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We study a sequential-learning model featuring a network of naive agents with Gaussian information structures. Agents apply a heuristic rule to aggregate predecessors' actions. They weigh these actions according the strengths of their…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-05 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

We consider a group of Bayesian agents who try to estimate a state of the world $\theta$ through interaction on a social network. Each agent $v$ initially receives a private measurement of $\theta$: a number $S_v$ picked from a Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-24 Elchanan Mossel , Noah Olsman , Omer Tamuz

Agents learn about a changing state using private signals and their neighbors' past estimates of the state. We present a model in which Bayesian agents in equilibrium use neighbors' estimates simply by taking weighted sums with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-11-28 Krishna Dasaratha , Benjamin Golub , Nir Hak

Complex systems show the capacity to aggregate information and to display coordinated activity. In the case of social systems the interaction of different individuals leads to the emergence of norms, trends in political positions, opinions,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-25 Toni Pérez , Jordi Zamora , Víctor M. Eguíluz

To make decisions we are guided by the evidence we collect, as well as the opinions of friends and neighbors. How do we integrate our private beliefs with information we obtain from our social network? To understand the strategies humans…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Bhargav Karamched , Simon Stolarczyk , Zachary Kilpatrick , Krešimir Josić

We study how long-lived, rational agents learn in a social network. In every period, after observing the past actions of his neighbors, each agent receives a private signal, and chooses an action whose payoff depends only on the state.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-22 Wanying Huang , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

We study how long-lived rational agents learn from repeatedly observing a private signal and each others' actions. With normal signals, a group of any size learns more slowly than just four agents who directly observe each others' private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Matan Harel , Elchanan Mossel , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

Social learning refers to the process by which networked strategic agents learn an unknown state of the world by observing private state-related signals as well as other agents' actions. In their classic work, Bikhchandani, Hirshleifer and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Xupeng Wei , Achilleas Anastasopoulos

We describe a Bayesian model for social learning of a random variable in which agents might observe each other over a directed network. The outcomes produced are compared to those from a model in which observations occur randomly over a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-03 Stan Palasek

It is well understood that the structure of a social network is critical to whether or not agents can aggregate information correctly. In this paper, we study social networks that support information aggregation when rational agents act…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-11 Itai Arieli , Fedor Sandomirskiy , Rann Smorodinsky

We consider a set of agents who are attempting to iteratively learn the 'state of the world' from their neighbors in a social network. Each agent initially receives a noisy observation of the true state of the world. The agents then…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-02-08 Yashodhan Kanoria , Omer Tamuz

Non-Bayesian social learning enables multiple agents to conduct networked signal and information processing through observing environmental signals and information aggregating. Traditional non-Bayesian social learning models only consider…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Dongyan Sui , Weichen Cao , Stefan Vlaski , Chun Guan , Siyang Leng

This paper surveys mathematical models, structural results and algorithms in controlled sensing with social learning in social networks. Part 1, namely Bayesian Social Learning with Controlled Sensing addresses the following questions: How…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-29 Vikram Krishnamurthy

We consider model social networks in which information propagates directionally across layers of rational agents. Each agent makes a locally optimal estimate of the state of the world, and communicates this estimate to agents downstream.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-22 Simon Stolarczyk , Manisha Bhardwaj , Kevin E. Bassler , Wei Ji Ma , Kresimir Josic

We conduct a sequential social-learning experiment where subjects each guess a hidden state based on private signals and the guesses of a subset of their predecessors. A network determines the observable predecessors, and we compare…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-21 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

Following the Bayesian communication learning paradigm, we propose a finite population learning concept to capture the level of information aggregation in any given network, where agents are allowed to communicate with neighbors repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-12-13 Jianqing Fan , Xin Tong , Yao Zeng

A Bayesian network is a graphical model that encodes probabilistic relationships among variables of interest. When used in conjunction with statistical techniques, the graphical model has several advantages for data analysis. One, because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 David Heckerman

We consider a group of strategic agents who must each repeatedly take one of two possible actions. They learn which of the two actions is preferable from initial private signals, and by observing the actions of their neighbors in a social…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Elchanan Mossel , Allan Sly , Omer Tamuz

The DeGroot model of naive social learning assumes that agents only communicate scalar opinions. In practice, agents communicate not only their opinions, but their confidence in such opinions. We propose a model that captures this aspect of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Jerry Anunrojwong , Nat Sothanaphan

As one of the classic models that describe the belief dynamics over social networks, a non-Bayesian social learning model assumes that members in the network possess accurate signal knowledge through the process of Bayesian inference. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Sannyuya Liu , Zhonghua Yan , Xiufeng Cheng , Liang Zhao
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