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Fusing abundant satellite data with sparse ground measurements constitutes a major challenge in climate modeling. To address this, we propose a strategy to augment the training dataset by introducing unlabeled satellite images paired with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Lei Duan , Ziyang Jiang , David Carlson

The problem of validating or criticising models for georeferenced data is challenging, since the conclusions can vary significantly depending on the locations of the validation set. This work proposes the use of cross-validation techniques…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-19 Viviana G R Lobo , Thaís C O da Fonseca , Fernando A S Moura

Kriging is a widely employed technique, in particular for computer experiments, in machine learning or in geostatistics. An important challenge for Kriging is the computational burden when the data set is large. This article focuses on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-01 François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Didier Rullière , Clément Chevalier

Analyzing massive spatial datasets using Gaussian process model poses computational challenges. This is a problem prevailing heavily in applications such as environmental modeling, ecology, forestry and environmental heath. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Suman Majumder , Yawen Guan , Brian J. Reich , Arvind K. Saibaba

Spatial data is a rich source of information for actuarial applications: knowledge of a risk's location could improve an insurance company's ratemaking, reserving or risk management processes. Insurance companies with high exposures in a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-22 Christopher Blier-Wong , Hélène Cossette , Luc Lamontagne , Etienne Marceau

By treating intervals as inseparable sets, this paper proposes sparse machine learning regressions for high-dimensional interval-valued time series. With LASSO or adaptive LASSO techniques, we develop a penalized minimum distance…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-15 Haowen Bao , Yongmiao Hong , Yuying Sun , Shouyang Wang

This review article focuses on regularised estimation procedures applicable to geostatistical and spatial econometric models. These methods are particularly relevant in the case of big geospatial data for dimensionality reduction or model…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Philipp Otto , Alessandro Fassò , Paolo Maranzano

Treeging combines the flexible mean structure of regression trees with the covariance-based prediction strategy of kriging into the base learner of an ensemble prediction algorithm. In so doing, it combines the strengths of the two primary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Gregory L. Watson , Michael Jerrett , Colleen E. Reid , Donatello Telesca

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to a specific operating point,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

This paper presents a computationally feasible method to compute rigorous bounds on the interval-generalisation of regression analysis to account for epistemic uncertainty in the output variables. The new iterative method uses machine…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-22 Krasymyr Tretiak , Georg Schollmeyer , Scott Ferson

Forecasting is an indispensable element of operational research (OR) and an important aid to planning. The accurate estimation of the forecast uncertainty facilitates several operations management activities, predominantly in supporting…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

We consider performing simulation experiments in the presence of covariates. Here, covariates refer to some input information other than system designs to the simulation model that can also affect the system performance. To make decisions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Cheng Li , Siyang Gao , Jianzhong Du

Symbolic regression via genetic programming is a flexible approach to machine learning that does not require up-front specification of model structure. However, traditional approaches to symbolic regression require the use of protected…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-04-18 Grant Dick

This work addresses the interpolation of probability measures within a spatial statistics framework. We develop a Kriging approach in the Wasserstein space, leveraging the quantile function representation of the one-dimensional Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Florian Gossard , François Bachoc , Jean Baccou , Thibaut Le Gouic , Jacques Liandrat , Tony Glantz

Large spatial datasets are becoming ubiquitous in environmental sciences with the explosion in the amount of data produced by sensors that monitor and measure the Earth system. Consequently, the geostatistical analysis of these data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-06 Thomas Romary , Nicolas Desassis

This work falls within the context of predicting the value of a real function at some input locations given a limited number of observations of this function. The Kriging interpolation technique (or Gaussian process regression) is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-26 Didier Rullière , Nicolas Durrande , François Bachoc , Clément Chevalier

Control and state estimation procedures need to be robust against imprecisely known parameters, uncertainty in initial conditions, and external disturbances. Interval methods and other set-based techniques form the basis for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Andreas Rauh , Marit Lahme , Simon Rohou , Luc Jaulin , Thach Ngoc Dinh , Tarek Raissi , Mohamed Fnadi

Graphical models are widely used to model stochastic dependences among large collections of variables. We introduce a new method of estimating undirected conditional independence graphs based on the score matching loss, introduced by…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-24 Lina Lin , Mathias Drton , Ali Shojaie

This paper highlights methods from geostatistics that are relevant to the interpretation, intercomparison, and synthesis of atmospheric model data, with a specific application to exoplanet atmospheric modeling. Climate models are…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-17 Jacob Haqq-Misra , Eric T. Wolf , Thomas J. Fauchez , Ravi K. Kopparapu

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a ubiquitous tool for geostatistical modeling with high levels of flexibility and interpretability, and the ability to make predictions at unseen spatial locations through a process called Kriging. Estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Brandon R. Feng , Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Mohamed A. Abba