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In the Staged Progression (SP) epidemic models, infected individuals are classified into a suitable number of states. The goal of these models is to describe as closely as possible the effect of differences in infectiousness exhibited by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Luis Sanz-Lorenzo , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

This paper revisits a longstanding problem of interest concerning the distributed control of an epidemic process on human contact networks. Due to the stochastic nature and combinatorial complexity of the problem, finding optimal policies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Mohammad Mubarak , Cameron Nowzari

The paper considers continuous-time networked susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) diseases spreading over a population. Each agent represents a sub-population and has its own healing rate and infection rate; the state of the agent at a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-11 Yuan Wang , Sebin Gracy , César A. Uribe , Hideaki Ishii , Karl Henrik Johansson

In this paper, we study a novel control method for a generalized SIS epidemic process. In particular, we use predictive control to design optimal protective resource distribution strategies which balance the need to eliminate the epidemic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-17 Nicholas J. Watkins , George J. Pappas

In this paper, we study the interplay between individual behaviors and epidemic spreading in a dynamical network. We distribute agents on a square-shaped region with periodic boundary conditions. Every agent is regarded as a node of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Han-Xin Yang , Ming Tang , Zhen Wang

We analyze two alterations of the standard susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) dynamics that preserve the central properties of spontaneous healing and infection capacity of a vertex increasing unlimitedly with its degree. All models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-19 Wesley Cota , Angélica S. Mata , Silvio C. Ferreira

Network epidemics is a ubiquitous model that can represent different phenomena and finds applications in various domains. Among its various characteristics, a fundamental question concerns the time when an epidemic stops propagating. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Daniel Figueiredo , Giulio Iacobelli , Seva Shneer

Two simple agent based models are often employed in epidemic studies: the susceptible-infected (SI) and the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS). Both models describe the time evolution of infectious diseases in networks in which vertices…

In this paper we make the first steps to bridge the gap between classic control theory and modern, network-based epidemic models. In particular, we apply nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) to a pairwise ODE model which we use to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-02-11 Fanni Sélley , Ádám Besenyei , Istvan Z. Kiss , Péter L. Simon

We study the class of SIS epidemics on temporal networks and propose a new activity-driven and adaptive epidemic model that captures the impact of asymptomatic and infectious individuals in the network. In the proposed model, referred to as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-04 Ashish R. Hota , Kavish Gupta

In this paper we study the diffusion of an SIS-type epidemics on a network under the presence of a random environment, that enters in the definition of the infection rates of the nodes. Accordingly, we model the infection rates in the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck

This paper considers a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic reaction-diffusion model with no-flux boundary conditions and varying total population. The interaction of the susceptible and infected people is describe by the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Rui Peng , Rachidi B. Salako , Yixiang Wu

We demonstrate that the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on complex networks can have an inactive Griffiths phase characterized by a slow relaxation dynamics. It contrasts with the mean field theoretical prediction that the SIS…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Hyun Keun Lee , Pyoung-Seop Shim , Jae Dong Noh

We consider a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model in which a large group of individuals decide whether to adopt partially effective protection without being aware of their individual infection status. Each individual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Philip E. Paré

The contact process is an emblematic model of a non-equilibrium system, containing a phase transition between inactive and active dynamical regimes. In the epidemiological context, the model is known as the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-12 Wout Merbis , Clélia de Mulatier , Philippe Corboz

In the study of infectious diseases on networks, researchers calculate epidemic thresholds to help forecast whether a disease will eventually infect a large fraction of a population. Because network structure typically changes in time,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Qinyi Chen , Mason A. Porter

We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

An actively controlled Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (actSIS) contagion model is presented for studying epidemic dynamics with continuous-time feedback control of infection rates. Our work is inspired by the observation that epidemics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-06 Yunxiu Zhou , Simon A. Levin , Naomi E. Leonard