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Many real-world analytics problems involve two significant challenges: prediction and optimization. Due to the typically complex nature of each challenge, the standard paradigm is predict-then-optimize. By and large, machine learning tools…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Adam N. Elmachtoub , Paul Grigas

The predict-then-optimize (PTO) framework is indispensable for addressing practical stochastic decision-making tasks. It consists of two crucial steps: initially predicting unknown parameters of an optimization model and subsequently…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-20 Jixian Liu , Tao Xu , Jianping He , Chongrong Fang

Prediction+optimization is a common real-world paradigm where we have to predict problem parameters before solving the optimization problem. However, the criteria by which the prediction model is trained are often inconsistent with the goal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Kai Yan , Jie Yan , Chuan Luo , Liting Chen , Qingwei Lin , Dongmei Zhang

Improvements in return forecast accuracy do not always lead to proportional improvements in portfolio decision quality, especially under realistic trading frictions and constraints. This paper adopts the Smart Predict--then--Optimize (SPO)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Wang Yi , Takashi Hasuike

Many decision processes in artificial intelligence and operations research are modeled by parametric optimization problems whose defining parameters are unknown and must be inferred from observable data. The Predict-Then-Optimize (PtO)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-13 My H Dinh , James Kotary , Ferdinando Fioretto

Creating impact in real-world settings requires artificial intelligence techniques to span the full pipeline from data, to predictive models, to decisions. These components are typically approached separately: a machine learning model is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Bryan Wilder , Bistra Dilkina , Milind Tambe

Prediction models are typically optimized independently from decision optimization. A smart predict then optimize (SPO) framework optimizes prediction models to minimize downstream decision regret. In this paper we present dboost, the first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Andrew Butler , Roy H. Kwon

Many machine learning (ML) models are integrated within the context of a larger system as part of a key component for decision making processes. Concretely, predictive models are often employed in estimating the parameters for the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Bing Zhang , Yuya Jeremy Ong , Taiga Nakamura

Neural combinatorial optimization (NCO) has gained significant attention due to the potential of deep learning to efficiently solve combinatorial optimization problems. NCO has been widely applied to job shop scheduling problems (JSPs) with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Igor G. Smit , Yaoxin Wu , Pavel Troubil , Yingqian Zhang , Wim P. M. Nuijten

We study an online contextual decision-making problem with resource constraints. At each time period, the decision-maker first predicts a reward vector and resource consumption matrix based on a given context vector and then solves a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Heyuan Liu , Paul Grigas

Many machine learning models, such as logistic regression~(LR) and support vector machine~(SVM), can be formulated as composite optimization problems. Recently, many distributed stochastic optimization~(DSO) methods have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-13 Shen-Yi Zhao , Ru Xiang , Ying-Hao Shi , Peng Gao , Wu-Jun Li

The predict+optimize problem combines machine learning ofproblem coefficients with a combinatorial optimization prob-lem that uses the predicted coefficients. While this problemcan be solved in two separate stages, it is better to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Ali Ugur Guler , Emir Demirovic , Jeffrey Chan , James Bailey , Christopher Leckie , Peter J. Stuckey

Multi-objective combinatorial optimization seeks Pareto-optimal solutions over exponentially large discrete spaces, yet existing methods sacrifice generality, scalability, or theoretical guarantees. We reformulate it as an online learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Esha Singh , Dongxia Wu , Chien-Yi Yang , Tajana Rosing , Rose Yu , Yi-An Ma

Real-world decision-making systems are often subject to uncertainties that have to be resolved through observational data. Therefore, we are frequently confronted with combinatorial optimization problems of which the objective function is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Guangmo Tong

We consider the use of decision trees for decision-making problems under the predict-then-optimize framework. That is, we would like to first use a decision tree to predict unknown input parameters of an optimization problem, and then make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Adam N. Elmachtoub , Jason Cheuk Nam Liang , Ryan McNellis

Stochastic compositional optimization (SCO) has attracted considerable attention because of its broad applicability to important real-world problems. However, existing works on SCO assume that the projection within a solution update is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Shuoguang Yang , Wei You , Zhe Zhang , Ethan X. Fang

Learning to optimize (L2O) has recently emerged as a promising approach to solving optimization problems by exploiting the strong prediction power of neural networks and offering lower runtime complexity than conventional solvers. While L2O…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Zhihui Shao , Jianyi Yang , Cong Shen , Shaolei Ren

We study an extension of contextual stochastic linear optimization (CSLO) that, in contrast to most of the existing literature, involves inequality constraints that depend on uncertain parameters predicted by a machine learning model. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Hyungki Im , Wyame Benslimane , Paul Grigas

Decision-focused learning integrates predictive modeling and combinatorial optimization by training models to directly improve decision quality rather than prediction accuracy alone. Differentiating through combinatorial optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Victor Spitzer , Francois Sanson

Contextual optimization, also known as predict-then-optimize or prescriptive analytics, considers an optimization problem with the presence of covariates (context or side information). The goal is to learn a prediction model (from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Chunlin Sun , Linyu Liu , Xiaocheng Li
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