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Uncertainty is the only certainty there is. Modeling data uncertainty is essential for regression, especially in unconstrained settings. Traditionally the direct regression formulation is considered and the uncertainty is modeled by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Wanhua Li , Xiaoke Huang , Jiwen Lu , Jianjiang Feng , Jie Zhou

Model averaging methods have become an increasingly popular tool for improving predictions and dealing with model uncertainty, especially in Bayesian settings. Recently, frequentist model averaging methods such as information theoretic and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Kevin Huynh

Quantile regression is often used when a comprehensive relationship between a response variable and one or more explanatory variables is desired. The traditional frequentists' approach to quantile regression has been well developed around…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Yang Feng , Yuguo Chen , Xuming He

Modern problems in statistics tend to include estimators of high computational complexity and with complicated distributions. Statistical inference on such estimators usually relies on asymptotic normality assumptions, however, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Eyal Fisher , Regev Schweiger , Saharon Rosset

We develop a hierarchical Gaussian process model for forecasting and inference of functional time series data. Unlike existing methods, our approach is especially suited for sparsely or irregularly sampled curves and for curves sampled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

The current standard Bayesian approach to model calibration, which assigns a Gaussian process prior to the discrepancy term, often suffers from issues of unidentifiability and computational complexity and instability. When the goal is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-13 Spencer Woody , Novin Ghaffari , Lauren Hund

Many outcomes of interest in the social and health sciences, as well as in modern applications in computational social science and experimentation on social media platforms, are ordinal and do not have a meaningful scale. Causal analyses…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-07 Alexander Volfovsky , Edoardo M. Airoldi , Donald B. Rubin

A two-stage approach is proposed to overcome the problem in quantile regression, where separately fitted curves for several quantiles may cross. The standard Bayesian quantile regression model is applied in the first stage, followed by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-05 Thais Rodrigues , Yanan Fan

This paper extends the class of ordinal regression models with a structured interpretation of the problem by applying a novel treatment of encoded labels. The net effect of this is to transform the underlying problem from an ordinal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Niall Twomey , Rafael Poyiadzi , Callum Mann , Raúl Santos-Rodríguez

We propose a method for variable selection and basis learning for high-dimensional classification with ordinal responses. The proposed method extends sparse multiclass linear discriminant analysis, with the aim of identifying not only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Minwoo Kim , Sangil Han , Jeongyoun Ahn , Sungkyu Jung

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

The MC$^3$ (Madigan and York, 1995) and Gibbs (George and McCulloch, 1997) samplers are the most widely implemented algorithms for Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) in linear regression models. These samplers draw a variable at random in each…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-26 Demetris Lamnisos , Jim E. Griffin , Mark F. J. Steel

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

We introduce a novel approach for estimating Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) parameters from collapsed Gibbs samples (CGS), by leveraging the full conditional distributions over the latent variable assignments to efficiently average over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-12 Yannis Papanikolaou , James R. Foulds , Timothy N. Rubin , Grigorios Tsoumakas

We analyze the complexity of Gibbs samplers for inference in crossed random effect models used in modern analysis of variance. We demonstrate that for certain designs the plain vanilla Gibbs sampler is not scalable, in the sense that its…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-28 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth O. Roberts , Giacomo Zanella

In this article, we analyze perinatal data with birth weight (BW) as primarily interesting response variable. Gestational age (GA) is usually an important covariate and included in polynomial form. However, in opposition to this univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-02 Jonathan Rathjens , Arthur Kolbe , Jürgen Hölzer , Katja Ickstadt , Nadja Klein

Bayesian networks are a powerful framework for studying the dependency structure of variables in a complex system. The problem of learning Bayesian networks is tightly associated with the given data type. Ordinal data, such as stages of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-15 Xiang Ge Luo , Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

Use copula to model dependency of variable extends multivariate gaussian assumption. In this paper we first empirically studied copula regression model with continous response. Both simulation study and real data study are given. Secondly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Weijian Luo , Mai Wo

Shape constrained regression analysis has applications in dose-response modeling, environmental risk assessment, disease screening and many other areas. Incorporating the shape constraints can improve estimation efficiency and avoid…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-19 Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

Motivated by challenges in the analysis of biomedical data and observational studies, we develop statistical boosting for the general class of bivariate distributional copula regression with arbitrary marginal distributions, which is suited…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Guillermo Briseño Sanchez , Nadja Klein , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr