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Related papers: Eurasian Cooling Patterns in the CMIP5 Climate Mod…

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The predictability of climate anomalies in the regions of Northern Eurasia in connection with El Nino phenomena is analyzed. Particular attention is paid to the most likely transition in 2024 from an El Nino phase at the beginning of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-02 I. I. Mokhov

We show that radiative cooling profiles, when described in temperature coordinates, are insensitive to surface temperature $T_s$. We argue this theoretically as well as confirm it in cloud-resolving simulations of radiative convective…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-11-10 Nadir Jeevanjee , David M. Romps

In the recent work Fletcher et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett., v.99, p.145001 (2007)] reported on the novel experimental technique, enabling to measure the temperature of the expanding ultracold plasmas over a considerable time interval (up to 60-70…

Space Physics · Physics 2008-12-31 Yurii V. Dumin

Ice shell dynamics are an important control on the habitability of icy ocean worlds. Here we present a systematic study evaluating the effect of temperature-dependent material properties on these dynamics. We review the published thermal…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-07 Evan Carnahan , Natalie S. Wolfenbarger , Jacob S. Jordan , Marc A. Hesse

The identification of regions of similar climatological behavior can be utilized for the discovery of spatial relationships over long-range scales, including teleconnections. In this regard, the global picture of the interdependence…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-06 Zhen Su , Henning Meyerhenke , Jürgen Kurths

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

This paper explores the use of Topological Data Analysis (TDA) to investigate patterns in zonal-mean zonal winds of the Arctic, which make up the polar vortex, in order to better explain polar vortex dynamics. We demonstrate how TDA reveals…

The equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) of the CMIP6 global circulation models (GCMs) varies from 1.83 {\deg}C to 5.67 {\deg}C. Herein, 38 GCMs are grouped into three ECS classes (low, 1.80-3.00 {\deg}C; medium, 3.01-4.50 {\deg}C; high,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-30 Nicola Scafetta

Projecting sea-level change in various climate-change scenarios typically involves running forward simulations of the Earth's gravitational, rotational and deformational (GRD) response to ice mass change, which requires high computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-18 Myungsoo Yoo , Giri Gopalan , Matthew J. Hoffman , Sophie Coulson , Holly Kyeore Han , Christopher K. Wikle , Trevor Hillebrand

Extreme precipitation in the Arctic region plays a crucial role in global weather and climate patterns. Bear Island (Bj{\o}rn{\o}ya) is located in the Norwegian Svalbard archipelago, which is, therefore, selected for our study on extreme…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-06 Arnob Ray , Tanujit Chakraborty , Athulya Radhakrishnan , Chittaranjan Hens , Syamal K. Dana , Dibakar Ghosh , Nuncio Murukesh

Forecasting sea ice concentration (SIC) and sea ice velocity (SIV) in the Arctic Ocean is of great significance as the Arctic environment has been changed by the recent warming climate. Given that physical sea ice models require high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Younghyun Koo , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

We study the seasonal changes in the thickness distribution of Arctic sea ice, $g(h)$, under climate forcing. Our analytical and numerical approach is based on a Fokker-Planck equation for $g(h)$ (Toppaladoddi \& Wettlaufer \emph{Phys. Rev.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-26 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , John S. Wettlaufer

During the summer melt period, ponds form on the surface of Arctic sea ice as it melts, with important consequences for ice evolution and marine ecology. Due to the ice-albedo feedback, these melt ponds experience uneven heat absorption,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-16 Wilfred Offord , Michael Coughlan , Ian J. Hewitt , Heather A. Harrington , Gillian Grindstaff

With global warming, the ice-covered areas in the Arctic are being transformed into open water. This provides increased impetus for extensive maritime activities and attracts research interests in sea ice modelling. In the polar region, ice…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-08-03 Luofeng Huang , Kang Ren , Minghao Li , Željko Tuković , Philip Cardiff , Giles Thomas

We present a theoretical interpretation of the recently revealed features of temperature evolution in the ultracold plasma clouds released from a magneto-optical trap, namely: (a) its independence at the sufficiently large times on the…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2009-05-12 Yurii V. Dumin

We propose a reduced-form benchmark predictive model (BPM) for fixed-target forecasting of Arctic sea ice extent, and we provide a case study of its real-time performance for target date September 2020. We visually detail the evolution of…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-04 Francis X. Diebold , Maximilian Gobel

We analyze the numerical solutions of a stochastic Arctic sea ice model with constant additive noise over a wide range of external heat-fluxes, $\Delta F_0$, which correspond to greenhouse gas forcing. The variability that the stochasticity…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-05-05 Woosok Moon , John S. Wettlaufer

Recent observations have found several candidates for old warm neutron stars whose surface temperatures are above the prediction of the standard neutron star cooling scenario, and thus require some heating mechanism. Motivated by these…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2020-02-20 Keisuke Yanagi , Natsumi Nagata , Koichi Hamaguchi

Supply and demand in future energy systems depend on the weather. We therefore need to quantify how climate change and variability impact energy systems. Here, we present Climate2Energy (C2E), a framework to consistently convert climate…

The two dimensional F-model is an ice-rule obeying model, with a low temperature antiferroelectric state and high temperature critical Coulomb phase. Polarization in the system is associated with topological defects in the form of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-24 Daan M. Arroo , Steven T. Bramwell
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