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We introduce polynomial processes in the sense of [8] in the context of stochastic portfolio theory to model simultaneously companies' market capitalizations and the corresponding market weights. These models substantially extend volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-12 Christa Cuchiero

A method to perform unfolding with Gaussian processes (GPs) is presented. Using Bayesian regression, we define an estimator for the underlying truth distribution as the mode of the posterior. We show that in the case where the bin contents…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-11-07 Adam Bozson , Glen Cowan , Francesco Spanò

Aldous and Pitman (1994) studied asymptotic distributions, as n tends to infinity, of various functionals of a uniform random mapping of a set of n elements, by constructing a mapping-walk and showing these mapping-walks converge weakly to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Aldous , Jim Pitman

We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Haoyu Ye , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

When identical particles on a line collide, they merge and continue as one. Exact determinantal formulas have long been available for particles conditioned never to collide, but collisions change the number of particles, and exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Piotr Śniady

Recently, we provided a simple but accurate formula which closely approximates the first crossing distribution associated with random walks having correlated steps. The approximation is accurate for the wide range of barrier shapes of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-09 Marcello Musso , Ravi K. Sheth

There is a close connection between intersections of Brownian motion paths and percolation on trees. Recently, ideas from probability on trees were an important component of the multifractal analysis of Brownian occupation measure, in joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yuval Peres

Mixed moving average processes appear in the ergodic decomposition of stationary symmetric \alpha-stable (S\alpha S) processes. They correspond to the dissipative part of "deterministic" flows generating S\alpha S processes (Rosinski,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-28 Donatas Surgailis , Jan Rosinski , V. Mandrekar , Stamatis Cambanis

We present an iterative sampling method which delivers upper and lower bounding processes for the Brownian path. We develop such processes with particular emphasis on being able to unbiasedly simulate them on a personal computer. The…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-27 Alexandros Beskos , Stefano Peluchetti , Gareth Roberts

We propose a novel class of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms, appropriate for inference in probabilistic graphical models. This class of algorithms adopts a divide-and-conquer approach based upon an auxiliary tree-structured…

We present a model of anomalous diffusion consisting of an ensemble of particles undergoing homogeneous Brownian motion except for confinement by randomly placed reflecting boundaries. For power-law distributed compartment sizes, we…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-09 Gerald John Lapeyre

We consider a two-speed branching random walk, which consists of two macroscopic stages with different reproduction laws. We prove that the centered maximum converges in law to a Gumbel variable with a random shift and the extremal process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Lianghui Luo

Random point patterns are ubiquitous in nature, and statistical models such as point processes, i.e., algorithms that generate stochastic collections of points, are commonly used to simulate and interpret them. We propose an application of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-04 Soran Jahangiri , Juan Miguel Arrazola , Nicolás Quesada , Nathan Killoran

The natural analogue for a Levy process of Cramer's estimate for a reflected random walk is a statement about the exponential rate of decay of the tail of the characteristic measure of the height of an excursion above the minimum. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. A. Doney , R. A. Maller

We consider a directed random walk making either 0 or $+1$ moves and a Brownian bridge, independent of the walk, conditioned to arrive at point $b$ on time $T$. The Hamiltonian is defined as the sum of the square of increments of the bridge…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Servet Martinez , Dimitri Petritis

In this paper, we consider a diffusion process with jumps whose drift and jump coefficient depend on an unknown parameter. We then give a self-contained proof of the local asymptotic mixed normality (LAMN) property when the process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Ngoc Khue Tran , Eulalia Nualart

In a previous paper, the authors proved a conjecture of Lalley and Sellke that the empirical (time-averaged) distribution function of the maximum of branching Brownian motion converges almost surely to a Gumbel distribution. The result is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-27 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

We introduce a cluster growth process that provides a clear connection between equilibrium statistical mechanics and an explosive percolation model similar to the one recently proposed by Achlioptas et al. [Science 323, 1453 (2009)]. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 A. A. Moreira , E. A. Oliveira , S. D. S. Reis , H. J. Herrmann , J. S. Andrade

A $p$-jump process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process with jumps by a factor of $p$. We prove a limit theorem for such processes on the unit interval. Via duality with respect to probability generating functions, we deduce limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 F. Hermann , P. Pfaffelhuber

We are interested in the increment stationarity property for $L^2$-indexed stochastic processes, which is a fairly general concern since many random fields can be interpreted as the restriction of a more generally defined $L^2$-indexed…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-20 Alexandre Richard
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