Related papers: A remark on normalizations in a local principle of…

We study the properties of variational Bayes approximations for exponential family models with missing values. It is shown that the iterative algorithm for obtaining the variational Bayesian estimator converges locally to the true value…

A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

We study a general class of birth-and-death processes with state space $\mathbb{N}$ that describes the size of a population going to extinction with probability one. This class contains the logistic case. The scale of the population is…

We present a technique for approximating generic normalization constants subject to constraints. The method is then applied to derive the exact asymptotics for the conditional normalization constant of constrained exponential random graphs.

We reduced the large deviation problem for a self-normalized random walk to one for an auxiliary usual bivariate random walk. This enabled us to prove the classical theorem for self-normalized walks by Q.-M. Shao (1997) under slightly more…

We develop a likelihood-based inference for finite-state birth-death processes with composite birth rates, in which multiple distinct mechanisms contribute additively to the total birth intensity. Our main motivating example is an SIS…

Consider the normalized partial sums of a real-valued function $F$ of a Markov chain, \[\phi_n:=n^{-1}\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}F(\Phi(k)),\qquad n\ge1.\] The chain $\{\Phi(k):k\ge0\}$ takes values in a general state space $\mathsf {X}$, with…

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

We prove a strong law of large numbers and an annealed invariance principle for a random walk in a one-dimensional dynamic random environment evolving as the simple exclusion process with jump parameter $\gamma$. First, we establish that if…

We derive the conditions for recurrence and transience for time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes considered as random walks with positively biased drifts. We establish a general result, from which the earlier known particular results…

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

The purpose of this article is to present a general method to find limiting laws for some renormalized statistics on random permutations. The model considered here is Ewens sampling model, which generalizes uniform random permutations. We…

We consider a critical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We are interested in the event $\mathcal{A}_i(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for laws of large numbers to hold in $L^2$ for the empirical measure of a large class of branching Markov processes, including $\lambda$-positive systems but also some $\lambda$-transient ones,…

Let $Z=\{Z(t): t\in \mathbb R\}$ be a stochastic process with trajectories in space $\mathbb D (\mathbb R)$. It is assumed that there exists an essentially smooth function $A:\mathbb R\to (-\infty, \infty] $ such that, for all $\alpha \in…

This paper gives various asymptotic formulae for the transition probability associated with discrete time quantum walks on the real line. The formulae depend heavily on the `normalized' position of the walk. When the position is in the…

We discuss asymptotics for large random planar maps under the assumption that the distribution of the degree of a typical face is in the domain of attraction of a stable distribution with index $\alpha\in(1,2)$. When the number $n$ of…

Consider an arbitrary transient random walk on $\Z^d$ with $d\in\N$. Pick $\alpha\in[0,\infty)$ and let $L_n(\alpha)$ be the spatial sum of the $\alpha$-th power of the $n$-step local times of the walk. Hence, $L_n(0)$ is the range,…