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In this article, we provide a unified framework for studying the convergence of rescaled characteristic polynomials of random matrices from various classical ensembles as well as functional convergence results for the Riemann zeta function.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Joseph Najnudel , Ashkan Nikeghbali

Given a super-critical Galton-Watson process $\{Z_n\}$ and a positive sequence $\{\epsilon_n\}$, we study the limiting behaviors of $P(S_{Z_n}/Z_n\geq\epsilon_n)$ and $P(S_{Z_n}/m^n\geq\epsilon_n) $ with sums $S_{n}$ of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Hui He

In this paper, we propose a new comparison tool for spatial homogeneity of point processes, based on the joint examination of void probabilities and factorial moment measures. We prove that determinantal and permanental processes, as well…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Bartlomiej Blaszczyszyn , D. Yogeshwaran

We study a class of processes that are akin to the Wright-Fisher model, with transition probabilities weighted in terms of the frequency-dependent fitness of the population types. By considering an approximate weak formulation of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-28 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

The Kingman coalescent is a fundamental process in population genetics modelling the ancestry of a sample of individuals backwards in time. In this paper, in a large-sample-size regime, we study asymptotic properties of the coalescent under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

We consider stochastic variational inequalities with monotone operators defined as the expected value of a random operator. We assume the feasible set is the intersection of a large family of convex sets. We propose a method that combines…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-03 Alfredo Iusem , Alejandro Jofré , Philip Thompson

We consider a random connection model (RCM) $\xi$ driven by a Poisson process $\eta$. We derive exponential moment bounds for an arbitrary cluster, provided that the intensity $t$ of $\eta$ is below a certain critical intensity $t_T$. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Mikhail Chebunin , Günter Last

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

We prove that, in the coupon collector's problem, the point processes given by the times of $r$-th arrivals for coupons of each type, centered and normalized in a proper way, converge toward a non-homogeneous Poisson point process. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Andrii Ilienko

We introduce a class of two-parameter discrete dispersion models, obtained by combining convolution with a factorial tilting operation, similar to exponential dispersion models which combine convolution and exponential tilting. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-29 Bent Jørgensen , Célestin C. Kokonendji

Let $\{p_j\}_{j=1}^\infty$ denote the set of prime numbers in increasing order, let $\Omega_N\subset \mathbb{N}$ denote the set of positive integers with no prime factor larger than $p_N$ and let $P_N$ denote the probability measure on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-02 Ross G. Pinsky

We study a Dirichlet--Ferguson process $\zeta$ on a general phase space. First we reprove the chaos expansion from Peccati (2008), providing an explicit formula for the kernel functions. Then we proceed with developing a Malliavin calculus…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Günter Last , Babette Picker

We propose a scalable framework for inference in an inhomogeneous Poisson process modeled by a continuous sigmoidal Cox process that assumes the corresponding intensity function is given by a Gaussian process (GP) prior transformed with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Virginia Aglietti , Edwin V. Bonilla , Theodoros Damoulas , Sally Cripps

Given $N\ge2$ closed subspaces $M_1,\dotsc, M_N$ of a Hilbert space $X$, let $P_k$ denote the orthogonal projection onto $M_k$, $1\le k\le N$. It is known that the sequence $(x_n)$, defined recursively by $x_0=x$ and $x_{n+1}=P_N\cdots…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-14 Catalin Badea , David Seifert

In this paper we consider the Riemann--Liouville fractional integral $\mathcal{N}^{\alpha,\nu}(t)= \frac{1}{\Gamma(\alpha)} \int_0^t (t-s)^{\alpha-1}N^\nu(s) \, \mathrm ds $, where $N^\nu(t)$, $t \ge 0$, is a fractional Poisson process of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

Motivated by Alain-Sol Sznitman's interlacement process, we consider the set of $\{0,1\}$-valued processes which can be constructed in an analogous way, namely as a union of sets coming from a Poisson process on a collection of sets. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Malin P. Forsström , Nina Gantert , Jeffrey E. Steif

We consider the fully-coupled McKean-Vlasov equation with multi-time-scale potentials, and all the coefficients depend on the distributions of both the slow component and the fast motion. By studying the smoothness of the solution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Yun Li , Fuke Wu , Longjie Xie

We study nonparametric Bayesian statistical inference for the parameters governing a pure jump process of the form $$Y_t = \sum_{k=1}^{N(t)} Z_k,~~~ t \ge 0,$$ where $N(t)$ is a standard Poisson process of intensity $\lambda$, and $Z_k$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl

The combination of inducing point methods with stochastic variational inference has enabled approximate Gaussian Process (GP) inference on large datasets. Unfortunately, the resulting predictive distributions often exhibit substantially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

We study systems of particles on a line which have a maximum, are locally finite and evolve with independent increments. ``Quasi-stationary states'' are defined as probability measures, on the \sigma-algebra generated by the gap variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anastasia Ruzmaikina , Michael Aizenman