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Kernel Bayesian inference is a principled approach to nonparametric inference in probabilistic graphical models, where probabilistic relationships between variables are learned from data in a nonparametric manner. Various algorithms of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-18 Yu Nishiyama , Motonobu Kanagawa , Arthur Gretton , Kenji Fukumizu

Nonlinearities in piezoelectric systems can arise from internal factors such as nonlinear constitutive laws or external factors like realizations of boundary conditions. It can be difficult or even impossible to derive detailed models from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Sai Tej Paruchuri , Jia Guo , Andrew J. Kurdila

Modern Bayesian optimization and adaptive sampling methods increasingly rely on nonlinear parametric models, yet theoretical guarantees for such models under adaptive data collection remain limited. Existing analyses largely focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Rafael Oliveira

Current methods for stochastic hyperparameter learning in Gaussian Processes (GPs) rely on approximations, such as computing biased stochastic gradients or using inducing points in stochastic variational inference. However, when using such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Neta Shoham , Haim Avron

In this manuscript we introduce numerical Gaussian process Kalman filtering (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been developed to simulate spatiotemporal models. The contribution of this paper is to embed numerical Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-12 Armin Küper , Steffen Waldherr

Popular safe Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms learn control policies for safety-critical systems in unknown environments. However, most algorithms make a smoothness assumption, which is encoded by a known bounded norm in a reproducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Abdullah Tokmak , Kiran G. Krishnan , Thomas B. Schön , Dominik Baumann

We derive a novel, provably robust, and closed-form Bayesian update rule for online filtering in state-space models in the presence of outliers and misspecified measurement models. Our method combines generalised Bayesian inference with…

Conventional Bayesian estimation requires an accurate stochastic model of a system. However, this requirement is not always met in many practical cases where the system is not completely known or may differ from the assumed model. For such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-05 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik

Multi-modal densities appear frequently in time series and practical applications. However, they cannot be represented by common state estimators, such as the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF), which…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Sanket Kamthe , Jan Peters , Marc P Deisenroth

This paper addresses state estimation of linear systems with special attention on unknown process and measurement noise covariances, aiming to enhance estimation accuracy while preserving the stability guarantee of the Kalman filter. To…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Xiangxiang Dong , Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Yunze Cai

Accurate modeling is crucial in many engineering and scientific applications, yet obtaining a reliable process model for complex systems is often challenging. To address this challenge, we propose a novel framework, reservoir computing with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Kumar Anurag , Kasra Azizi , Francesco Sorrentino , Wenbin Wan

For many nonlinear Bayesian state estimation problems, the posterior recursion is not analytically tractable, leading to algorithms that are influenced by numerical approximation errors. These algorithms depend on parameters that affect the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Ondrej Straka , Felipe Giraldo-Grueso , Renato Zanetti

Accurate state estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is fundamental to modern aerospace operations across air, sea, and space domains. Online tracking of adversarial unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is especially challenging due to agile…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Akhil Gupta , Erhan Guven

In this paper, we propose a non-parametric method for state estimation of high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems, which evolve according to gradient flows with isotropic diffusion. We combine diffusion maps, a manifold…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-26 Tal Shnitzer , Ronen Talmon , Jean-Jacques Slotine

The Koopman operator provides a powerful framework for representing the dynamics of general nonlinear dynamical systems. However, existing data-driven approaches to learning the Koopman operator rely on batch data. In this work, we present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-16 Boya Hou , Sina Sanjari , Nathan Dahlin , Alec Koppel , Subhonmesh Bose

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a data assimilation technique that uses an ensemble of models, updated with data, to track the time evolution of a usually non-linear system. It does so by using an empirical approximation to the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-12 Elizabeth Hou , Earl Lawrence , Alfred O. Hero

The Geometrically Intrinsic Nonlinear Recursive Filter, or GI Filter, is designed to estimate an arbitrary continuous-time Markov diffusion process X subject to nonlinear discrete-time observations. The GI Filter is fundamentally different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

This paper introduces a solution to the problem of selecting dynamically (online) the ``optimal'' p-norm to combat outliers in linear adaptive filtering without any knowledge on the probability density function of the outliers. The proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Yuki Akiyama , Minh Vu , Konstantinos Slavakis

Learning nonparametric systems of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) dot x = f(t,x) from noisy data is an emerging machine learning topic. We use the well-developed theory of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS) to define candidates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Kamel Lahouel , Michael Wells , Victor Rielly , Ethan Lew , David Lovitz , Bruno M. Jedynak

We consider Bayesian inference for large scale inverse problems, where computational challenges arise from the need for repeated evaluations of an expensive forward model. This renders most Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches infeasible,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart
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