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Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

The engineering of solar power applications, such as photovoltaic energy (PV) or thermal solar energy requires the knowledge of the solar resource available for the solar energy system. This solar resource is generally obtained from…

Space Physics · Physics 2014-10-17 Jonathan Leloux , Luis Narvarte , Loreto Gonzalez-Bonilla

Foundation models have demonstrated remarkable success across various scientific domains, motivating our exploration of their potential in solar physics. In this paper, we present Solaris, the first foundation model for forecasting the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-26 Harris Abdul Majid , Pietro Sittoni , Francesco Tudisco

Regional solar power forecasting, which involves predicting the total power generation from all rooftop photovoltaic systems in a region holds significant importance for various stakeholders in the energy sector. However, the vast amount of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Maneesha Perera , Julian De Hoog , Kasun Bandara , Damith Senanayake , Saman Halgamuge

Reliable forecasts of the power output from variable renewable energy generators like solar photovoltaic systems are important to balancing load on real-time electricity markets and ensuring electricity supply reliability. However, solar PV…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Andea Scott , Sindhu Sreedhara , Folasade Ayoola

Weather forecasts from numerical weather prediction models play a central role in solar energy forecasting, where a cascade of physics-based models is used in a model chain approach to convert forecasts of solar irradiance to solar power…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-10 Nina Horat , Sina Klerings , Sebastian Lerch

The prediction of solar irradiance enhances reliability in photovoltaic (PV) solar plant generation and grid integration. In Colombia, PV plants face penalties if energy production deviates beyond governmental thresholds from intraday…

Accurate household electrical energy demand prediction is essential for effectively managing sustainable Energy Communities. Integrated with the Energy Management System, these communities aim to optimise operational costs. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Ehtisham Asghar , Martin Hill , Ibrahim Sengor , Conor Lynch , Phan Quang An

In this paper, a stochastic model with regime switching is developed for solar photo-voltaic (PV) power in order to provide short-term probabilistic forecasts. The proposed model for solar PV power is physics inspired and explicitly…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-19 Raksha Ramakrishna , Anna Scaglione , Vijay Vittal

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis

In this paper, we address the issue of short-term wind speed prediction at a given site. We show that, when one uses spatiotemporal information as provided by wind data of neighboring stations, one significantly improves the prediction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-07 Rachel Baïle , Jean-François Muzy

Accurate parameterization of rooftop photovoltaic (PV) installations is critical for effective grid management and strategic large-scale solar deployment. The lack of high-fidelity datasets for PV configuration parameters often compels…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Bowen Tian , Roel C. G. M. Loonen , Roland Valckenborg , Jan L. M. Hensen

Ground-based whole sky imagers (WSIs) can provide localized images of the sky of high temporal and spatial resolution, which permits fine-grained cloud observation. In this paper, we show how images taken by WSIs can be used to estimate…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-07 Soumyabrata Dev , Florian M. Savoy , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Short-term forecasting of solar photovoltaic energy (PV) production is important for powerplant management. Ideally these forecasts are equipped with error bars, so that downstream decisions can account for uncertainty. To produce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Sean Nassimiha , Peter Dudfield , Jack Kelly , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Due to the rise in the use of renewable energies as an alternative to traditional ones, and especially solar energy, there is increasing interest in studying how to address photovoltaic forecasting in the face of the challenge of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Ines Montoya-Espinagosa , Antonio Agudo

As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-26 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Nhu Tran , Mahdi Motalleb , Elham Foruzan

Project Sunroof estimates the solar potential of residential buildings using high quality aerial data. That is, it estimates the potential solar energy (and associated financial savings) that can be captured by buildings if solar panels…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Ross Goroshin , Alex Wilson , Andrew Lamb , Betty Peng , Brandon Ewonus , Cornelius Ratsch , Jordan Raisher , Marisa Leung , Max Burq , Thomas Colthurst , William Rucklidge , Carl Elkin

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

A methodology for downscaling solar irradiation from satellite-derived databases is described using R software. Different packages such as raster, parallel, solaR, gstat, sp and rasterVis are considered in this study for improving solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-12-02 F. Antonanzas-Torres , F. J. Martínez de Pisón , J. Antonanzas , O. Perpiñán

Surface solar irradiance varies on scales as small as seconds or meters due to scattering and absorption by the atmosphere. Clouds are the main driver of this variability, but moisture structures in the atmospheric boundary layer and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-08 Wouter Mol , Bert Heusinkveld , Mary Rose Mangan , Oscar Hartogensis , Menno Veerman , Chiel van Heerwaarden
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