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High-dimensional predictive models, those with more measurements than observations, require regularization to be well defined, perform well empirically, and possess theoretical guarantees. The amount of regularization, often determined by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-16 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

In this work, we introduce a learning model designed to meet the needs of applications in which computational resources are limited, and robustness and interpretability are prioritized. Learning problems can be formulated as constrained…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-26 Christos Mavridis , John Baras

Across scientific domains, a fundamental challenge is to characterize and compute the mappings from underlying physical processes to observed signals and measurements. While nonlinear neural networks have achieved considerable success, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Alexander DeLise , Kyle Loh , Krish Patel , Meredith Teague , Andrea Arnold , Matthias Chung

To take unit commitment (UC) decisions under uncertain net load, most studies utilize a stochastic UC (SUC) model that adopts a one-size-fits-all representation of uncertainty. Disregarding contextual information such as weather forecasts…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Ogun Yurdakul , Feng Qiu , Sahin Albayrak

Creating impact in real-world settings requires artificial intelligence techniques to span the full pipeline from data, to predictive models, to decisions. These components are typically approached separately: a machine learning model is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Bryan Wilder , Bistra Dilkina , Milind Tambe

In recent years deep neural networks have been successfully applied to the domains of reinforcement learning \cite{bengio2009learning,krizhevsky2012imagenet,hinton2006reducing}. Deep reinforcement learning \cite{mnih2015human} is reported…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Huihui Zhang , Wu Huang

We report on the status of GNA --- a new framework for fitting large-scale physical models. GNA utilizes the data flow concept within which a model is represented by a directed acyclic graph. Each node is an operation on an array (matrix…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Anna Fatkina , Maxim Gonchar , Anastasia Kalitkina , Liudmila Kolupaeva , Dmitry Naumov , Dmitry Selivanov , Konstantin Treskov

Modeling large-scale time series has gained significant attention in recent years. However, its direct application in finance remains challenging due to substantial differences in data characteristics across domains. Specifically, financial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Yuanjian Xu , Anxian Liu , Jianing Hao , Zhenzhuo Li , Shichang Meng , Guang Zhang

In decision-making under uncertainty, Contextual Robust Optimization (CRO) provides reliability by minimizing the worst-case decision loss over a prediction set. While recent advances use conformal prediction to construct prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-25 Yajie Bao , Yang Hu , Haojie Ren , Peng Zhao , Changliang Zou

The large majority of inferences drawn in empirical political research follow from model-based associations (e.g. regression). Here, we articulate the benefits of predictive modeling as a complement to this approach. Predictive models aim…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-20 Skyler J. Cranmer , Bruce A. Desmarais

The construction of coherent prediction models holds great importance in medical research as such models enable health researchers to gain deeper insights into disease epidemiology and clinicians to identify patients at higher risk of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-17 Guanbo Wang , Sylvie Perreault , Robert W. Platt , Rui Wang , Marc Dorais , Mireille E. Schnitzer

At the core of the Ouroboros Model lies a self-referential recursive process with alternating phases of data acquisition and evaluation. Memory entries are organized in schemata. Activation at a time of part of a schema biases the whole…

General Physics · Physics 2008-05-20 Knud Thomsen

We report a neural architecture search framework, BioNAS, that is tailored for biomedical researchers to easily build, evaluate, and uncover novel knowledge from interpretable deep learning models. The introduction of knowledge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-04 Zijun Zhang , Linqi Zhou , Liangke Gou , Ying Nian Wu

Machine learning has been increasingly applied in climate modeling on system emulation acceleration, data-driven parameter inference, forecasting, and knowledge discovery, addressing challenges such as physical consistency, multi-scale…

The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-05 Patrick Blöbaum , Shohei Shimizu

Parameter estimation in structural dynamics generally involves inferring the values of physical, geometric, or even customized parameters based on first principles or expert knowledge, which is challenging for complex structural systems. In…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Mingyuan Zhou , Haoze Song , Wenjing Ye , Wei Wang , Zhilu Lai

The success of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) highly depends on data quality. Moreover, predictive uncertainty makes high performing DNNs risky for real-world deployment. In this paper, we aim to address these two issues by proposing a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Krishanu Sarker , Xiulong Yang , Yang Li , Saeid Belkasim , Shihao Ji

We consider the problem of selective prediction (also known as reject option) in deep neural networks, and introduce SelectiveNet, a deep neural architecture with an integrated reject option. Existing rejection mechanisms are based mostly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Yonatan Geifman , Ran El-Yaniv

The field of machine learning has seen tremendous progress in recent years, with deep learning models delivering exceptional performance across a range of tasks. However, these models often come at the cost of interpretability, as they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Shun Liu

Advancements in deep learning have significantly improved model performance across tasks involving code, text, and image processing. However, these models still exhibit notable mispredictions in real-world applications, even when trained on…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Ravishka Rathnasuriya