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Related papers: Regression via Arbitrary Quantile Modeling

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Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are highly flexible predictive models. However, reliably quantifying uncertainty for their predictions is a continuing challenge. There has been much recent work on "recalibration" of predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 R. Torres , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson , T. Rodrigues , J. G. Reis , G. S. Rodrigues

The Distributional Random Forest (DRF) is a recently introduced Random Forest algorithm to estimate multivariate conditional distributions. Due to its general estimation procedure, it can be employed to estimate a wide range of targets such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Jeffrey Näf , Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

We propose a novel one-step supervised imitation learning (IL) framework called Adversarial Density Regression (ADR). This IL framework aims to correct the policy learned on unknown-quality to match the expert distribution by utilizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Ziqi Zhang , Zifeng Zhuang , Jingzehua Xu , Yiyuan Yang , Yubo Huang , Donglin Wang , Shuai Zhang

We investigate different methods for regularizing quantile regression when predicting either a subset of quantiles or the full inverse CDF. We show that minimizing an expected pinball loss over a continuous distribution of quantiles is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Taman Narayan , Serena Wang , Kevin Canini , Maya Gupta

It is becoming increasingly common in regression to train neural networks that model the entire distribution even if only the mean is required for prediction. This additional modeling often comes with performance gain and the reasons behind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Ehsan Imani , Kai Luedemann , Sam Scholnick-Hughes , Esraa Elelimy , Martha White

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

Generative adversarial networks constitute a powerful approach to generative modeling. While generated samples often are indistinguishable from real data, there is no guarantee that they will follow the true data distribution. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-09 Philipp Pilar , Niklas Wahlström

Distribution regression refers to the supervised learning problem where labels are only available for groups of inputs instead of individual inputs. In this paper, we develop a rigorous mathematical framework for distribution regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Maud Lemercier , Cristopher Salvi , Theodoros Damoulas , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terry Lyons

In regression problems where there is no known true underlying model, conformal prediction methods enable prediction intervals to be constructed without any assumptions on the distribution of the underlying data, except that the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Wenyu Chen , Kelli-Jean Chun , Rina Foygel Barber

Linear quantile regression models aim at providing a detailed and robust picture of the (conditional) response distribution as function of a set of observed covariates. Longitudinal data represent an interesting field of application of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-30 Maria Francesca Marino , Nikos Tzavidis , Marco Alfo'

We propose a dynamic network quantile regression model to investigate the quantile connectedness using a predetermined network information. We extend the existing network quantile autoregression model of Zhu et al. (2019b) by explicitly…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-16 Xiu Xu , Weining Wang , Yongcheol Shin , Chaowen Zheng

This paper considers the problem of nonparametric quantile regression under the assumption that the target conditional quantile function is a composition of a sequence of low-dimensional functions. We study the nonparametric quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Guohao Shen , Yuling Jiao , Yuanyuan Lin , Joel L. Horowitz , Jian Huang

Direct quantile regression involves estimating a given quantile of a response variable as a function of input variables. We present a new framework for direct quantile regression where a Gaussian process model is learned, minimising the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Alexis Boukouvalas , Remi Barillec , Dan Cornford

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are increasingly adopted in modern communication networks. However, challenges in decision-making and digital modeling continue to impede their rapid advancement. Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Yousef Emami , Hao Zhou , Luis Almeida , Kai Li

Predictive maintenance (PdM) has become a crucial element of modern industrial practice. PdM plays a significant role in operational dependability and cost management by decreasing unforeseen downtime and optimizing asset life cycle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Ainaz Jamshidi , Dongchan Kim , Muhammad Arif

Structured additive distributional regression models offer a versatile framework for estimating complete conditional distributions by relating all parameters of a parametric distribution to covariates. Although these models efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Jana Kleinemeier , Nadja Klein

Ordinal regression is a classification task where classes have an order and prediction error increases the further the predicted class is from the true class. The standard approach for modeling ordinal data involves fitting parallel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Fred Lu , Francis Ferraro , Edward Raff

As machine learning models are deployed ever more broadly, it becomes increasingly important that they are not only able to perform well on their training distribution, but also yield accurate predictions when confronted with distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig

Accurate uncertainty quantification is necessary to enhance the reliability of deep learning models in real-world applications. In the case of regression tasks, prediction intervals (PIs) should be provided along with the deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Giorgio Morales , John W. Sheppard

We propose a new family of error distributions for model-based quantile regression, which is constructed through a structured mixture of normal distributions. The construction enables fixing specific percentiles of the distribution while,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-10 Yifei Yan , Athanasios Kottas