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Markov switching models are a popular family of models that introduces time-variation in the parameters in the form of their state- or regime-specific values. Importantly, this time-variation is governed by a discrete-valued latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-13 Yong Song , Tomasz Woźniak

This paper generalizes the notion of stochastic order to a relation between probability measures over arbitrary measurable spaces. This generalization is motivated by the observation that for the stochastic ordering of two stationary Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Lasse Leskelä

We study a model of active particles that perform a simple random walk and on top of that have a preferred direction determined by an internal state which is modelled by a stationary Markov process. First we calculate the limiting diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Bart van Ginkel , Bart van Gisbergen , Frank Redig

We study Markov processes where the "time" parameter is replaced by paths in a directed graph from an initial vertex to a terminal one. Along each directed path the process is Markov and has the same distribution as the one along any other…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Krzysztof Burdzy , Soumik Pal

We consider two types of discrete-time Markov chains where the state space is a graded poset and the transitions are taken along the covering relations in the poset. The first type of Markov chain goes only in one direction, either up or…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-06 Kimmo Eriksson , Markus Jonsson , Jonas Sjöstrand

In this review-type paper written at the occasion of the Oberwolfach workshop {\em One-sided vs. Two-sided stochastic processes} (february 22-29, 2020), we discuss and compare Markov properties and generalisations thereof in more…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Aernout van Enter , Arnaud Le Ny , Frédéric Paccaut

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments and propose a criterion which, if satisfied, allows to decompose the random walk trajectory into i.i.d. increments, and ultimately to prove limit theorems. The criterion involves the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Julien Allasia , Rangel Baldasso , Oriane Blondel , Augusto Teixeira

For a class of stochastic differential equations with reflection for which a certain ${\mathbb{L}}^p$ continuity condition holds with $p>1$, it is shown that any weak solution that is a strong Markov process can be decomposed into the sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Weining Kang , Kavita Ramanan

With a sequence of regressions, one may generate joint probability distributions. One starts with a joint, marginal distribution of context variables having possibly a concentration graph structure and continues with an ordered sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Kayvan Sadeghi , Nanny Wermuth

We consider the motion of a particle on a Galton Watson tree, when the probabilities of jumping from a vertex to any one of its neighbours is determined by a random process. Given the tree, positive weights are assigned to the edges in such…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-02 A. D. Barbour , A. Collevecchio

For discrete-time stochastic processes, there is a close connection between return/waiting times and entropy. Such a connection cannot be straightforwardly extended to the continuous-time setting. Contrarily to the discrete-time case one…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean-Rene Chazottes , Cristian Giardina , Frank Redig

We introduce the notion of order of magnitude reversibility (OM-reversibility) in Markov chains that are parametrized by a positive parameter $\ep$. OM-reversibility is a weaker condition than reversibility, and requires only the knowledge…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Badal Joshi

By a random process with immigration at random times we mean a shot noise process with a random response function (response process) in which shots occur at arbitrary random times. The so defined random processes generalize random processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Congzao Dong , Alexander Iksanov

We formally extend the notion of Markov order to open quantum processes by accounting for the instruments used to probe the system of interest at different times. Our description recovers the classical Markov order property in the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-04-11 Philip Taranto , Felix A. Pollock , Simon Milz , Marco Tomamichel , Kavan Modi

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

We consider a branching model in discrete time where each individual has a trait in some general state space. Both the reproduction law and the trait inherited by the offsprings may depend on the trait of the mother and the environment. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Vincent Bansaye

A random walk is a basic stochastic process on graphs and a key primitive in the design of distributed algorithms. One of the most important features of random walks is that, under mild conditions, they converge to a stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-19 Leran Cai , Thomas Sauerwald , Luca Zanetti

Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Chen-Hsiang Yeang , Martin Szummer

We formulate a probabilistic Markov property in discrete time under a dynamic risk framework with minimal assumptions. This is useful for recursive solutions to risk-sensitive versions of dynamic optimisation problems such as optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Tomasz Kosmala , Randall Martyr , John Moriarty

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais