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We present an optimization process to estimate parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations from chaotic time series. The optimization technique is based on a variational approach, and numerical studies on noisy time series…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-31 Jose-Maria Fullana

In many applications it is desirable to infer coarse-grained models from observational data. The observed process often corresponds only to a few selected degrees of freedom of a high-dimensional dynamical system with multiple time scales.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Serafim Kalliadasis , Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Differentiable programming has recently received much interest as a paradigm that facilitates taking gradients of computer programs. While the corresponding flexible gradient-based optimization approaches so far have been used predominantly…

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have been widely used to model real world random phenomena. Existing works mainly focus on the case where the time series is modeled by a single SDE, which might be restrictive for modeling time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Zhongchang Sun , Yousef El-Laham , Svitlana Vyetrenko

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

Naively trained AI models can be heavily biased. This can be particularly problematic when the biases involve legally or morally protected attributes such as ethnic background, age or gender. Existing solutions to this problem come at the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Nicholas Rosa , Tom Drummond , Mehrtash Harandi

The rapid progress in machine learning in recent years has been based on a highly productive connection to gradient-based optimization. Further progress hinges in part on a shift in focus from pattern recognition to decision-making and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Neha S. Wadia , Yatin Dandi , Michael I. Jordan

In many application areas, predictive models are used to support or make important decisions. There is increasing awareness that these models may contain spurious or otherwise undesirable correlations. Such correlations may arise from a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-21 Emanuele Aliverti , Kristian Lum , James E. Johndrow , David B. Dunson

We propose an algorithm to impute and forecast a time series by transforming the observed time series into a matrix, utilizing matrix estimation to recover missing values and de-noise observed entries, and performing linear regression to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Anish Agarwal , Muhammad Jehangir Amjad , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen

We investigate dynamic algorithms for the interval scheduling problem. Our algorithm runs in amortised time $O(\log n)$ for query operation and $O(d\log^2 n)$ for insertion and removal operations, where $n$ and $d$ are the maximal numbers…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-12-30 Alex Gavryushkin , Bakhadyr Khoussainov , Mikhail Kokho , Jiamou Liu

The rise of connected personal devices together with privacy concerns call for machine learning algorithms capable of leveraging the data of a large number of agents to learn personalized models under strong privacy requirements. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Aurélien Bellet , Rachid Guerraoui , Mahsa Taziki , Marc Tommasi

We provide a more efficient algorithm for computing the Rand Index when the data cluster comes from a change-point detection problem. Given $N$ data points and two clusterings of size $r$ and $s$, the algorithm runs on $O(r+s)$ time…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Lucas de Oliveira Prates

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for changepoints where the number and position of the changepoints are both unknown. In particular, we consider product partition models where it is possible to integrate out model parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

In the past few years, following the differentiable programming paradigm, there has been a growing interest in computing the gradient information of physical processes (e.g., physical simulation, image rendering). However, such processes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Quentin Le Lidec , Louis Montaut , Cordelia Schmid , Ivan Laptev , Justin Carpentier

Differential equations in general and neural ODEs in particular are an essential technique in continuous-time system identification. While many deterministic learning algorithms have been designed based on numerical integration via the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Lenart Treven , Philippe Wenk , Florian Dörfler , Andreas Krause

We study the problem of differentially private second moment estimation and present a new algorithm that achieve strong privacy-utility trade-offs even for worst-case inputs under subsamplability assumptions on the data. We call an input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Bar Mahpud , Or Sheffet

In numerous settings, agents lack sufficient data to directly learn a model. Collaborating with other agents may help, but it introduces a bias-variance trade-off, when local data distributions differ. A key challenge is for each agent to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Franco Galante , Giovanni Neglia , Emilio Leonardi

We present the first review of methods to overapproximate the set of reachable states of linear time-invariant systems subject to uncertain initial states and input signals for short time horizons. These methods are fundamental to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Marcelo Forets , Christian Schilling

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

Marginalization of latent variables or nuisance parameters is a fundamental aspect of Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification. In this work, we focus on scalable marginalization of latent variables in modeling correlated data,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Mengyang Gu , Xubo Liu , Xinyi Fang , Sui Tang