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Time series forecasting is prevalent in various real-world applications. Despite the promising results of deep learning models in time series forecasting, especially the Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), the explanations of time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Chaoqun Wang , Yijun Li , Xiangqian Sun , Qi Wu , Dongdong Wang , Zhixiang Huang

Post-training data plays a pivotal role in shaping the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs), yet datasets are often treated as isolated artifacts, overlooking the systemic connections that underlie their evolution. To disentangle…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yu Li , Xiaoran Shang , Qizhi Pei , Yun Zhu , Xin Gao , Honglin Lin , Zhanping Zhong , Zhuoshi Pan , Zheng Liu , Xiaoyang Wang , Conghui He , Dahua Lin , Feng Zhao , Lijun Wu

In this paper we consider a regression model that allows for time series covariates as well as heteroscedasticity with a regression function that is modelled nonparametrically. We assume that the regression function changes at some unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Maria Mohr , Leonie Selk

We develop a criterion to certify whether causal effects are identifiable in linear structural equation models with latent variables. Linear structural equation models correspond to directed graphs whose nodes represent the random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-25 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton

Large language models (LLMs) show remarkable capabilities across a variety of tasks. Despite the models only seeing text in training, several recent studies suggest that LLM representations implicitly capture aspects of the underlying…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Yutaro Yamada , Yihan Bao , Andrew K. Lampinen , Jungo Kasai , Ilker Yildirim

State-space models (SSM) are central to describe time-varying complex systems in countless signal processing applications such as remote sensing, networks, biomedicine, and finance to name a few. Inference and prediction in SSMs are…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux

In this paper, we question the rationale behind propagating large numbers of parameters through a distributed system during federated learning. We start by examining the rank characteristics of the subspace spanned by gradients across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Sheikh Shams Azam , Seyyedali Hosseinalipour , Qiang Qiu , Christopher Brinton

Laplacian regularized stratified models (LRSM) are models that utilize the explicit or implicit network structure of the sub-problems as defined by the categorical features called strata (e.g., age, region, time, forecast horizon, etc.),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-05 Ziheng Cheng , Junzi Zhang , Akshay Agrawal , Stephen Boyd

There remains an open question about the usefulness and the interpretation of Machine learning (MLE) approaches for discrimination of spatial patterns of brain images between samples or activation states. In the last few decades, these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-22 JM Gorriz , R. Martin-Clemente , C. G. Puntonet , A. Ortiz , J. Ramirez , J. Suckling

The Linear Multistep Method Particle Filter (LMM PF) is a method for predicting the evolution in time of a evolutionary system governed by a system of differential equations. If some of the parameters of the governing equations are…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Daniela Calvetti , Salvatore Cuomo , Monica Pragliola , Erkki Somersalo , Gerardo Toraldo

In this paper we propose a solution to the problem of parameter estimation of nonlinearly parameterized regressions--continuous or discrete time--and apply it for system identification and adaptive control. We restrict our attention to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Romeo Ortega , Vladislav Gromov , Emmanuel Nuño , Anton Pyrkin , Jose Guadalupe Romero

Maximum likelihood or restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimates of the parameters in linear mixed-effects models can be determined using the lmer function in the lme4 package for R. As for most model-fitting functions in R, the model…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-24 Douglas Bates , Martin Mächler , Ben Bolker , Steve Walker

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), and specifically a variant with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), are enjoying renewed interest as a result of successful applications in a wide range of machine learning problems that involve sequential data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-18 Andrej Karpathy , Justin Johnson , Li Fei-Fei

As deep neural networks continue to revolutionize various application domains, there is increasing interest in making these powerful models more understandable and interpretable, and narrowing down the causes of good and bad predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-21 Viktoriya Krakovna , Finale Doshi-Velez

Unmeasured or latent variables are often the cause of correlations between multivariate measurements, which are studied in a variety of fields such as psychology, ecology, and medicine. For Gaussian measurements, there are classical tools…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Łukasz Kidziński , Francis K. C. Hui , David I. Warton , Trevor Hastie

Legacy procedures for topic modelling have generally suffered problems of overfitting and a weakness towards reconstructing sparse topic structures. With motivation from a consumer-generated corpora, this paper proposes semiparametric topic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dominic B. Dayta , Erniel B. Barrios

In this paper, we propose a covariate-adjusted nonlinear regression model. In this model, both the response and predictors can only be observed after being distorted by some multiplicative factors. Because of nonlinearity, existing methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Xia Cui , Wensheng Guo , Lu Lin , Lixing Zhu

Grain Growth strongly influences the mechanical behavior of materials, making its prediction a key objective in microstructural engineering. In this study, several deep learning approaches were evaluated, including recurrent neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Eliane Younes , Elie Hachem , Marc Bernacki

We propose a general framework for non-normal multivariate data analysis called multivariate covariance generalized linear models (McGLMs), designed to handle multivariate response variables, along with a wide range of temporal and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Bent Jørgensen

Nonstationary and non-Gaussian spatial data are common in various fields, including ecology (e.g., counts of animal species), epidemiology (e.g., disease incidence counts in susceptible regions), and environmental science (e.g.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-01 Remy MacDonald , Benjamin Seiyon Lee