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Higher order fluctuation expansions for stochastic heat equations (SHE) with nonlinear, non-conservative and conservative noise are obtained. These Edgeworth-type expansions describe the asymptotic behavior of solutions in suitable joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Benjamin Gess , Zhengyan Wu , Rangrang Zhang

Scale invariance is a central organizing principle in physics, underlying phenomena that range from critical behaviour in statistical mechanics to transport and chaos in nonlinear dynamical systems. Here we present a unified and physically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-23 Edson D. Leonel , Diego F. M. Oliveira

This paper proposes a new pathwise sensitivity estimator for chaotic SDEs. By introducing a spring term between the original and perturbated SDEs, we derive a new estimator by importance sampling. The variance of the new estimator increases…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Wei Fang , Mike Giles

A probabilistic performance-oriented controller design approach based on polynomial chaos expansion and optimization is proposed for flight dynamic systems. Unlike robust control techniques where uncertainties are conservatively handled,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Xiang Fang , Florian Holzapfel

We address numerical differentiation under coarse, non-uniform sampling and Gaussian noise. A maximum-likelihood estimator with $L_2$-norm constraint on a higher-order derivative is obtained, yielding spline-based solution. We introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-31 Konstantin E. Avrachenkov , Leonid B. Freidovich

This paper addresses the deconvolution problem of estimating a square-integrable probability density from observations contaminated with additive measurement errors having a known density. The estimator begins with a density estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 David Kent , David Ruppert

Due to significant manufacturing process variations, the performance of integrated circuits (ICs) has become increasingly uncertain. Such uncertainties must be carefully quantified with efficient stochastic circuit simulators. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-18 Zheng Zhang , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

Polynomial chaos expansions are used to reduce the computational cost in the Bayesian solutions of inverse problems by creating a surrogate posterior that can be evaluated inexpensively. We show, by analysis and example, that when the data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Fei Lu , Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Alexandre J. Chorin

Non-uniform B-spline dictionaries on a compact interval are discussed. For each given partition, dictionaries of B-spline functions for the corresponding spline space are constructed. It is asserted that, by dividing the given partition…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2009-08-06 Laura Rebollo-Neira , Zhiqiang Xu

The critical variational setting was recently introduced and shown to be applicable to many important SPDEs not covered by the classical variational setting. In this paper, we extend the critical variational setting in several ways. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Sebastian Bechtel , Fabian Germ , Mark Veraar

The exponential B-spline basis function set is used to develop a collocation method for some initial boundary value problems (IBVPs) to the Gardner equation. The Gardner equation has two nonlinear terms, namely quadratic and cubic ones. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-22 Ozlem Ersoy Hepsona , Alper Korkmaz , Idiris Dag

Effective properties of composite materials are defined as the ensemble average of property-specific PDE solutions over the underlying microstructure distributions. Traditionally, predicting such properties can be done by solving PDEs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Guangyu Nie , Yang Jiao , Yi Ren

Coarsened exact matching (CEM) is often promoted as a superior alternative to propensity score matching (PSM) for addressing imbalance, model dependence, bias, and efficiency. However, this recommendation remains uncertain. First, CEM is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Fei Wan

The Stochastic Approximation EM (SAEM) algorithm, a variant stochastic approximation of EM, is a versatile tool for inference in incomplete data models. In this paper, we review the fundamental EM algorithm and then focus especially on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-30 Vahid Tadayon

The immense amount of daily generated and communicated data presents unique challenges in their processing. Clustering, the grouping of data without the presence of ground-truth labels, is an important tool for drawing inferences from data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-08 Panagiotis A. Traganitis , Georgios B. Giannakis

A new representation of splines that targets efficiency in the analysis of functional data is implemented. The efficiency is achieved through two novel features: using the recently introduced orthonormal spline bases, the so-called {\it…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-30 Krzysztof Podgórski

Conformal prediction methods create prediction bands with distribution-free guarantees but do not explicitly capture epistemic uncertainty, which can lead to overconfident predictions in data-sparse regions. Although recent conformal scores…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-11 Luben M. C. Cabezas , Vagner S. Santos , Thiago R. Ramos , Rafael Izbicki

LLMs' overconfidence, particularly when hallucinating, poses a significant challenge for the deployment of the models in safety-critical settings and makes a reliable estimation of uncertainty necessary. Existing approaches for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Hamed Karimi , Vaishali Meyappan , Reza Samavi

Gradient-enhanced Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has received recent attention, in which the derivatives of a Quantity of Interest (QoI) with respect to the uncertain parameters are utilized to improve the surrogate approximation.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-23 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Inspired by recent work of Alberts, Khanin and Quastel, we formulate general conditions ensuring that a sequence of multi-linear polynomials of independent random variables (called polynomial chaos expansions) converges to a limiting random…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Francesco Caravenna , Rongfeng Sun , Nikos Zygouras
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