Related papers: Exponential functionals of Markov additive process…
We derive the exact asymptotics of $P(\sup_{u\leq t}X(u) > x)$ if $x$ and $t$ tend to infinity with $x/t$ constant, for a L\'{e}vy process $X$ that admits exponential moments. The proof is based on a renewal argument and a two-dimensional…
We introduce Markov substitute processes, a new model at the crossroad of statistics and formal grammars, and prove its main property : Markov substitute processes with a given support form an exponential family.
In this paper we study mutual absolute continuity and singularity of probability measures on the path space which are induced by an isotropic stable L\'evy process and the purely discontinuous Girsanov transform of this process. We also…
We give a set of equivalent conditions for a potential on a Countable Markov Shift to have strong positive recurrence, which is also equivalent to having exponential decay of correlations. A key ingredient of our proofs is quantifying how…
The exponential rate of convergence and the Central Limit Theorem for some Markov operators are established. The operators correspond to iterated function systems which, for example, may be used to generalize the cell cycle model given by…
In [Fortini et al., Stoch. Proc. Appl. 100 (2002), 147--165] it is demonstrated that a recurrent Markov exchangeable process in the sense of Diaconis and Freedman is essentially a partially exchangeable process in the sense of de Finetti.…
This paper tackles the issue of establishing a lower-bound on the asymptotic ratio of survival probabilities between two different initial conditions, asymptotically in time for a given Markov process with extinction. Such a comparison is a…
Let $f$ be the density function associated to a matrix-exponential distribution of parameters $(\alpha, T,s)$. By exponentially tilting $f$, we find a probabilistic interpretation which generalises the one associated to phase-type…
We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…
We derive explicit upper bounds for the $\bar{d}$-distance between a chain of infinite order and its canonical $k$-steps Markov approximation. Our proof is entirely constructive and involves a "coupling from the past" argument. The new…
In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of supercritical branching Markov processes $\{\mathbb{X}_t, t \ge0\}$ whose spatial motions are L\'evy processes with regularly varying tails. Recently, Ren et al. [Appl. Probab. 61…
We provide a rather explicit formula for the resolvent of a~concatenation of $N$ processes in terms of their exit laws and certain probability measures characterizing the way the processes are concatenated. As an application, we prove an…
For a wide class of continuous-time Markov processes, including all irreducible hypoelliptic diffusions evolving on an open, connected subset of $\RL^d$, the following are shown to be equivalent: (i) The process satisfies (a slightly weaker…
For a general free L\'evy process, we prove the existence of its higher variation processes as limits in distribution, and identify the limits in terms of the L\'evy-It\^o representation of the original process. For a general free compound…
In the theory of testing for Markovian processes developed so far, exponentially timed internal actions are not admitted within processes. When present, these actions cannot be abstracted away, because their execution takes a nonzero amount…
This note provides several recent progresses in the study of long time behavior of Markov processes. The examples presented below are related to other scientific fields as PDE's, physics or biology. The involved mathematical tools as…
We introduce partial Markov categories. In the same way that Markov categories encode stochastic processes, partial Markov categories encode stochastic processes with constraints, observations and updates. In particular, we prove a…
The approximation of integral functionals with respect to a stationary Markov process by a Riemann-sum estimator is studied. Stationarity and the functional calculus of the infinitesimal generator of the process are used to get a better…
The Kolmogorov axioms for probability functions are placed in the context of signed meadows. A completeness theorem is stated and proven for the resulting equational theory of probability calculus. Elementary definitions of probability…
We prove that certain asymptotic moments exist for some random distance expanding dynamical systems and Markov chains in random dynamical environment, and compute them in terms of the derivatives at the $0$ of an appropriate pressure…