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Data following an interval structure are increasingly prevalent in many scientific applications. In medicine, clinical events are often monitored between two clinical visits, making the exact time of the event unknown and generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , Michael R. Kosorok , Marcos Matabuena

To facilitate effective decision-making, precipitation datasets should include uncertainty estimates. Quantile regression with machine learning has been proposed for issuing such estimates. Distributional regression offers distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

Gradient matching is a promising tool for learning parameters and state dynamics of ordinary differential equations. It is a grid free inference approach, which, for fully observable systems is at times competitive with numerical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-11 Nico S. Gorbach , Stefan Bauer , Joachim M. Buhmann

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini

Georeferenced compositional data are prominent in many scientific fields and in spatial statistics. This work addresses the problem of proposing models and methods to analyze and predict, through kriging, this type of data. To this purpose,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Lucia Clarotto , Denis Allard , Alessandra Menafoglio

Iterative geostatistical seismic inversion integrates seismic and well data to infer the spatial distribution of subsurface elastic properties. These methods provide limited assessment to the spatial uncertainty of the inverted elastic…

Max-stable processes are increasingly widely used for modelling complex extreme events, but existing fitting methods are computationally demanding, limiting applications to a few dozen variables. $r$-Pareto processes are mathematically…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 Raphaël de Fondeville , Anthony C. Davison

The computational effort for the evaluation of numerical simulations based on e.g. the finite-element method is high. Metamodels can be utilized to create a low-cost alternative. However the number of required samples for the creation of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Jan N. Fuhg

Geostatistical seismic inversion is commonly used to infer the spatial distribution of the subsurface petro-elastic properties by perturbing the model parameter space through iterative stochastic sequential simulations/co-simulations. The…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-19 Leonardo Azevedo , Vasily Demyanov

Onboard terrain sensing and mapping for safe planetary landings often suffer from missed hazardous features, e.g., small rocks, due to the large observational range and the limited resolution of the obtained terrain data. To this end, this…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-09 Kento Tomita , Koki Ho

We consider bi-objective ranking and selection problems, where the goal is to correctly identify the Pareto optimal solutions among a finite set of candidates for which the two objective outcomes have been observed with uncertainty (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-29 Sebastian Rojas Gonzalez , Juergen Branke , Inneke van Nieuwenhuyse

This paper examines the issue of fairness in the estimation of graphical models (GMs), particularly Gaussian, Covariance, and Ising models. These models play a vital role in understanding complex relationships in high-dimensional data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Zhuoping Zhou , Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , Bojian Hou , Qi Long , Li Shen

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

We propose a method for constructing confidence intervals that account for many forms of spatial correlation. The interval has the familiar `estimator plus and minus a standard error times a critical value' form, but we propose new methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-19 Ulrich K. Müller , Mark W. Watson

In recent years, the modeling and analysis of interval-valued time series have garnered significant attention in the fields of econometrics and statistics. However, the existing literature primarily focuses on regression tasks while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Wan Tian , Zhongfeng Qin

We propose a new approach to represent nonparametrically the linear dependence structure of a spatio-temporal process in terms of latent common factors. Though it is formally similar to the existing reduced rank approximation methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Da Huang , Qiwei Yao , Rongmao Zhang

Addressing the challenges of climate change requires accurate and high-resolution mapping of geospatial data, especially climate and weather variables. However, many existing geospatial datasets, such as the gridded outputs of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Guiye Li , Guofeng Cao

Classical geostatistical methods face serious computational challenges if they are confronted with large sets of spatially distributed data. We present a simplified stochastic local interaction (SLI) model for computationally efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Dionissios T. Hristopulos , Andreas Pavlides , Vasiliki D. Agou , Panagiota Gkafa

Surrogate models provide a low computational cost alternative to evaluating expensive functions. The construction of accurate surrogate models with large numbers of independent variables is currently prohibitive because it requires a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-10 Mohamed Amine Bouhlel , Joaquim R. R. A. Martins

Probabilistic regression models typically use the Maximum Likelihood Estimation or Cross-Validation to fit parameters. These methods can give an advantage to the solutions that fit observations on average, but they do not pay attention to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-24 Naoufal Acharki , Antoine Bertoncello , Josselin Garnier