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We study the problem of merging sequential or independent e-values into one e-value or e-process. We describe a class of e-value merging functions via martingales and show that it dominates all merging methods for sequential e-values. All…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

For a series of Markov processes we prove stochastic duality relations with duality functions given by orthogonal polynomials. This means that expectations with respect to the original process (which evolves the variable of the orthogonal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Chiara Franceschini , Cristian Giardinà

Martingales constitute a basic tool in stochastic analysis; this paper considers their application to counting processes. We use this tool to revisit a renewal theorem and its extensions for various counting processes. We first consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Daryl J. Daley , Masakiyo Miyazawa

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

This paper generalizes the notion of stochastic order to a relation between probability measures over arbitrary measurable spaces. This generalization is motivated by the observation that for the stochastic ordering of two stationary Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Lasse Leskelä

In this paper, we consider a modified version of a well-known submartingale condition fortheweak convergence of probabilitymeasures, adapted to the semi-Markov case. In this setting, it is convenient to work with an embedded Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vitaliy Golomoziy

We introduce a probabilistic framework for two-sample comparison based on a nonparametric process taking the form of a Markov model that transitions between a "divide" and a "merge" state on a multi-resolution partition tree of the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-30 Jacopo Soriano , Li Ma

Mean-field models approximate large stochastic systems by simpler differential equations that are supposed to approximate the mean of the larger system. It is generally assumed that as the stochastic systems get larger (i.e., more people or…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Benjamin Armbruster

We introduce a class of Markov chains, that contains the model of stochastic approximation by averaging and non-averaging. Using martingale approximation method, we establish various deviation inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Xiequan Fan , Pierre Alquier , Paul Doukhan

We present a new approach to noncommutative stochastic calculus that is, like the classical theory, based primarily on the martingale property. Using this approach, we introduce a general theory of stochastic integration and quadratic…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2025-10-28 David A. Jekel , Todd A. Kemp , Evangelos A. Nikitopoulos

We construct a family of self-similar Markov martingales with given marginal distributions. This construction uses the self-similarity and Markov property of a reference process to produce a family of Markov processes that possess the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Fima Klebaner

In this paper we discuss weak convergence of continuous-time Markov chains to a non-symmetric pure jump process. We approach this problem using Dirichlet forms as well as semimartingales. As an application, we discuss how to approximate a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Ante Mimica , Nikola Sandrić , René L. Schilling

Markov processes are popular mathematical models, studied by theoreticians for their intriguing properties, and applied by practitioners for their flexible structure. With this book we teach how to model and analyze Markov processes. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Ivo Adan , Johan van Leeuwaarden , Jori Selen

We develop a stochastic calculus that makes it easy to capture a variety of predictable transformations of semimartingales such as changes of variables, stochastic integrals, and their compositions. The framework offers a unified treatment…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-13 Aleš Černý , Johannes Ruf

Semi-Markov processes are a generalization of Markov processes since the exponential distribution of time intervals is replaced with an arbitrary distribution. This paper provides an integro-differential form of the Kolmogorov's backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Enzo Orsingher , Costantino Ricciuti , Bruno Toaldo

We extend the class of semimartingales in a natural way. This allows us to incorporate processes having paths that leave the state space R^d. In particular Markov processes related to sub-Markovian kernels, but also non-Markovian processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Alexander Schnurr

Suppose that a real valued process X is given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. Then, for any twice continuously differentiable function f, the backward Kolmogorov equation gives a condition for f(t,X) to be a local…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-18 George Lowther

We study general properties for the family of stochastic processes with polynomial regression property, that is that every conditional moment of the process is a polynomial. It turns out that then there exists a family of polynomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Paweł J. Szabłowski

The focus of this article is on entropy and Markov processes. We study the properties of functionals which are invariant with respect to monotonic transformations and analyze two invariant "additivity" properties: (i) existence of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 A. N. Gorban , P. A. Gorban , G. Judge