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Related papers: Extremes of Vector-Valued Gaussian Processes

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Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a random process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For a given positive constant $u$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $C_r(u):=\{t\in[0,1]: X_{r:n}(t)>u\}$ with $ X_{r:n}$ the $r$th largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-16 Chengxiu Ling

We analyze the Gaussian approximation as a method to obtain the first and second moments of a stochastic process described by a master equation. We justify the use of this approximation with ideas coming from van Kampen's expansion approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

In a variety of problems in pure and applied probability, it is of relevant to study the large exceedance probabilities of the perpetuity sequence $Y_n := B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1 \cdots A_{n-1}) B_n$, where $(A_i,B_i) \subset…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Dariusz Buraczewski , Jeffrey F. Collamore , Ewa Damek , Jacek Zienkiewicz

We consider the winding number of planar stationary Gaussian processes defined on the line. Under mild conditions, we obtain the asymptotic variance and the Central Limit Theorem for the winding number as the time horizon tends to infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Federico Dalmao , José R. León

We have obtained some upper bounds for the probability distribution of extremes of a self-similar Gaussian random field with stationary rectangular increments that are defined on the compact spaces. The probability distributions of extremes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Vitalii Makogin , Yuriy Kozachenko

This paper deals with Gibbs samplers that include high dimensional conditional Gaussian distributions. It proposes an efficient algorithm that avoids the high dimensional Gaussian sampling and relies on a random excursion along a small set…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Olivier Féron , François Orieux , Jean-François Giovannelli

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

Fractional Brownian motion is a self-affine, non-Markovian and translationally invariant generalization of Brownian motion, depending on the Hurst exponent $H$. Here we investigate fractional Brownian motion where both the starting and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-09 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

We study a model of unsupervised learning where the real-valued data vectors are isotropically distributed, except for a single symmetry breaking binary direction $\bm{B}\in\{-1,+1\}^{N}$, onto which the projections have a Gaussian…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 M. Copelli , C. Van den Broeck

We study the Langevin equation with stationary-increment Gaussian noise. We show the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality with Berry--Esseen bound of the so-called alternative estimator of the mean reversion parameter. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

Applying Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression to the eigenvalue problem $(\mathcal{L}-\lambda)u = 0$ poses a fundamental challenge, where the null source term results in a trivial predictive mean and a degenerate marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Tianming Bai , Jiannan Yang

This paper deals with Poisson processes on an arbitrary measurable space. Using a direct approach, we derive formulae for moments and cumulants of a vector of multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals with respect to the compensated Poisson process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Guenter Last , Mathew D. Penrose , Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

In this article we present Pickands theorem and his double sum method. We follow Piterbarg's proof of this theorem. Since his proof relies on general lemmas we present a complete proof of Pickands theorem using Borell inequality and Slepian…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Zbigniew Michna

The study of self-normalized processes plays a crucial role in a wide range of applications, from sequential decision-making to econometrics. While the behavior of self-normalized concentration has been widely investigated for scalar-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Tomas Gonzalez , Aaditya Ramdas

Surrogate models have become ubiquitous in science and engineering for their capability of emulating expensive computer codes, necessary to model and investigate complex phenomena. Bayesian emulators based on Gaussian processes adequately…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-02 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev

Gaussian process (GP) based Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box functions efficiently. The practical performance and theoretical guarantees of this approach depend on having the correct GP hyperparameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-07 Huong Ha , Vu Nguyen , Hung Tran-The , Hongyu Zhang , Xiuzhen Zhang , Anton van den Hengel

In the theory of extreme values of Gaussian processes, many results are expressed in terms of the Pickands constant $\mathcal{H}_{\alpha}$. This constant depends on the local self-similarity exponent $\alpha$ of the process, i.e. locally it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-26 Mathieu Delorme , Alberto Rosso , Kay Jörg Wiese

The recent contribution Dieker & Mikosch (2015) [1] obtained important representations of max-stable stationary Brown-Resnick random fields $\zeta_Z$ with a spectral representation determined by a Gaussian process $Z$. With motivations from…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Enkelejd Hashorva

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

Hyper-parameter optimization remains as the core issue of Gaussian process (GP) for machine learning nowadays. The benchmark method using maximum likelihood (ML) estimation and gradient descent (GD) is impractical for processing big data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Linning Xu , Feng Yin , Jiawei Zhang , Zhi-Quan Luo , Shuguang Cui