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The regular variation model for multivariate extremes decomposes the joint distribution of the extremes in polar coordinates in terms of the angles and the norm of the random vector as the product of two independent densities: the angular…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Fernández-Durán , J. J. , Gregorio-Domínguez , M. M

Latent variable models for network data extract a summary of the relational structure underlying an observed network. The simplest possible models subdivide nodes of the network into clusters; the probability of a link between any two nodes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Konstantina Palla , David Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Bottom-Up Hidden Tree Markov Model is a highly expressive model for tree-structured data. Unfortunately, it cannot be used in practice due to the intractable size of its state-transition matrix. We propose a new approximation which lies on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Daniele Castellana , Davide Bacciu

Next-token predictors often appear to develop internal representations of the latent world and its rules. The probabilistic nature of these models suggests a deep connection between the structure of the world and the geometry of probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Sasha Brenner , Thomas R. Knösche , Nico Scherf

Consider jointly Gaussian random variables whose conditional independence structure is specified by a graphical model. If we observe realizations of the variables, we can compute the covariance matrix, and it is well known that the support…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-28 Ashish Katiyar , Jessica Hoffmann , Constantine Caramanis

Stochastic models share many characteristics with generic parametric models. In some ways they can be regarded as a special case. But for stochastic models there is a notion of weak distribution or generalised random variable, and the same…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Hermann G. Matthies

Whittle-Mat\'ern fields are a recently introduced class of Gaussian processes on metric graphs, which are specified as solutions to a fractional-order stochastic differential equation. Unlike earlier covariance-based approaches for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 David Bolin , Alexandre Simas , Jonas Wallin

Matrix-variate distributions can intuitively model the dependence structure of matrix-valued observations that arise in applications with multivariate time series, spatio-temporal or repeated measures. This paper develops an…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Geoffrey Z. Thompson , Ranjan Maitra , William Q. Meeker , Ashraf Bastawros

Spatial symmetries and invariances play an important role in the behaviour of materials and should be respected in the description and modelling of material properties. The focus here is the class of physically symmetric and positive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Sharana Kumar Shivanand , Bojana Rosić , Hermann G. Matthies

Tree structured graphical models are powerful at expressing long range or hierarchical dependency among many variables, and have been widely applied in different areas of computer science and statistics. However, existing methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-17 Le Song , Han Liu , Ankur Parikh , Eric Xing

A general class of models is proposed that is able to estimate the whole predictive distribution of a dependent variable $Y$ given a vector of explanatory variables $\xb$. The models exploit that the strength of explanatory variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Gerhard Tutz

In physics we often use very simple models to describe systems with many degrees of freedom, but it is not clear why or how this success can be transferred to the more complex biological context. We consider models for the joint…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-06 Luisa Ramirez , William Bialek , Stephanie E. Palmer , David J. Schwab

Gaussian graphical models are used throughout the natural sciences, social sciences, and economics to model the statistical relationships between variables of interest in the form of a graph. We here provide a pedagogic introduction to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Caroline Uhler

Inspired from modern out-of-equilibrium statistical physics models, a matrix product based framework permits the formal definition of random vectors (and random time series) whose desired joint distributions are a priori prescribed. Its key…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-21 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

The paper proposes a latent variable model for binary data coming from an unobserved heterogeneous population. The heterogeneity is taken into account by replacing the traditional assumption of Gaussian distributed factors by a finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-13 Silvia Cagnone , Cinzia Viroli

We present a novel framework for the probabilistic modelling of random fourth order material tensor fields, with a focus on tensors that are physically symmetric and positive definite (SPD), of which the elasticity tensor is a prime…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Sharana Kumar Shivanand , Bojana Rosić , Hermann G. Matthies

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to represent conditional dependence among random variables. In this paper, we propose a novel estimator for data arising from a group of Gaussian graphical models that are themselves dependent. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-01 Yuying Xie , Yufeng Liu , William Valdar

We undertake Bayesian learning of the high-dimensional functional relationship between a system parameter vector and an observable, that is in general tensor-valued. The ultimate aim is Bayesian inverse prediction of the system parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-17 Kangrui Wang , Dalia Chakrabarty

Trajectory prediction plays a vital role in automotive radar systems, facilitating precise tracking and decision-making in autonomous driving. Generative adversarial networks with the ability to learn a distribution over future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Peiyuan Zhu , Fengxia Han , Hao Deng