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Data from NASA's Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) satellite is essential to many carbon management strategies. A retrieval algorithm is used to estimate CO2 concentration using the radiance data measured by OCO-2. However, due to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Xinyue Chang , Zhengyuan Zhu , Xiongtao Dai , Jonathan Hobbs

Satellite-based estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) properties from observations of reflected solar spectra are integral for understanding and monitoring complex terrestrial systems and their impact on the carbon cycle due to their near…

The steadily increasing amount of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO$_2$) is affecting the global climate system and threatening the long-term sustainability of Earth's ecosystem. In order to better understand the sources and sinks of CO$_2$,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-12 Pratik Patil , Mikael Kuusela , Jonathan Hobbs

We propose a statistical emulator for a climate-economy deterministic integrated assessment model ensemble, based on a functional regression framework. Inference on the unknown parameters is carried out through a mixed effects hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-14 Luca Aiello , Matteo Fontana , Alessandra Guglielmi

Computer models are widely used across a range of scientific disciplines to describe various complex physical systems, however to perform full uncertainty quantification we often need to employ emulators. An emulator is a fast statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Ian Vernon , Jonathan Owen , Jonathan Carter

The Joint Experiment Missions for Extreme Universe Observatory comprises a collection of complementary missions dedicated to pioneering technologies and techniques for a future space-based multi-messenger observatory which will have…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-10 Thomas C. Paul

We propose a methodology to enhance local CO2 monitoring by integrating satellite data from the Orbiting Carbon Observatories (OCO-2 and OCO-3) with ground level observations from the Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS) and weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Oskar Åström , Carina Geldhauser , Markus Grillitsch , Ola Hall , Alexandros Sopasakis

Aerosol scattering influences the retrieval of the column-averaged dry-air mole fraction of CO2 (XCO2) from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2). This is especially true for surfaces with reflectance close to a critical value where…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-26 Sihe Chen , Vijay Natraj , Zhao-Cheng Zeng , Yuk-ling Yung

Observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) have been widely used as a rigorous and cost-effective way to guide development of new observing systems, and to evaluate the performance of new data assimilation algorithms. Nature runs…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Pulong Ma , Emily L. Kang , Amy Braverman , Hai Nguyen

Probabilistic forecasting of irregularly sampled time series is crucial in domains such as healthcare and finance, yet it remains a formidable challenge. Existing Neural Controlled Differential Equation (Neural CDE) approaches, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Ilya Kuleshov , Alexander Marusov , Alexey Zaytsev

An optoelectronic oscillator (OEO) producing a signal at 45.86 GHz is demonstrated that may potentially be utilized in the local oscillator (LO) generation of Earth observation applications such as the microwave sounding (MWS), microwave…

Space Physics · Physics 2024-12-02 Dimitrios Kastritsis , Enrico Lia , Iain Mckenzie , Stavros Iezekiel

Quasi-2D Coulomb systems are of fundamental importance and have attracted much attention in many areas nowadays. Their reduced symmetry gives rise to interesting collective behaviors, but also brings great challenges for particle-based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Zecheng Gan , Xuanzhao Gao , Jiuyang Liang , Zhenli Xu

The orbital sampling effect (OSE) appears in phase-folded transit light curves of extrasolar planets with moons. Analytical OSE models have hitherto neglected stellar limb darkening and non-zero transit impact parameters and assumed that…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-24 René Heller , Michael Hippke , Brian Jackson

Physics-based Earth system models (ESMs) are essential for attributing climate change and generating scenario projections, yet their reliance on high-resolution numerical integration makes multi-decadal experiments expensive. In parallel,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Hira Saleem , Flora Salim , Cormac Purcell

Several satellites (e.g., OCO-2 & 3) and their derived products now provide spatially extensive coverage of the abundance of carbon dioxide in the atmospheric column (XCO$_2$). However, the accuracy of the XCO$_2$ reported in these products…

The increasing frequency and severity of climate related disasters have intensified the need for real time monitoring, early warning, and informed decision-making. Earth Observation (EO), powered by satellite data and Machine Learning (ML),…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Stella Girtsou , Konstantinos Alexis , Giorgos Giannopoulos , Charalambos Kontoes

In many scientific fields which rely on statistical inference, simulations are often used to map from theoretical models to experimental data, allowing scientists to test model predictions against experimental results. Experimental data is…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-07-07 Jessica N. Howard , Stephan Mandt , Daniel Whiteson , Yibo Yang

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

The goal of this paper is to make Optimal Experimental Design (OED) computationally feasible for problems involving significant computational expense. We focus exclusively on the Mean Objective Cost of Uncertainty (MOCU), which is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Anthony M. DeGennaro , Francis J. Alexander

Gravitational waves from core-collapse supernovae provide a unique probe of the equation of state (EOS) of high density matter. In this work, we focus on the bounce signal from numerical simulations of rotating supernovae and explore its…

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