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Minimum Bayes Risk (MBR) decoding has been shown to be a powerful alternative to beam search decoding in a variety of text generation tasks. MBR decoding selects a hypothesis from a pool of hypotheses that has the least expected risk under…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Yuu Jinnai , Tetsuro Morimura , Ukyo Honda , Kaito Ariu , Kenshi Abe

This paper presents an efficient implementation of the extended object Poisson multi-Bernoulli (PMB) filter under the zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) object measurement model using particle belief propagation (BP). The ZIP measurement model…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Yuxuan Xia , Xueqi Qiu , Hyowon Kim , Chaoqun Yang

This overview paper describes the particle methods developed for the implementation of the a class of Bayes filters formulated using the random finite set formalism. It is primarily intended for the readership already familiar with the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-02-15 Branko Ristic , Michael Beard , Claudio Fantacci

This paper proposes a smooth-trajectory estimator for the labelled multi-Bernoulli (LMB) filter by exploiting the special structure of the generalised labelled multi-Bernoulli (GLMB) filter. We devise a simple and intuitive approach to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-17 Hoa Van Nguyen , Tran Thien Dat Nguyen , Changbeom Shim , Marzhar Anuar

Monte Carlo (MC) integration is the de facto method for approximating the predictive distribution of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). But, even with many MC samples, Gaussian-based BNNs could still yield bad predictive performance due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Agustinus Kristiadi , Runa Eschenhagen , Philipp Hennig

Many real-world problems require one to estimate parameters of interest, in a Bayesian framework, from data that are collected sequentially in time. Conventional methods for sampling from posterior distributions, such as {Markov Chain Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Jiangqi Wu , Linjie Wen , Peter L Green , Jinglai Li , Simon Maskell

This paper extends the Multilevel Monte Carlo variance reduction technique to nonlinear filtering. In particular, Multilevel Monte Carlo is applied to a certain variant of the particle filter, the Ensemble Transform Particle Filter. A key…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-24 Alastair Gregory , Colin Cotter , Sebastian Reich

Previous labeled random finite set filter developments use a motion model that only accounts for survival and birth. While such a model provides the means for a multi-object tracking filter such as the Generalized Labeled Multi-Bernoulli…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-14 Daniel S. Bryant , Ba Tuong Vo , Ba Ngu Vo , Brandon A. Jones

This paper concerns the use of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for posterior sampling in Bayesian nonparametric mixture models with normalized random measure priors. Making use of some recent posterior characterizations for the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-03 Stefano Favaro , Yee Whye Teh

A natural Bayesian approach for mixture models with an unknown number of components is to take the usual finite mixture model with Dirichlet weights, and put a prior on the number of components---that is, to use a mixture of finite mixtures…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 Jeffrey W. Miller , Matthew T. Harrison

In this work, a novel sequential Monte Carlo filter is introduced which aims at efficient sampling of high-dimensional state spaces with a limited number of particles. Particles are pushed forward from the prior to the posterior density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Manuel Pulido , Peter Jan vanLeeuwen

A multiple maneuvering target system can be viewed as a Jump Markov System (JMS) in the sense that the target movement can be modeled using different motion models where the transition between the motion models by a particular target…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-16 Yuthika Punchihewa , Ba-Ngu Vo , Ba-Tuong Vo

The Bootstrap Particle Filter (BPF) and the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are two widely used methods for sequential Bayesian filtering: the BPF is asymptotically exact but can suffer from weight degeneracy, while the EnKF scales well in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Ilja Klebanov , Claudia Schillings , Dana Wrischnig

Finite mixture models are used in statistics and other disciplines, but inference for mixture models is challenging due, in part, to the multimodality of the likelihood function and the so-called label switching problem. We propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Umberto Simola , Jessi Cisewski-Kehe , Robert L. Wolpert

Bernoulli factory MCMC algorithms implement accept-reject Markov chains without explicit computation of acceptance probabilities, and are used to target posterior distributions associated with intractable likelihood models. Intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-18 Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Flávio B. Gonçalves

This paper introduces methodology for performing Bayesian inference sequentially on a sequence of posteriors on spaces of different dimensions. We show how this may be achieved through the use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers (Del…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Richard G Everitt , Richard Culliford , Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel J Wilson

This paper addresses the mapping problem. Using a conjugate prior form, we derive the exact theoretical batch multi-object posterior density of the map given a set of measurements. The landmarks in the map are modeled as extended objects,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-09 Maryam Fatemi , Karl Granström , Lennart Svensson , Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Lars Hammarstrand

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, also known as particle filters, are simulation-based recursive algorithms for the approximation of the a posteriori probability measures generated by state-space dynamical models. At any given time $t$,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-24 Dan Crisan , Joaquín Míguez

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is widely used in nonlinear state-space systems, but its performance often suffers from poorly approximated proposal and state-transition distributions. This work introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Wessel L. van Nierop , Nir Shlezinger , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

This paper presents a seamless algorithm for the application of the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method to the ensemble transform particle filter (ETPF). The algorithm uses a combination of optimal coupling transformations between coarse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Alastair Gregory , Colin Cotter