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We study the robustness of functionals of probability distributions such as the R\'enyi and nonadditive S_q entropies, as well as the q-expectation values under small variations of the distributions. We focus on three important types of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner , Constantino Tsallis

In this paper, we investigate the robust models for $\Lambda$-quantiles with partial information regarding the loss distribution, where $\Lambda$-quantiles extend the classical quantiles by replacing the fixed probability level with a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-28 Xia Han , Peng Liu

Based on existing ideas in the field of imprecise probabilities, we present a new approach for assessing the reliability of the individual predictions of a generative probabilistic classifier. We call this approach robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Adrián Detavernier , Jasper De Bock

Distributionally robust chance constrained programs minimize a deterministic cost function subject to the satisfaction of one or more safety conditions with high probability, given that the probability distribution of the uncertain problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Zhi Chen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Seung Min Baik , Eunshin Byon , Young Myoung Ko

Modern risk modelling approaches deal with vectors of multiple components. The components could be, for example, returns of financial instruments or losses within an insurance portfolio concerning different lines of business. One of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele , Jaakko Lehtomaa

Deep neural networks have proven to be extremely powerful, however, they are also vulnerable to adversarial attacks which can cause hazardous incorrect predictions in safety-critical applications. Certified robustness via randomized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Sina Däubener , Kira Maag , David Krueger , Asja Fischer

Many real-world domains require safe decision making in uncertain environments. In this work, we introduce a deep reinforcement learning framework for approaching this important problem. We consider a distribution over transition models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 James Queeney , Mouhacine Benosman

This paper considers the robustness of an uncertain nonlinear system along a finite-horizon trajectory. The uncertain system is modeled as a connection of a nonlinear system and a perturbation. The analysis relies on three ingredients.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-05 Peter Seiler , Raghu Venkataraman

Dynamic control via optimized, piecewise-constant pulses is a common paradigm for open-loop control to implement quantum gates. While numerous methods exist for the synthesis of such controls, there are many open questions regarding the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-25 S. P. O'Neil , C. A. Weidner , E. A. Jonckheere , F. C. Langbein , S. G. Schirmer

We present a distributionally robust optimization (DRO) approach for the transmission expansion planning problem, considering both long- and short-term uncertainties on the system demand and non-dispatchable renewable generation. On the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Alexandre Velloso , David Pozo , Alexandre Street

We establish sharp upper and lower bounds for distortion risk metrics under distributional uncertainty. The uncertainty sets are characterized by four key features of the underlying distribution: mean, variance, unimodality, and Wasserstein…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-13 Peng Liu , Steven Vanduffel , Yi Xia

Data-driven methods for improving turbulence modeling in Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) simulations have gained significant interest in the computational fluid dynamics community. Modern machine learning algorithms have opened up a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-02-05 Nicholas Geneva , Nicholas Zabaras

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) incorporates robustness against uncertainty in the specification of probabilistic models. This paper focuses on mitigating the curse of dimensionality in data-driven DRO problems with optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Lotfi M. Chaouach , Tom Oomen , Dimitris Boskos

In scenarios with long-tailed distributions, the model's ability to identify tail classes is limited due to the under-representation of tail samples. Class rebalancing, information augmentation, and other techniques have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Yanbiao Ma , Licheng Jiao , Fang Liu , Shuyuan Yang , Xu Liu , Lingling Li

We observe a $n$-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Alexandre Lecestre

We study control of constrained linear systems with only partial statistical information about the uncertainty affecting the system dynamics and the sensor measurements. Specifically, given a finite collection of disturbance realizations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Andrea Martin , John Lygeros , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari Trecate

We introduce a criterion, resilience, which allows properties of a dataset (such as its mean or best low rank approximation) to be robustly computed, even in the presence of a large fraction of arbitrary additional data. Resilience is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Jacob Steinhardt , Moses Charikar , Gregory Valiant

Combining the increasing availability and abundance of healthcare data and the current advances in machine learning methods have created renewed opportunities to improve clinical decision support systems. However, in healthcare risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-17 Zidi Xiu , Chenyang Tao , Michael Gao , Connor Davis , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Ricardo Henao

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou