Burns

We have developed a steady state theory of complex transport networks used to model the flow of commodity, information, viruses, opinions, or traffic. Our approach is based on the use of the Markov chains defined on the graph…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Volchenkov , Ph. Blanchard