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We consider Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) with a finite set of discrete states. In the regime of fast jumps between discrete states, we prove a law of large number and a large deviation principle. In the regime of fast…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-16 A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli , M. Ribezzi Crivellari

We study large deviations of the time-averaged size of stochastic populations described by a continuous-time Markov jump process. When the expected population size $N$ in the steady state is large, the large deviation function (LDF) of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-08 Pini Zilber , Naftali R. Smith , Baruch Meerson

Population dynamics provides a numerical tool allowing for the study of rare events by means of simulating a large number of copies of the system, supplemented with a selection rule that favours the rare trajectories of interest. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-07 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo

We study the behavior of an infinite system of ordinary differential equations modeling the dynamics of a metapopulation, a set of (discrete) populations subject to local catastrophes and connected via migration under a mean field rule; the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. D. Barbour , A. Pugliese

We study a model of stochastic evolutionary game dynamics in which the probabilities that agents choose suboptimal actions are dependent on payoff consequences. We prove a sample path large deviation principle, characterizing the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-10 William H. Sandholm , Mathias Staudigl

Stochasticity can play an important role in the dynamics of biologically relevant populations. These span a broad range of scales: from intra-cellular populations of molecules to population of cells and then to groups of plants, animals and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

We discuss the population dynamics with selection and random diffusion, keeping the total population constant, in a fitness landscape associated with Constraint Satisfaction, a paradigm for difficult optimization problems. We obtain a phase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-23 Tommaso Brotto , Guy Bunin , Jorge Kurchan

We analyse large deviations of time-averaged quantities in stochastic processes with long-range memory, where the dynamics at time t depends itself on the value q_t of the time-averaged quantity. First we consider the elephant random walk…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-05 Robert L. Jack , Rosemary J. Harris

We propose a class of stochastic models for a dynamics of limit order book with different type of liquidities. Within this class of models we study the one where a spread decreases uniformly, belonging to the class of processes known as a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-07 Helder Rojas , Artem Logachov , Anatoly Yambartsev

In the course of Darwinian evolution of a population, punctualism is an important phenomenon whereby long periods of genetic stasis alternate with short periods of rapid evolutionary change. This paper provides a mathematical interpretation…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-17 Nicolas Champagnat

A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-15 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

The configuration model is a sequence of random graphs constructed such that in the large network limit the degree distribution converges to a pre-specified probability distribution. The component structure of such random graphs can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Shankar Bhamidi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Ruoyu Wu

We prove a large-deviation principle (LDP) for the sample paths of jump Markov processes in the small noise limit when, possibly, all the jump rates vanish uniformly, but slowly enough, in a region of the state space. We further discuss the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Andrea Agazzi , Luisa Andreis , Robert I. A. Patterson , D. R. Michiel Renger

A simplified model for the growth of a population is studied in which random effects arise because reproducing individuals have a certain probability of surviving until the next breeding season and hence contributing to the next generation.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-05 Henry C. Tuckwell

A large deviation principle is derived for stochastic partial differential equations with slow-fast components. The result shows that the rate function is exactly that of the averaged equation plus the fluctuating deviation which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-28 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts , Jinqiao Duan

Large deviations in chaotic dynamics have potentially significant and dramatic consequences. We study large deviations of series of finite lengths $N$ generated by chaotic maps. The distributions generally display an exponential decay with…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-21 Naftali R. Smith

In this paper, we study small noise asymptotics of Markov-modulated diffusion processes in the regime that the modulating Markov chain is rapidly switching. We prove the joint sample-path large deviations principle for the Markov-modulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Gang Huang , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We study a system of interacting particles that randomly react to form new particles. The reaction flux is the rescaled number of reactions that take place in a time interval. We prove a dynamic large-deviation principle for the reaction…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Robert Patterson , Michiel Renger