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We identify quantitative characteristics of responses to cyber compromises that can be learned from repeatable, systematic experiments. We model a vehicle equipped with an autonomous cyber-defense system and which also has some inherent…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Alexander Kott , Michael J. Weisman , Joachim Vandekerckhove

Given the rapid evolution of threats to cyber systems, new management approaches are needed that address risk across all interdependent domains (i.e., physical, information, cognitive, and social) of cyber systems. Further, the traditional…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Igor Linkov , Alexander Kott

Solving cybersecurity issues requires a holistic understanding of components, factors, structures and their interactions in cyberspace, but conventional modeling approaches view the field of cybersecurity by their boundaries so that we are…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Dingyu Yan

In this paper, a novel cyber-insurance model design is proposed based on system risk evaluation with smart technology applications. The cyber insurance policy for power systems is tailored via cyber risk modeling, reliability impact…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Pikkin Lau , Lingfeng Wang , Wei Wei , Zhaoxi Liu , Chee-Wooi Ten

This paper is devoted to measuring the security of cyber networks under advanced persistent threats (APTs). First, an APT-based cyber attack-defense process is modeled as an individual-level dynamical system. Second, the dynamic model is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-07-13 Lu-Xing Yang , Pengdeng Li , Xiaofan Yang , Luosheng Wen , Yingbo Wu , Yuan Yan Tang

Cybersecurity risk is commonly expressed through impact and likelihood, yet likelihood remains difficult to estimate because cyber incidents are underreported, heterogeneous datasets are weakly comparable, and attacker behaviour changes…

The frequent occurrence of cyber risks and their serious economic consequences have created a growth market for cyber insurance. The calculation of aggregate losses, an essential step in insurance pricing, has attracted considerable…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-27 Na Ren , Xin Zhang

We study the impact of data sharing policies on cyber insurance markets. These policies have been proposed to address the scarcity of data about cyber threats, which is essential to manage cyber risks. We propose a Cournot duopoly…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-03 Carlos Barreto , Olof Reinert , Tobias Wiesinger , Ulrik Franke

Cyber risks are the most common risks encountered by a modern network system. However, it is significantly difficult to assess the joint cyber risk owing to the network topology, risk propagation, and heterogeneities of components. In this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Gaofeng Da , Maochao Xu , Jingshi Zhang , Peng Zhao

Cyber risk classifications are widely used in the modeling of cyber event distributions, yet their effectiveness in out of sample forecasting performance remains underexplored. In this paper, we analyse the most commonly used…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Matteo Malavasi , Gareth W. Peters , Stefan Treuck , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Jiwook Jang , Georgy Sofronov

In the evolving landscape of cybersecurity, the utilization of cyber deception has gained prominence as a proactive defense strategy against sophisticated attacks. This paper presents a comprehensive survey that investigates the crucial…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Md Abu Sayed , Moqsadur Rahman , Mohammad Ariful Islam Khan , Deepak Tosh

Internet users such as individuals and organizations are subject to different types of epidemic risks such as worms, viruses, and botnets. To reduce the probability of risk, an Internet user generally invests in self-defense mechanisms like…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2011-07-26 Ranjan Pal , Leana Golubchik , Konstantinos Psounis

Cyber-attacks are increasing and varying dramatically day by day. It has become challenging to control cyber-attacks and to identify the perpetrators and their intentions. In general, the analysis of the intentions of cyber-attacks is one…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Mohammad Rasmi Al-Mousa

We introduce a decision-making framework tailored for the management of systemic risk in networks. This framework is constructed upon three fundamental components: (1) a set of acceptable network configurations, (2) a set of interventions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-28 Gregor Svindland , Alexander Voß

We introduce a model for a market based economic system of cyber-risk valuation to correct fundamental problems of incentives within the information technology and information processing industries. We assess the makeup of the current day…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-05-02 Timothy J. O'Shea , Adam Mondl , T. Charles. Clancy

A social network is a social structure made up of individuals or organizations called nodes, which are connected by one or more specific types of interdependency, such as friendship, common interest, and exchange of finance, relationships…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2012-02-14 Wajeb Gharibi , Maha Shaabi

Cyber assurance, which is the ability to operate under the onslaught of cyber attacks and other unexpected events, is essential for organizations facing inundating security threats on a daily basis. Organizations usually employ multiple…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Nan Sun , Chang-Tsun Li , Hin Chan , Md Zahidul Islam , Md Rafiqul Islam , Warren Armstrong

This paper presents a model to represent graphically the impact of cyber events (e.g., attacks, countermeasures) in a polygonal systems of n-sides. The approach considers information about all entities composing an information system (e.g.,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Gustavo Gonzalez-Granadillo , Joaquin Garcia-Alfaro , Hervé Debar

With an ever evolving cyber domain, delays in reporting incidents are a well-known problem in the cyber insurance industry. Addressing this problem is a requisite to obtaining the true picture of cyber incident rates and to model it…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-02-04 Seema Sangari , Eric Dallal

We extract firms' cyber risk with a machine learning algorithm measuring the proximity between their disclosures and a dedicated cyber corpus. Our approach outperforms dictionary methods, uses full disclosure and not devoted-only sections,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-06 Daniel Celeny , Loïc Maréchal