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In this letter, we present a novel Gaussian Process Learning-based Probabilistic Optimal Power Flow (GP-POPF) for solving POPF under renewable and load uncertainties of arbitrary distribution. The proposed method relies on a non-parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-17 Parikshit Pareek , Hung D. Nguyen

Learning-based approaches are increasingly leveraged to manage and coordinate the operation of grid-edge resources in active power distribution networks. Among these, model-based techniques stand out for their superior data efficiency and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-01 Daniel Glover , Parikshit Pareek , Deepjyoti Deka , Anamika Dubey

Probabilistic load flow (PLF) calculation, as a fundamental tool to analyze transmission system behavior, has been studied for decades. Despite a variety of available methods, existing PLF approaches rarely take system control into account.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-02 Mengshuo Jia , Qianni Cao , Chen Shen , Gabriela Hug

With an increasing high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation in electric power grids, voltage phasors and branch power flows experience more severe fluctuations. In this context, probabilistic power flow (PPF) study aims at…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang

The absence of formal performance guarantees in machine learning (ML) has limited its adoption for safety-critical power system applications, where confidence and interpretability are as vital as accuracy. In this work, we present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-16 Parikshit Pareek , Sidhant Misra , Deepjyoti Deka

Probabilistic power flow (PPF) analysis is critical to power system operation and planning. PPF aims at obtaining probabilistic descriptions of the state of the system with stochastic power injections (e.g., renewable power generation and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-23 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang

The thesis focuses on developing a data-driven algorithm, based on machine learning, to solve the stochastic alternating current (AC) chance-constrained (CC) Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem. Although the AC CC-OPF problem has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Mile Mitrovic

In this paper, a novel non-intrusive probabilistic power flow (PPF) analysis method based on the low-rank approximation (LRA) is proposed, which can accurately and efficiently estimate the probabilistic characteristics (e.g., mean,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-05 Hao Sheng , Xiaozhe Wang

The probabilistic power flow (PPF) problem is essential to quantifying the distribution of the nodal voltages due to uncertain injections. The conventional PPF problem considers a fixed topology, and the solutions to such a PPF problem are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-17 Sel Ly , Kapil Chauhan , Anshuman Singh , Hung Dinh Nguyen

Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids. Neural networks are widely considered to achieve improved prediction performances, supporting highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Alessandro Brusaferri , Matteo Matteucci , Stefano Spinelli , Andrea Vitali

Probabilistic power flow (PPF) is essential for quantifying operational uncertainty in modern distribution systems with high penetration of renewable generation and flexible loads. Conventional PPF methods primarily rely on Monte Carlo (MC)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Weijie Xia , James Ciyu Qin , Edgar Mauricio Salazar Duque , Hongjin Du , Peter Palensky , Giovanni Sansavini , Pedro P. Vergara

This paper proposes a statistical verification framework using Gaussian processes (GPs) for simulation-based verification of stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainties. Given a small number of stochastic simulations, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

Probabilistic power flow (PPF) plays a critical role in power system analysis. However, the high computational burden makes it challenging for the practical implementation of PPF. This paper proposes a model-based deep learning approach to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-17 Yan Yang , Zhifang Yang , Juan Yu , Baosen Zhang

This article is concerned with learning and stochastic control in physical systems which contain unknown input signals. These unknown signals are modeled as Gaussian processes (GP) with certain parametrized covariance structures. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Simo Särkkä , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM) provides a flexible approach for non-linear dimensionality reduction that has been widely applied. However, the current approach for training GP-LVMs is based on maximum likelihood, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-09-09 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

This paper introduces a new model for highly accurate distribution voltage solutions, coined as a parameterized linear power flow model. The proffered model is grounded on a physical model of linear power flow equations, and uses…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-03 Marija Marković , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Load flow analysis is a fundamental technique used by electrical engineers to simulate and evaluate power system behavior under steady-state conditions. It enables efficient operation and control by determining how active and reactive power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-15 Sampson E. Nwachukwu

The increasing penetration of renewable energy along with the variations of the loads bring large uncertainties in the power system states that are threatening the security of power system planning and operation. Facing these challenges,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-14 Yijun Xu , Kiran Karra , Lamine Mili , Mert Korkali , Xiao Chen , Zhixiong Hu

High renewable energy penetration into power distribution systems causes a substantial risk of exceeding voltage security limits, which needs to be accurately assessed and properly managed. However, the existing methods usually rely on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-08 Yuanhai Gao , Xiaoyuan Xu , Zheng Yan , Mohammad Shahidehpour , Bo Yang , Xinping Guan

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Cuong Tran , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert Kopp
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