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The portfolio optimization problem in which the variances of the return rates of assets are not identical is analyzed in this paper using the methodology of statistical mechanical informatics, specifically, replica analysis. We define two…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato

In this paper we provide a novel family of stochastic orders that generalizes second order stochastic dominance, which we call the $\alpha,[a,b]$-concave stochastic orders. These stochastic orders are generated by a novel set of "very"…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Bar Light , Andres Perlroth

This paper is devoted to study the optimal portfolio problem. Harry Markowitz's Ph.D. thesis prepared the ground for the mathematical theory of finance. In modern portfolio theory, we typically find asset returns that are modeled by a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-30 Hassan Omidi Firouzi , Andrew Luong

We propose a definition of diversification as a binary relationship between financial portfolios. According to it, a convex linear combination of several risk positions with some weights is considered to be less risky than the probabilistic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Maria Logvaneva , Mikhail Tselishchev

We study dynamic optimal portfolio allocation for monotone mean--variance preferences in a general semimartingale model. Armed with new results in this area we revisit the work of Cui, Li, Wang and Zhu (2012, MAFI) and fully characterize…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-23 Aleš Černý

Overconservatism has long been recognized as a major issue with robust optimization, despite its key advantages of tractability, performance guarantee, and limited information. To address this issue, a new criterion is proposed that can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Yingjie Lan

Bayesian quadrature optimization (BQO) maximizes the expectation of an expensive black-box integrand taken over a known probability distribution. In this work, we study BQO under distributional uncertainty in which the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Thanh Tang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Huong Ha , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

The so-called Pareto-Levy or power-law distribution has been successfully used as a model to describe probabilities associated to extreme variations of worldwide stock markets indexes data and it has the form $Pr(X>x) ~ x**(-alpha) for…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 H. F. Coronel-Brizio , A. R. Hernandez-Montoya

We present a detailed study of the performance of a trading rule that uses moving average of past returns to predict future returns on stock indexes. Our main goal is to link performance and the stochastic process of the traded asset. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-03 Fernando F. Ferreira , A. Christian Silva , Ju-Yi Yen

A portfolio of different stocks and a risk-less security whose composition is dynamically maintained stable by trading shares at any time step leads to a growth of the capital with a nonrandom rate. This is the key for the theory of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Serva

The first moment and second central moments of the portfolio return, a.k.a. mean and variance, have been widely employed to assess the expected profit and risk of the portfolio. Investors pursue higher mean and lower variance when designing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Rui Zhou , Daniel P. Palomar

Among professionals and academics alike, it is well known that active portfolio management is unable to provide additional risk-adjusted returns relative to their benchmarks. For this reason, passive wealth management has emerged in recent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-28 Daniele Bufalo , Michele Bufalo , Francesco Cesarone , Giuseppe Orlando

We obtain a lower asymptotic bound on the decay rate of the probability of a portfolio's underperformance against a benchmark over a large time horizon. It is assumed that the prices of the securities are governed by geometric Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-04 Anatolii A. Puhalskii , Michael Jay Stutzer

We study a sequential resource allocation problem between a fixed number of arms. On each iteration the algorithm distributes a resource among the arms in order to maximize the expected success rate. Allocating more of the resource to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-29 Yuval Dagan , Koby Crammer

We consider a single-period portfolio selection problem for an investor, maximizing the expected ratio of the portfolio utility and the utility of a best asset taken in hindsight. The decision rules are based on the history of stock returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-11 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

We determine the optimal investment strategy in a Black-Scholes financial market to minimize the so-called {\it probability of drawdown}, namely, the probability that the value of an investment portfolio reaches some fixed proportion of its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-16 Bahman Angoshtari , Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

The Zipf distribution also known as scale-free distribution or discrete Pareto distribution, is the particular case of Power Law distribution with support the strictly positive integers. It is a one-parameter distribution with a linear…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-29 Marta Pérez-Casany , Aina Casellas

We derive a closed form portfolio optimization rule for an investor who is diffident about mean return and volatility estimates, and has a CRRA utility. The novelty is that confidence is here represented using ellipsoidal uncertainty sets…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-11 Sara Biagini , Mustafa Pinar

Attempts to allocate capital across a selection of different investments are often hampered by the fact that investors' decisions are made under limited information (no historical return data) and during an extremely limited timeframe.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-22 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Fabian Poetter , Tim Schmitz

Portfolio sorting is ubiquitous in the empirical finance literature, where it has been widely used to identify pricing anomalies. Despite its popularity, little attention has been paid to the statistical properties of the procedure. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-21 Matias D. Cattaneo , Richard K. Crump , Max H. Farrell , Ernst Schaumburg