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The posterior over Bayesian neural network (BNN) parameters is extremely high-dimensional and non-convex. For computational reasons, researchers approximate this posterior using inexpensive mini-batch methods such as mean-field variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Pavel Izmailov , Sharad Vikram , Matthew D. Hoffman , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

Estimation of the sky signal from sequences of time ordered data is one of the key steps in Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) data analysis, commonly referred to as the map-making problem. Some of the most popular and general methods…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-12-16 Mikolaj Szydlarski , Laura Grigori , Radek Stompor

Neural networks (NN) have achieved state-of-the-art performance in various applications. Unfortunately in applications where training data is insufficient, they are often prone to overfitting. One effective way to alleviate this problem is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-03 Hao Wang , Xingjian Shi , Dit-Yan Yeung

Bayesian approaches for learning deep neural networks (BNN) have been received much attention and successfully applied to various applications. Particularly, BNNs have the merit of having better generalization ability as well as better…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-25 Insung Kong , Dongyoon Yang , Jongjin Lee , Ilsang Ohn , Gyuseung Baek , Yongdai Kim

We show that the cosmic birefringence and miscalibrated polarisation angles can be determined simultaneously by cosmic microwave background (CMB) experiments using the cross-correlation between $E$- and $B$-mode polarisation data. This is…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-30 Yuto Minami , Hiroki Ochi , Kiyotomo Ichiki , Nobuhiko Katayama , Eiichiro Komatsu , Tomotake Matsumura

Bayesian analysis has become an indispensable tool across many different cosmological fields including the study of gravitational waves, the Cosmic Microwave Background and the 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn among other phenomena. The…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-19 Harry T. J. Bevins , William J. Handley , Pablo Lemos , Peter H. Sims , Eloy de Lera Acedo , Anastasia Fialkov , Justin Alsing

We reconsider the pixel-based, "template" polarized foreground removal method within the context of a next-generation, low-noise, low-resolution (0.5 degree FWHM) space-borne experiment measuring the cosmological B-mode polarization signal…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Nobuhiko Katayama , Eiichiro Komatsu

This paper discusses the application of a Bayesian neural network based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method in medical image classification with small samples. Experimental results on two medical image datasets, including lung X-ray…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-20 Mingyu Sun

We present results exploring the role that probabilistic deep learning models can play in cosmology from large-scale astronomical surveys through photometric redshift (photo-z) estimation. Photo-z uncertainty estimates are critical for the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-20 Evan Jones , Tuan Do , Bernie Boscoe , Jack Singal , Yujie Wan , Zooey Nguyen

A great deal of experimental effort is currently being devoted to the precise measurements of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) sky in temperature and polarisation. Satellites, balloon-borne, and ground-based experiments scrutinize the…

We present a joint cosmological analysis combining data from the Planck satellite, the Atacama Cosmology Telescope, and the South Pole Telescope. We construct a unified likelihood that reproduces the measured temperature and polarisation…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-24 M. Tristram , M. Douspis , A. Gorce , S. Henrot-Versillé , L. T. Hergt , S. Ilic , L. McBride , M. Muñoz-Echeverría , E. Pointecouteau , L. Salvati

Recovering the polarized cosmic microwave background (CMB) is essential for shedding light on the exponential expansion of the very early Universe, known as cosmic inflation. Achieving this goal requires not only improved instrumental…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-18 J. M. Casas , L. Bonavera , J. González-Nuevo , G. Puglisi , C. Baccigalupi , S. R. Cabo , M. M. Cueli , D. Crespo , C. González-Gutiérrez , F. J. de Cos

We present a new, semi-analytic framework for estimating the level of residuals present in CMB maps derived from multi-frequency Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) data and forecasting their impact on cosmological parameters. The data are…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-02 Radek Stompor , Josquin Errard , Davide Poletti

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) have recently emerged in the Deep Learning world for dealing with uncertainty estimation in classification tasks, and are used in many application domains such as astrophysics, autonomous driving...BNN assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-04 Claire Theobald , Frédéric Pennerath , Brieuc Conan-Guez , Miguel Couceiro , Amedeo Napoli

This paper investigates two prominent probabilistic neural modeling paradigms: Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) for uncertainty-aware nonlinear regression. While BNNs incorporate epistemic uncertainty by…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-30 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Ian Barnett

Bayesian profile regression mixture models (BPRM) allow to assess a health risk in a multi-exposed population. These mixture models cluster individuals according to their exposure profile and their health risk. However, their results, based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Fendler Julie , Guihenneuc Chantal , Ancelet Sophie

Polarization of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) can help probe cosmic inflation (via primordial $B$ modes) and test parity-violating physics (via cosmic birefringence), but realizing the potential of these opportunities requires…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-17 Marta Monelli

For several decades now, Bayesian inference techniques have been applied to theories of particle physics, cosmology and astrophysics to obtain the probability density functions of their free parameters. In this study, we review and compare…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-03 Joshua Albert , Csaba Balazs , Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Nicholas Hunt-Smith , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Martin White

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms do not scale well for large datasets leading to difficulties in Neural Network posterior sampling. In this paper, we propose Penalty Bayesian Neural Networks - PBNNs, as a new algorithm that allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-24 Eiji Kawasaki , Markus Holzmann , Lawrence Adu-Gyamfi
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