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Time series prediction is often complicated by distribution shift which demands adaptive models to accommodate time-varying distributions. We frame time series prediction under distribution shift as a weighted empirical risk minimisation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Stefanos Bennett , Jase Clarkson

We present quantum algorithms to efficiently perform discriminant analysis for dimensionality reduction and classification over an exponentially large input data set. Compared with the best-known classical algorithms, the quantum algorithms…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-07-12 Iris Cong , Luming Duan

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

We introduce a generalization of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm in the discrete time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths of Markov chains. By interpreting the algorithm as a…

The change-point detection problem seeks to identify distributional changes in streams of data. Increasingly, tools for change-point detection are applied in settings where data may be highly sensitive and formal privacy guarantees are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Rachel Cummings , Sara Krehbiel , Yuliia Lut , Wanrong Zhang

Many analysis and machine learning tasks require the availability of marginal statistics on multidimensional datasets while providing strong privacy guarantees for the data subjects. Applications for these statistics range from finding…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-11-09 Tejas Kulkarni , Graham Cormode , Divesh Srivastava

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

Partitioning a set of elements into an unknown number of mutually exclusive subsets is essential in many machine learning problems. However, assigning elements, such as samples in a dataset or neurons in a network layer, to an unknown and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Thomas M. Sutter , Alain Ryser , Joram Liebeskind , Julia E. Vogt

Many learning algorithms are formulated in terms of finding model parameters which minimize a data-fitting loss function plus a regularizer. When the regularizer involves the l0 pseudo-norm, the resulting regularization path consists of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-06 Toby Hocking , Joseph Vargovich

Data-driven methods that detect anomalies in times series data are ubiquitous in practice, but they are in general unable to provide helpful explanations for the predictions they make. In this work we propose a model-agnostic algorithm that…

Time series data that are not measured at regular intervals are commonly discretized as a preprocessing step. For example, data about customer arrival times might be simplified by summing the number of arrivals within hourly intervals,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-09 Peter Schulam , Suchi Saria

The selection of algorithms is a crucial step in designing AI services for real-world time series classification use cases. Traditional methods such as neural architecture search, automated machine learning, combined algorithm selection,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Lars Böcking , Leopold Müller , Niklas Kühl

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

We address the problem of sequentially selecting and observing processes from a given set to find the anomalies among them. The decision-maker observes one process at a time and obtains a noisy binary indicator of whether or not the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Geethu Joseph , M. Cenk Gursoy , Pramod K. Varshney

We address the problem of sequentially selecting and observing processes from a given set to find the anomalies among them. The decision-maker observes a subset of the processes at any given time instant and obtains a noisy binary indicator…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Geethu Joseph , Chen Zhong , M. Cenk Gursoy , Senem Velipasalar , Pramod K. Varshney

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

A subalgebraic approximation algorithm is proposed to estimate from a set of time series the parameters of the observer representation of a discrete-time polynomial system without inputs which can generate an approximation of the observed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-09 Jana Němcová , Mihály Petreczky , Jan H. van Schuppen

We consider a quantum system with a time-independent Hamiltonian parametrized by a set of unknown parameters $\alpha$. The system is prepared in a general quantum state by an evolution operator that depends on a set of unknown parameters…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-10 Wucheng Zhang , Ilia Tutunnikov , Ilya Sh. Averbukh , Roman V. Krems

Machine learning pipelines often rely on optimization procedures to make discrete decisions (e.g., sorting, picking closest neighbors, or shortest paths). Although these discrete decisions are easily computed, they break the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Quentin Berthet , Mathieu Blondel , Olivier Teboul , Marco Cuturi , Jean-Philippe Vert , Francis Bach