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We present a sampling-free approach for computing the epistemic uncertainty of a neural network. Epistemic uncertainty is an important quantity for the deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical applications, since it represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Janis Postels , Francesco Ferroni , Huseyin Coskun , Nassir Navab , Federico Tombari

An important feature of kernel mean embeddings (KME) is that the rate of convergence of the empirical KME to the true distribution KME can be bounded independently of the dimension of the space, properties of the distribution and smoothness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Pierre Alquier

We propose a new estimator for nonparametric binary choice models that does not impose a parametric structure on either the systematic function of covariates or the distribution of the error term. A key advantage of our approach is its…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Guo Yan

Given additional distributional information in the form of moment restrictions, kernel density and distribution function estimators with implied generalised empirical likelihood probabilities as weights achieve a reduction in variance due…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Vitaliy Oryshchenko , Richard J. Smith

Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

We propose a framework for hypothesis testing on conditional probability distributions, which we then use to construct statistical tests of functionals of conditional distributions. These tests identify the inputs where the functionals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Pierre-François Massiani , Christian Fiedler , Lukas Haverbeck , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

Goals for planning problems are typically conceived of as subsets of the state space. However, for many practical planning problems in robotics, we expect the robot to predict goals, e.g. from noisy sensors or by generalizing learned models…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Adam Conkey , Tucker Hermans

Probabilistic cellular automata with deterministic updating are quantum systems. We employ the quantum formalism for an investigation of random probabilistic cellular automata, which start with a probability distribution over initial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-17 A. Kreuzkamp , C. Wetterich

Techniques for understanding the functioning of complex machine learning models are becoming increasingly popular, not only to improve the validation process, but also to extract new insights about the data via exploratory analysis. Though…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Irene Kim , Rushil Anirudh , Peer-Timo Bremer

Data sites selected from modeling high-dimensional problems often appear scattered in non-paternalistic ways. Except for sporadic clustering at some spots, they become relatively far apart as the dimension of the ambient space grows. These…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Shao-Bo Lin , Xiangyu Chang , Xingping Sun

Probabilistic Logic Programming (PLP) under the Distribution Semantics is a leading approach to practical reasoning under uncertainty. An advantage of the Distribution Semantics is its suitability for implementation as a Prolog or Python…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Damiano Azzolini , Fabrizio Riguzzi , Theresa Swift

We propose and analyze a novel theoretical and algorithmic framework for structured prediction. While so far the term has referred to discrete output spaces, here we consider more general settings, such as manifolds or spaces of probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-14 Carlo Ciliberto , Lorenzo Rosasco , Alessandro Rudi

Modern datasets across many disciplines increasingly consist of time-evolving, potentially infinite-dimensional random objects, such as dynamic functional data, which are naturally modeled in Hilbert spaces. In these settings,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Daniel López-Montero , Antonio Álvarez-López , Marcos Matabuena

Improvement of statistical learning models in order to increase efficiency in solving classification or regression problems is still a goal pursued by the scientific community. In this way, the support vector machine model is one of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-22 Anderson Ara , Mateus Maia , Samuel Macêdo , Francisco Louzada

Data-driven control algorithms use observations of system dynamics to construct an implicit model for the purpose of control. However, in practice, data-driven techniques often require excessive sample sizes, which may be infeasible in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-10 Adam J. Thorpe , Cyrus Neary , Franck Djeumou , Meeko M. K. Oishi , Ufuk Topcu

Probability theory has become the predominant framework for quantifying uncertainty across scientific and engineering disciplines, with a particular focus on measurement and control systems. However, the widespread reliance on simple…

Image-based simulation, the use of 3D images to calculate physical quantities, fundamentally relies on image segmentation to create the computational geometry. However, this process introduces image segmentation uncertainty because there is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Michael C. Krygier , Tyler LaBonte , Carianne Martinez , Chance Norris , Krish Sharma , Lincoln N. Collins , Partha P. Mukherjee , Scott A. Roberts

We present an ``equation-free'' multiscale approach to the simulation of unsteady diffusion in a random medium. The diffusivity of the medium is modeled as a random field with short correlation length, and the governing equations are cast…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dongbin Xiu , Ioannis Kevrekidis

This paper shows how numerical methods on a regular grid in a box can be used to generate numerical schemes for problems in general smooth domains contained in the box with no need for a domain specific discretization. The focus is mainly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-14 Patrick Guidotti

A new methodology is proposed for generating realizations of a random vector with values in a finite-dimensional Euclidean space that are statistically consistent with a data set of observations of this vector. The probability distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Christian Soize , Roger Ghanem
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