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We consider a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) whose state space is partitioned into aggregates, and each aggregate is assigned a probability measure. A sufficient condition for defining a CTMC over the aggregates is presented as a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2013-03-21 Arnab Ganguly , Tatjana Petrov , Heinz Koeppl

We analyse the structure of imprecise Markov chains and study their convergence by means of accessibility relations. We first identify the sets of states, so-called minimal permanent classes, that are the minimal sets capable of containing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Skulj

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek

We study the rate of convergence of the Markov chain on $S_n$ which starts with a random $(n-k)$-cycle for a fixed $k \geq 1$, followed by random transpositions. The convergence to the stationary distribution turns out to be of order $n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-26 Alperen Y. Özdemir

Metastability is a physical phenomenon ubiquitous in first order phase transitions. A fruitful mathematical way to approach this phenomenon is the study of rare transitions Markov chains. For Metropolis chains associated with Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Emilio Cirillo , Francesca Nardi , Julien Sohier

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

The paper deals with the convergence properties of the products of random (row-)stochastic matrices. The limiting behavior of such products is studied from a dynamical system point of view. In particular, by appropriately defining a dynamic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Behrouz Touri , Angelia Nedich

Motivated by queues with many servers, we study Brownian steady-state approximations for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs). Our approximations are based on diffusion models (rather than a diffusion limit) whose steady-state, we prove,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Itai Gurvich

We consider a random walk in random environment with random holding times, that is, the random walk jumping to one of its nearest neighbors with some transition probability after a random holding time. Both the transition probabilities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Ryoki Fukushima , Naoki Kubota

A discrete-time Markov chain can be transformed into a new Markov chain by looking at its states along iterations of an almost surely finite stopping time. By the optional stopping theorem, any bounded harmonic function with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Behrang Forghani

Population dynamics are often subject to random independent changes in the environment. For the two strategy stochastic replicator dynamic, we assume that stochastic changes in the environment replace the payoffs and variance. This is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-11 Andrew Vlasic

We study the stochastic dynamics of a system of interacting species in a stochastic environment by means of a continuous-time Markov chain with transition rates depending on the state of the environment. Models of gene regulation in systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Daniele Cappelletti , Abhishek Pal Majumder , Carsten Wiuf

Let $X_{t}$ and $Y_{t}$ be two Markov chains, on state spaces $\Omega \subset \hat{\Omega}$. In this paper, we discuss how to prove bounds on the spectrum of $X_{t}$ based on bounds on the spectrum of $Y_{t}$. This generalizes work of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Aaron Smith

Given a sequence of i.i.d. random functions $\Psi_{n}:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, we consider the iterated function system and Markov chain which is recursively defined by $X_{0}^{x}:=x$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sara Brofferio , Dariusz Buraczewski

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

We consider symmetric Markov chains on $\Bbb Z^d$ where we do {\bf not} assume that the conductance between two points must be zero if the points are far apart. Under a uniform second moment condition on the conductances, we obtain upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Richard F. Bass , Takashi Kumagai

We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the regular variation of the variance of partial sums of functionals of discrete and continuous-time stationary Markov processes with normal transition operators. We also construct a class…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 George Deligiannidis , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

A random phase property establishing a link between quasi-one-dimensional random Schroedinger operators and full random matrix theory is advocated. Briefly summarized it states that the random transfer matrices placed into a normal system…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-06-04 Rudolf A Roemer , Hermann Schulz-Baldes

We consider additive functionals of Markov processes in continuous time with general (metric) state spaces. We derive concentration bounds for their exponential moments and moments of finite order. Applications include diffusions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-18 Frank Redig , Florian Völlering

This paper shows the existence of independent random matching of a large (continuum) population in both static and dynamic systems, which has been popular in the economics and genetics literatures. We construct a joint agent-probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Darrell Duffie , Yeneng Sun
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