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Bayesian inference under a set of priors, called robust Bayesian analysis, allows for estimation of parameters within a model and quantification of epistemic uncertainty in quantities of interest by bounded (or imprecise) probability.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-15 Ivette Raices Cruz , Johan Lindström , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Ullrika Sahlin

In this paper we propose to numerically assess the performance of standard Gaussian approximations to probe the posterior distribution that arises from Bayesian data assimilation in petroleum reservoirs. In particular we assess the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-11 Marco A. Iglesias , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart

This paper brings explicit considerations of distributed computing architectures and data structures into the rigorous design of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. A theoretical result established recently by the authors shows that…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-24 Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

We propose a generic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to speed up computations for datasets with many observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-03 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

Conventional frequentist learning, as assumed by existing federated learning protocols, is limited in its ability to quantify uncertainty, incorporate prior knowledge, guide active learning, and enable continual learning. Bayesian learning…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Dongzhu Liu , Osvaldo Simeone

We propose a tree-based semi-varying coefficient model for the Conway-Maxwell- Poisson (CMP or COM-Poisson) distribution which is a two-parameter generalization of the Poisson distribution and is flexible enough to capture both…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-27 Suneel Babu Chatla , Galit Shmueli

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling from a posterior distribution corresponding to a massive data set can be computationally prohibitive since producing one sample requires a number of operations that is linear in the data size. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-03 Reihaneh Entezari , Radu V. Craiu , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We propose a novel Bayesian inference framework for distributed differentially private linear regression. We consider a distributed setting where multiple parties hold parts of the data and share certain summary statistics of their portions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-08 Barış Alparslan , Sinan Yıldırım , Ş. İlker Birbil

We develop a scalable multi-step Monte Carlo algorithm for inference under a large class of nonparametric Bayesian models for clustering and classification. Each step is "embarrassingly parallel" and can be implemented using the same Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-08 Yang Ni , Peter Müller , Maurice Diesendruck , Sinead Williamson , Yitan Zhu , Yuan Ji

We propose and study a multi-scale approach to vector quantization. We develop an algorithm, dubbed reconstruction trees, inspired by decision trees. Here the objective is parsimonious reconstruction of unsupervised data, rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Enrico Cecini , Ernesto De Vito , Lorenzo Rosasco

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods comprise one of the most successful approaches to approximate Bayesian filtering. However, SMC without good proposal distributions struggle in high dimensions. We propose nested sequential Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-30 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Machine learning iterative imputation methods have been well accepted by researchers for imputing missing data, but they can be time-consuming when handling large datasets. To overcome this drawback, parallel computing strategies have been…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-24 Shangzhi Hong , Yuqi Sun , Hanying Li , Henry S. Lynn

In this paper we consider fully Bayesian inference in general state space models. Existing particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms use an augmented model that takes into account all the variable sampled in a sequential Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-31 Christopher K. Carter , Eduardo F. Mendes , Robert Kohn

This paper presents an improved implicit sampling method for hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems. A widely used approach for sampling posterior distribution is based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, the samples generated by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Xiaoyan Song , Lijian Jiang , Guanghui Zheng

In this paper we propose the first non-parametric Bayesian model using Gaussian Processes to make inference on Poisson Point Processes without resorting to gridding the domain or to introducing latent thinning points. Unlike competing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-30 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen Roberts

Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are…

This paper proposes a new randomized strategy for adaptive MCMC using Bayesian optimization. This approach applies to non-differentiable objective functions and trades off exploration and exploitation to reduce the number of potentially…

Computation · Statistics 2011-11-01 Nimalan Mahendran , Ziyu Wang , Firas Hamze , Nando de Freitas

For big data analysis, high computational cost for Bayesian methods often limits their applications in practice. In recent years, there have been many attempts to improve computational efficiency of Bayesian inference. Here we propose an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-19 Cheng Zhang , Babak Shahbaba , Hongkai Zhao

Phylogenetic comparative methods correct for shared evolutionary history among a set of non-independent organisms by modeling sample traits as arising from a diffusion process along on the branches of a possibly unknown history. To…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-30 Paul Bastide , Lam Si Tung Ho , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A Suchard

In recent years dynamical modelling has been provided with a range of breakthrough methods to perform exact Bayesian inference. However it is often computationally unfeasible to apply exact statistical methodologies in the context of large…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-24 Umberto Picchini , Julie Lyng Forman