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We propose a new continuous-discrete mixture regression model which is useful for describing highly censored data. We motivate our investigation based on a case-study in biometry related to measles vaccines in Haiti. In this case-study, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Mário F. Desousa , Helton Saulo , Manoel Santos-Neto , Víctor Leiva

We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

Human microbiome studies based on genetic sequencing techniques produce compositional longitudinal data of the relative abundances of microbial taxa over time, allowing to understand, through mixed-effects modeling, how microbial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 John Barrera , Cristian Meza , Ana Arribas-Gil

Uncertainty quantification of prediction models through prediction sets is increasingly popular and successful, but most existing methods rely on directly observing the outcome and do not appropriately handle censored outcomes, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Wenwen Si , Hongxiang Qiu

This paper proposes a CS scheme that exploits the representational power of restricted Boltzmann machines and deep learning architectures to model the prior distribution of the sparsity pattern of signals belonging to the same class. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-02 Luisa F. Polania , Kenneth E. Barner

A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-16 Umberto Picchini , Rachele Anderson

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Classical penalized likelihood regression problems deal with the case that the independent variables data are known exactly. In practice, however, it is common to observe data with incomplete covariate information. We are concerned with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-04 Xiwen Ma , Bin Dai , Ronald Klein , Barbara E. K. Klein , Kristine E. Lee , Grace Wahba

Beta regression models are a suitable choice for continuous response variables on the unity interval. Random effects add further flexibility to the models and accommodate data structures such as hierarchical, repeated measures and…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner H. Bonat , Paulo J. Ribeiro , Walmes Marque Zeviani

Continuous-time multi-state survival models can be used to describe health-related processes over time. In the presence of interval-censored times for transitions between the living states, the likelihood is constructed using transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Robson J. M. Machado , Ardo van den Hout

Many statistical models can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to infer properties of these models from data. Traditionally these methods approximate the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-03 George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

Random effect models are popular statistical models for detecting and correcting spurious sample correlations due to hidden confounders in genome-wide gene expression data. In applications where some confounding factors are known,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Muhammad Ammar Malik , Tom Michoel

The celebrated Bernstein von-Mises theorem ensures that credible regions from Bayesian posterior are well-calibrated when the model is correctly-specified, in the frequentist sense that their coverage probabilities tend to the nominal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

Shape restricted regressions, including isotonic regression and concave regression as special cases, are studied using priors on Bernstein polynomials and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. These priors have large supports, select only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 I-Shou Chang , Li-Chu Chien , Chao A. Hsiung , Chi-Chung Wen , Yuh-Jenn Wu

Based on the expectile loss function and the adaptive LASSO penalty, the paper proposes and studies the estimation methods for the accelerated failure time (AFT) model. In this approach, we need to estimate the survival function of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Gabriela Ciuperca

We consider the setting of distributed empirical risk minimization where multiple machines compute the gradients in parallel and a centralized server updates the model parameters. In order to reduce the number of communications required to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Hadrien Hendrikx , Lin Xiao , Sebastien Bubeck , Francis Bach , Laurent Massoulie

We propose a semiparametric model to study the effect of covariates on the distribution of a censored event time while making minimal assumptions about the censoring mechanism. The result is a partially identified model, in the sense that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-19 Ilias Willems , Jad Beyhum , Ingrid Van Keilegom

An active learner is given a class of models, a large set of unlabeled examples, and the ability to interactively query labels of a subset of these examples; the goal of the learner is to learn a model in the class that fits the data well.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Kamalika Chaudhuri , Sham Kakade , Praneeth Netrapalli , Sujay Sanghavi