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Related papers: Optimal Experimental Design for Staggered Rollouts

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Since the first optimality proofs for adaptive mesh refinement algorithms in the early 2000s, the theory of optimal mesh refinement for PDEs was inherently limited to stationary problems. The reason for this is that time-dependent problems…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Michael Feischl , Fernando Henríquez , David Niederkofler

We study the design and analysis of switchback experiments conducted on a single aggregate unit. The design problem is to partition the continuous time space into intervals and switch treatments between intervals, in order to minimize the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-12 Ruoxuan Xiong , Alex Chin , Sean J. Taylor

Minimizing the number of patients exposed to potentially harmful drugs in early onco logical trials is a major concern during planning. Adaptive designs account for the inherent uncertainty about the true effect size by determining the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-03 Kevin Kunzmann , Meinhard Kieser

We provide a unifying approximate dynamic programming framework that applies to a broad variety of problems involving sequential estimation. We consider first the construction of surrogate cost functions for the purposes of optimization,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Dimitri Bertsekas

We develop a set of algorithms to solve a broad class of Design of Experiment (DoE) problems efficiently. Specifically, we consider problems in which one must choose a subset of polymers to test in experiments such that the learning of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-06 Swagatam Mukhopadhyay

In a sequential multiple-assignment randomized trial (SMART), a sequence of treatments is given to a patient over multiple stages. In each stage, randomization may be done to allocate patients to different treatment groups. Even though…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Rik Ghosh , Bibhas Chakraborty , Inbal Nahum-Shani , Megan E. Patrick , Palash Ghosh

This paper analytically investigates the optimal design of gamma degradation tests, including the number of test units, the number of inspections, and inspection times. We first derive optimal designs with periodic inspection times under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-14 Hung-Ping Tung , Yu-Wen Chen

Two useful strategies to speed up drug development are to increase the patient accrual rate and use novel adaptive designs. Unfortunately, these two strategies often conflict when the evaluation of the outcome cannot keep pace with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

We propose a frequentist adaptive phase 2 trial design to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three treatment regimens (doses) compared to placebo for four types of helminth (worm) infections. This trial will be carried out in four…

Adaptive designs are commonly used in clinical and drug development studies for optimum utilization of available resources. In this article, we consider the problem of estimating the effect of the selected (better) treatment using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Masihuddin , Neeraj Misra

In randomized controlled trials (RCTs), treatment is often assigned by stratified randomization. I show that among all stratified randomization schemes which treat all units with probability one half, a certain matched-pair design achieves…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-17 Yuehao Bai

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a sub-field of statistics focused on developing methods to make efficient use of experimental resources. Any potential design is evaluated in terms of a utility function, such as the (theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Noble Kennamer , Steven Walton , Alexander Ihler

A/B testing is critical for modern technological companies to evaluate the effectiveness of newly developed products against standard baselines. This paper studies optimal designs that aim to maximize the amount of information obtained from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Ting Li , Chengchun Shi , Jianing Wang , Fan Zhou , Hongtu Zhu

This paper introduces an adaptive time splitting technique for the solution of stiff evolutionary PDEs that guarantees an effective error control of the simulation, independent of the fastest physical time scale for highly unsteady…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-04-10 Stéphane Descombes , Max Duarte , Thierry Dumont , Violaine Louvet , Marc Massot

The problem of how to genetically modify cells in order to maximize a certain cellular phenotype has taken center stage in drug development over the last few years (with, for example, genetically edited CAR-T, CAR-NK, and CAR-NKT cells…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-03 Aldo Pacchiano , Drausin Wulsin , Robert A. Barton , Luis Voloch

Given covariates for $n$ units, each of which is to receive a treatment with probability $1/2$, we study the question of how best to correlate their treatment assignments to minimize the variance of the IPW estimator of the average…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Tim Morrison , Art B. Owen

Both cluster randomized trials and quasi-experimental designs are used to evaluate the impact of health and social policies and interventions. Stepped-wedge cluster randomized trials randomize a staggered adoption approach, while recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Haidong Lu , Gregg S. Gonsalves , Fan Li , Guanyu Tong , Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

Sequential Bayesian experimental design typically assumes that the number of experiments is fixed before data collection begins. In practical campaigns, however, experimentation may need to terminate early because additional measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Chen Cheng , Xun Huan

The design of multiple experiments is commonly undertaken via suboptimal strategies, such as batch (open-loop) design that omits feedback or greedy (myopic) design that does not account for future effects. This paper introduces new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-29 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

From clinical development of cancer therapies to investigations into partisan bias, adaptive sequential designs have become increasingly popular method for causal inference, as they offer the possibility of improved precision over their…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Jessica Dai , Paula Gradu , Christopher Harshaw